EastCoast NPZ Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Fozz said: Where did you move? I'm out 522N of winchester. A bit NW of lake holiday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 If only I could believe the GFS lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The ARW stands for Always Really Wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: Where did you move? He moved from a snow hole to a beatdown zone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said: 31/21. Kinda wonder how anyone lives in places like Green Bay when it gets this cold. Cheese curds ? Beer brats. Wisconsin whiskey margaritas ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, wizard021 said: We are getting slammed in our area, you guys looking good too. 12 - 18 Baltimore - Boston. DC is now 3 to 6 . The regular members of this subforum are perfectly capable of making uninformed posts, without the need for any outside help, but thanks. 1 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If only I could believe the GFS lol I thought a few pages back it got the thumbs down. Ok up your way along the MD/PA border west for a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 A very serious burn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, high risk said: The regular members of this subforum are perfectly capable of making uninformed posts, without the need for any outside help, but thanks. Dammit, HR, I was headed to the snow bank with that. Shaking my head, turning the snowmobile back around to head home... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 26/22 NW of Fredericksburg a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 28/25 hrrr continues to keep the weenie hopes alive here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Well, the Farmer's Almanac was right...it is a major East Coast storm...just not our part of the east coast, lol Old Farmer's was half right...it had snowstorm for the corridor for these dates...close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: 28/25 hrrr continues to keep the weenie hopes alive here We could get lucky for a bit with heavy snow before the inevitable flip. 28/23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Camaraderie time is over. It's a dick swinging contest now. I easily have this won. Everyone else better pack up their tents and go home. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Hrrr gives the metros a nice little event before the flip to rain. It’s just a plus to see snow for a couple hours in mid December especially after last year. It’s been fun tracking this event, hopefully more surprises ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I thought a few pages back it got the thumbs down. Ok up your way along the MD/PA border west for a bit? It’s the only guidance that shows me all snow. But that’s simply because it can’t pick up on mid level warm layers. Never has. Although I guess this is the new GFS lol. But I find it suspect that EVERY other nwp is wrong on that warm layer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 24 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: You wont be. Not where you live now. Good things are happening for you tomorrow my friend. Stephens City will get shellacked and totally annihilated. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: We could get lucky for a bit with heavy snow before the inevitable flip. 28/23 yeah i wont necessarily be surprised by a decent start. seems pretty likely we beat last winter's total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gisman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 hour ago, jayyy said: We have any Cumberland / Frostburg folks in here?! Good grief. I envy you. Not a resident, but I picked Rocky Gap park (6 miles outside of Cumberland) as chase destination to experience some decent volume. I hope this was the right choice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Nice post by DT tonight on Facebook for his final call. "Winchester Leesbsurg Martinsburg Frederick Hagerstown 90% all snow 12 " seems a decent number" 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s the only guidance that shows me all snow. But that’s simply because it can’t pick up on mid level warm layers. Never has. Although I guess this is the new GFS lol. But I find it suspect that EVERY other nwp is wrong on that warm layer. It's the "new" GFS, but it has the old physics, so I suspect that its inability to capture mid-level warm layers remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Hrrr gives I 95 about 2-4” before a flip to rain areas west of 81 look great. Will easily take this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Northern Carroll? He likes western and north central MD as his big winners. He tends to concentrate on VA for the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Northern Carroll? No question. 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Zdudswx said: Hrrr gives I 95 about 2-4” before a flip to rain areas west of 81 look great. Will easily take this Unfortunate that we can't get a warning level, but I guess 2-4" ain't bad for a storm with this setup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Hrrr looks SWEET MAN I'm going to bed before it takes my snow away at 04z. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zdudswx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Unfortunate that we can't get a warning level, but I guess 2-4" ain't bad for a storm like this... Yea, sadly there’s just not enough cold air locked in place. Early December bay temps are always against us. If it were mid January we all would cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Zdudswx said: Yea, sadly there’s just not enough cold air locked in place. Early December bay temps are always against us. If it were mid January we all would cash in. A track as shown on the models now really wouldn't be great in January in Baltimore either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Zdudswx said: Yea, sadly there’s just not enough cold air locked in place. Early December bay temps are always against us. If it were mid January we all would cash in. Definitely...this was just a bit too early! I'm about to go look at the long range pattern prospects for comfort...lol Current AO forecast is just the Tylenol we need after this headache! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, WVclimo said: No question. 12"+ What are you thinking out our way? Didn't think we would be fighting the mix line but it looks as if we may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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