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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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35 minutes ago, uncle W said:

yeah if you believe in the 11 yr hot summer cycle...high minimums is the biggest story so far and there is no end in sight...the cycle is mostly la nina years or developing nina years starting with 1955...1977 is the only el nino...going back to the 1800's 1977 and 1911 sre the only el nino years in that cycle...

funny thing is we still hit 104 in the 1977 el nino summer and had that big black out

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Absolutely slammed here. Picked up about 2.30" in 45 mins, and 2.60" in an hour. Pretty intense winds (would estimate at least 40-50 mph gusts) that continued for a while. Max rain rate on my Davis of 14.05"/hour, which I think is by far the highest I've ever seen. Definitely an upper-echelon storm among those I've experienced in my 39 years. 

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SPC Day 3

...Northeast...
   Organized convection will again be possible in association with the
   northeastward-moving cyclone on Sunday, as moderate low/mid-level
   flow and rich low-level moisture overspread portions of the
   Northeast. Considerable uncertainty remains regarding how this
   scenario will evolve, but supercells and/or organized bowing
   segments will be possible, with an attendant risk of locally
   damaging wind. Some tornado potential will also be present in the
   vicinity of the retreating surface warm front as it moves northward
   through the day. Some portion of this region may require an upgrade
   once details come into better focus. 

day3otlk_0730.gif

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The last day of July is averaging just 77degs., assuming the sun does not appear early.

Month to date is  +3.6[80.2].      July should end at  +3.4[80.0].

72*(93%RH) here at 6am., gloomy with moderate rain.    75*(86%RH), just cloudy by Noon.

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These may be the warmest SSTs on record south of Long Island for so early in the morning.
 

STATION/POSITION TIME  SKY/WX   TEMP    WIND        PRES    VSBY  WAVE
                                AIR SEA DIR/SP/G                  HT/PER
                 (UTC)          (F)     (DEG/KT/KT) (MB)    (MI)  (FT/S)
NY Harb Entrance 0950               75   20/ 10/ 12 1009.0          3/ 6
20 S Fire Island 0950               81   50/ 16/ 19 1008.5          4/ 4
Great South Bay  0930            72      40/ 10/ 14   N/A
23 SSW Montauk P 0950            72 78  360/ 17/ 21 1009.6          3/ 6
15 E Barnegat Li 0926               79                N/A           3/ 7
Hudson Canyon    0950               80          
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25 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Yesterday, LaGuardia Airport had a minimum temperature of 80 degrees. That was the 6th 80-degree or above minimum temperature this month. The previous record was 5 days, which was set in 2013.

Farmingdale set a new record for 75° or warmer July minimums. They actually had 1 more day than LGA. The magnitude of the record over the previous year was much more impressive than the new LGA 80° minimum record.

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 75 
Missing Count
1 2020 15 1
2 2013 7 0
- 2010 7 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 75 
Missing Count
1 2010 19 0
2 2016 17 0
- 2013 17 0
3 1999 16 0
4 2020 14 1

 

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37 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Yesterday, LaGuardia Airport had a minimum temperature of 80 degrees. That was the 6th 80-degree or above minimum temperature this month. The previous record was 5 days, which was set in 2013.

including 3 straight days with 80+ minimums, and 4 of 5 days. That level of sustained heat with no relief is worse than just very hot days. It takes quite a toll on you. We're not in FL with widespread central AC

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29 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Farmingdale set a new record for 75° or warmer July minimums. They actually had 1 more day than LGA. The magnitude of the record over the previous year was much more impressive than the new LGA 80° minimum record.

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 75 
Missing Count
1 2020 15 1
2 2013 7 0
- 2010 7 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 75 
Missing Count
1 2010 19 0
2 2016 17 0
- 2013 17 0
3 1999 16 0
4 2020 14 1

 

That is very impressive. 

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51 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Farmingdale set a new record for 75° or warmer July minimums. They actually had 1 more day than LGA. The magnitude of the record over the previous year was much more impressive than the new LGA 80° minimum record.

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 75 
Missing Count
1 2020 15 1
2 2013 7 0
- 2010 7 0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Min Temperature >= 75 
Missing Count
1 2010 19 0
2 2016 17 0
- 2013 17 0
3 1999 16 0
4 2020 14 1

 

I am about 6-7 miles west of Farmingdale airport. I only had 4 days with a minimum of 75 or above. Amazing the difference more grass compared to more concrete can do to the temperature. O course they may have had a lot of 75-76 degree lows where at my house it went to 72-73 degrees.

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72/70 with 1.12 in the bucket from overnight storms.  Break in the heat today.  Saturday pending on clearing could see some of the warmer spots touch 90 followed again Sunday and Monday as 850MB temps >18c arrive.  All depends on storms and clouds with Isaias adding a bit more steam too.  Whats left of Isaias looks to impact the region between Tue PM (8/3) and Wed AM (8/4)followed by a few days near normal Thu (8/5) and Fri (8/6)

August  7th and beyond:

Continued war and wet pattern with WAR retreating then expanding back later in the period Rockies ridge looks to move east into the plains the second week of August where more heat looks possible.  Overall warm and wet and pending on storms and tropics could be very wet totals.

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3 hours ago, wdrag said:

Did anyone notice how HOT it may be/feel in NJ Monday if the slower EC is correct?  Unsure of whether EC slowness on Isaias is correct?  Posting more by 845A

 

Yes been tracking this as differing forecasts of the strength of the Western Atlantic ridge have 850MB temps between 16c and 20c Sun om and Mon evening.  Clouds and storms only thing that looks to limit strong heat.  But either way Dew point temps will make it real steamy ahead of Isaias.  Mosquito season this August..

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

Yes been tracking this as differing forecasts of the strength of the Western Atlantic ridge have 850MB temps between 16c and 20c Sun om and Mon evening.  Clouds and storms only thing that looks to limit strong heat.  But either way Dew point temps will make it real steamy ahead of Isaias.  Mosquito season this August..

Very good job way in advance nailing wetter than normal first week of August around here.   Looks difficult to miss.

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Numerous new highest low temperatures for the month of July across the region.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2019 66 0
- 1994 66 0
- 1993 66 0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 1
2 2019 61 0
- 2012 61 0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2008 66 0


 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 68 1
- 2008 68 0
2 2019 67 0
- 1994 67 0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2016 66 0
2 2020 65 1
- 2019 65 0
- 2015 65 0
- 1970 65 0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2019 64 0

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2019 64 0
2 2020 63 1
- 1994 63 0

 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 64 1
- 2019 64 0
- 1994 64 0

 

Time Series Summary for MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 57 2
2 2019 54 1
- 2013 54 0
- 2012 54 9

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 0
2 2019 60 0
- 1931 60 0
- 1897 60 0

 

Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 58 1
2 2019 54 0

 

Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2011 66 0
- 1994 66 0
- 1993 66 0
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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Numerous new highest low temperatures for the month of July across the region.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2019 66 0
- 1994 66 0
- 1993 66 0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 1
2 2019 61 0
- 2012 61 0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2008 66 0


 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 68 1
- 2008 68 0
2 2019 67 0
- 1994 67 0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2016 66 0
2 2020 65 1
- 2019 65 0
- 2015 65 0
- 1970 65 0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2019 64 0

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2019 64 0
2 2020 63 1
- 1994 63 0

 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 64 1
- 2019 64 0
- 1994 64 0

 

Time Series Summary for MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 57 2
2 2019 54 1
- 2013 54 0
- 2012 54 9

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 63 0
2 2019 60 0
- 1931 60 0
- 1897 60 0

 

Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 58 1
2 2019 54 0

 

Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Lowest Min Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2020 67 1
2 2011 66 0
- 1994 66 0
- 1993 66 0

Those rural airport (Sussex and Orange) lowest minimums are impressive.

 

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