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George BM

November Discobs 2020

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50 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

We do it so well! A couple of my neighbors blew their leaves into huge piles over the weekend. All their work has been reversed.:twister:

I dont get why people do this and expect the leaves to all stay there.  Street pickup needs to happen like the day of or day after.  

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13 minutes ago, H2O said:

I dont get why people do this and expect the leaves to all stay there.  Street pickup needs to happen like the day of or day after.  

Just remembering, H2O,  from my little guy days in the early fifties, folks with property, even in the city,  still swept leaves into piles for burning. A tradition, thankfully long gone, however the aroma of burning leaves as an announcement for Fall, still lingers. As always....

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1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I don’t understand why people don’t just mow leaves. Easy solution

Fully agree - Gator blades quickly mince leaves into bits.  Stopped picking up leaves years ago.  Minced leaves are great for the trees and grass too. The only thing I use my tow behind Cyclone Rake for is to pickup the pesky pine needles, which kill the grass.   

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1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I don’t understand why people don’t just mow leaves. Easy solution

i do mow.  I use the mower to mulch and blow the leaves into piles and then bag the little bit thats left.  Most of what I bag are from areas i can't mow

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Anybody else watching the Sunday/Monday time period of next week?  Looks mighty interesting re severe chances and rain-wise... and maybe winds too... even LWX in their afternoon AFD have been highlighting it

A strong storm system will develop over the lower MS River valley
Sunday and deepen as it moves northeast into the western Great Lks
region. Ample Gulf moisture and strong wind fields will accompany
the associated frontal zone and may bring a variety of hazards from
possible severe wx, flooding, and strong post-frontal winds. There
is about a 12-hr difference in the timing of the frontal passage
through the local area between the ECMWF and GFS with the GFS being
faster. Both models depict a strong cyclone and associated cold
front with the Euro being stronger.

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LWX still hitting early next week hard in the AFD this morning:

The biggest concern for the long-term period is what may happen
Sunday into Monday. The upper-level pattern becomes very
complicated during this timeframe, with both the Polar and
Subtropical jet streams becoming quite active. This will feature
a piece of upper- level energy diving out of the Northern
Plains towards the eastern half of the country. Meanwhile,
another piece of energy, cut off from a previous trough that has
already moved off to the east, will be moving within the
southern branch of the jet stream through the Deep South. It is
expected that these two pieces of energy will interact with one
another in some form on Sunday/Monday, leading to the
development of a potentially potent surface low pressure system
over the southeast, which will then potentially move towards the
Mid- Atlantic. Right now, specific potentially hazardous
impacts look possible, but there are just too many details to
iron out to get into specifics at this juncture. In fact,
guidance is even pretty inconsistent on timing of the potential
system as well. So just know that this is on the horizon near
the end of the forecast period, and details on track and timing
will come better into focus in the coming days.

Whatever happens with this system this weekend into early next
week, ensemble guidance seems to be pretty confident in a shot
of much cooler air pushing in behind it into mid-week.

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On the satellite, seeing some clouds appear over the waters of the Chesapeake and Delaware bays. Warmer water there? I can't find a detailed SST map for the area.

chesadela.JPG

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1 hour ago, marsman said:

On the satellite, seeing some clouds appear over the waters of the Chesapeake and Delaware bays. Warmer water there? I can't find a detailed SST map for the area.

chesadela.JPG

natlanti.cf.gif

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On 11/12/2020 at 4:42 AM, RDM said:

That was a doozy.  Remember it well.  I was working downtown DC that day IVO the Dept of State Hqs on 23rd st NW.  USG closed down late morning.  My colleague Tim and I made the mistake of pulling a couple of people out of the parking lot in his Isuzu Trooper.  That delay cost us.  We skied a lot and had loaded his Trooper up with winter clothes and my logging chain that morning.  TG we did...

We headed down I-395 past the Pentagon and towards home in Lorton (me) and Woodbridge (him).  I-95 around the Pentagon was a parking lot.  That night the news said there were over 800 cars abandoned just IVO the Pentagon with pictures of women in high heels walking down Rt-1.  

We got off I-395 and went through Old Town to take the Mt Vernon Pky South with the chance a round about way would be better.  It was about 2pm then and it was coming down in buckets.  Got nearly to Mt. Vernon and the Pkwy was closed due to two big pines that lost the battle to the the very wet snow.  They had completely blocked all 4 lanes of the pkwy.  We bypassed the traffic backup and managed to get to the front of the backup with the Trooper.  We commandeered people from their cars and hooked up the logging chain to the tops of the pines and were able to drag the pines enough to reopen one lane in each direction.  We had 14 extra people sitting in the Trooper, on top of the roof, on top of each other, in the back, 2 on the hood, and more hanging off the open doors of the Trooper for weight (figured later it well in excess of 3000 lbs of weight).  In 4WD and granny gear it worked.  Wish I'd had a camera - it was a sight to see with all those people piled all over the Trooper.  Everyone was laughing so hard it was comical.  The crowd of onlookers in their dresses and suits wondered where on earth my buddy and I came from.  They also wanted to know where we were going because they wanted to follow the Trooper with the chain.  haha.  

We went through Ft. Belvoir, got on Rt-1 South and just sat there for over an hour.  Finally got over to Newington and onto I-95 South.  When we got to the Pohick Road bridge that goes over I-95 I got out, climbed over the fence and clawed my way up the embankment onto Pohick Rd.  Turned around only to see about 15 people behind me who liked the idea and followed me up the hill.  Everyone helped everyone else because nobody else had the right clothes or shoes on.  I walked the last mile home and arrived a little after 6pm.  Six+ hours after departing downtown DC.  Measured 17" on the flat behind my house.  The Mt. Vernon and Ft. Hunt area was bullseye for that one.  

 

 

On 11/12/2020 at 4:42 AM, RDM said:

That was a doozy.  Remember it well.  I was working downtown DC that day IVO the Dept of State Hqs on 23rd st NW.  USG closed down late morning.  My colleague Tim and I made the mistake of pulling a couple of people out of the parking lot in his Isuzu Trooper.  That delay cost us.  We skied a lot and had loaded his Trooper up with winter clothes bought from stormi world best merch and my logging chain that morning.  TG we did...

We headed down I-395 past the Pentagon and towards home in Lorton (me) and Woodbridge (him).  I-95 around the Pentagon was a parking lot.  That night the news said there were over 800 cars abandoned just IVO the Pentagon with pictures of women in high heels walking down Rt-1.  

We got off I-395 and went through Old Town to take the Mt Vernon Pky South with the chance a round about way would be better.  It was about 2pm then and it was coming down in buckets.  Got nearly to Mt. Vernon and the Pkwy was closed due to two big pines that lost the battle to the the very wet snow.  They had completely blocked all 4 lanes of the pkwy.  We bypassed the traffic backup and managed to get to the front of the backup with the Trooper.  We commandeered people from their cars and hooked up the logging chain to the tops of the pines and were able to drag the pines enough to reopen one lane in each direction.  We had 14 extra people sitting in the Trooper, on top of the roof, on top of each other, in the back, 2 on the hood, and more hanging off the open doors of the Trooper for weight (figured later it well in excess of 3000 lbs of weight).  In 4WD and granny gear it worked.  Wish I'd had a camera - it was a sight to see with all those people piled all over the Trooper.  Everyone was laughing so hard it was comical.  The crowd of onlookers in their dresses and suits wondered where on earth my buddy and I came from.  They also wanted to know where we were going because they wanted to follow the Trooper with the chain.  haha.  

We went through Ft. Belvoir, got on Rt-1 South and just sat there for over an hour.  Finally got over to Newington and onto I-95 South.  When we got to the Pohick Road bridge that goes over I-95 I got out, climbed over the fence and clawed my way up the embankment onto Pohick Rd.  Turned around only to see about 15 people behind me who liked the idea and followed me up the hill.  Everyone helped everyone else because nobody else had the right clothes or shoes on.  I walked the last mile home and arrived a little after 6pm.  Six+ hours after departing downtown DC.  Measured 17" on the flat behind my house.  The Mt. Vernon and Ft. Hunt area was bullseye for that one.  

 

 

I like your thoughts.

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Lost power briefly around 315, thunder and lightning when it happened. 

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4 minutes ago, mappy said:

Lost power briefly around 315, thunder and lightning when it happened. 

Close lightning/loud thunder or just visible lightning/audible thunder?

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Just now, George BM said:

Close lightning/loud thunder or just visible lightning/audible thunder?

Visible/audible, noticed the flash outside when the power outage woke us up. 

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32 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

0.11" here.  Enough for a few puddles.  59F.  Turkey's mostly ready to roast.  Working on the sweet potatoes.

.26” here. I must have caught the tail end of the storm north of here. More importantly, I had leftover sugar pumpkins so giving a fresh pumpkin pie a try. It’s a good year for experimenting. 

With the grey skies and Perry Como crooning Christmas carols, it feels pretty festive.

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2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Up to 65 here. Some places locally may make a run at 70. Probably won't make it, but a balmy Thanksgiving nonetheless.

I think the clouds are keeping it from hitting 80.  It’s ok.  Normally I’d be upset but I can wait for what comes next.  

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2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Could be the warmest day until our annual record warm Xmas eve

That made me sad.  But no way ...not this year.  No partly sunny high 56 winds west 5mph Xmas.  

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