Radders

21.7/5 in Milford PA

Very similar readings just west of you in Milford PA.

Those rural airport (Sussex and Orange) lowest minimums are impressive.

Looks like the park hit 90 between the hourly obs. Currently 87/72

Yeah - unlikely, but could see the usual coastal spots like KJFK beating the guidance by a couple of degrees.

Looking at the smoothed out SV images, it looks like it has backed off on the expansiveness of 80+ DPs a little, but still showing pockets of the 80s shade. Seems like high 70s DPs area wide are becoming increasingly likely..

I have been looking at DP forecasts over the last week or so and have noticed that the GFS in general seems to go less aggressive vs. the Euro. Is this a known GFS or Euro bias?

I can see the sun here!!! lol

I had a bad feeling about getting screwed on this storm even though i called for 6" - I think i could bust here and it might never get further north than southern Putnam. We will see. It just amazes me that the same areas of NJ are getting hit again and again... What a winter for them down there.. At some point, this pattern HAS to change to something more climatologically normal.. These sharp cut-offs are really miserable when you are on the wrong side of them.. We are doing much better than last year at this point, but I really feel for the folks in PA who just can't catch a break.

Thanks for the input... This looks very reasonable based on where things stand.. I am personally thinking 6" is a good forecast for the SE areas of the NWS Albany forecast area.

Euro says no, this new season is not coming this fall.

I would say about 3" here.. Anxiously awaiting the Euro... i am feeling FRINGED!!! lol

Just got back from driving to KSWF to drop a friend off for a flight... What a disaster an unexpected 2 inches can have on the roads - A few spin-outs on I84. ~2 inches here and still snowing light to moderate. Considering we may get shafted with the best stuff to our south tomorrow, I will take it!

Better late than never ,but yes, I can confirm this.. -12F here.

9* here.. Apparently there is a wind shift boundary running down the Hudson.. Once the boundary moves through (next hour or so), and the wind switches from NW to NE, then the temps will start to drop quickly.

My brain is clearly not working properly this morning!

NAM looks like it might hit us lightly to moderately, but I just can't look at that model with any seriousness beyond like 60 hours!! The GFS looked better than it's 6Z run, but the energy swinging across the great lakes is still pushing the trajectory to our east too much. Right now, I am kind of taking the op runs with a pinch of salt and hugging the ensembles... With this many options on the table, and this much complexity, the ens are the only way to try and make sense of this IMO.

I really don't know what to think about Wednesday's event... I think we see some snow, but I have a feeling that we are going to get fringed.. I like the Euro and it's ensembles last night, but I don't know if I buy it yet.. I will be watching the 12Z guidance closely.

I think it got to -8 at the airport (KPOU), haven't checked what my weather station got down to yet, but currently it shows -2F right now

<br /><br /><br />Yes. Nasty drive to the train station this morning.

That is awful..

Well i have 2.5 inches of snow/sleet/ice since this event started... Perhaps I make it to 3, but overall, not a very overwhelming event. 24F IMBY.

-2.5 IMBY this morning... -4 at KPOU

have you beaten it yet? 6.5 here.

Already down to 9F! Could get really cold tonight before the clouds from the clipper move in...