powderfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 51 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Theres that 3k NAM with its 958 again with heavy snow over New England We hump the 3k. Not even done when the model runs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We hump the 3k. Not even done when the model runs out. There was more in the tank for here as the low was still pretty far south but there was a good plume of moisture off to the SW poised to move NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: There was more in the tank for here as the low was still pretty far south but there was a good plume of moisture off to the SW poised to move NE. Yeah it was still cranking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: Yeah it was still cranking! Meanwhile the 12z GFS is pains taking ticking east ever so slowly ea run that by friday it should catch on to wave 2 being further east as other guidance at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 HREF 24 hr ice accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Sprzedaja. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Box doesn't seem to concerned about about icing anywhere..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Meanwhile the 12z GFS is pains taking ticking east ever so slowly ea run that by friday it should catch on to wave 2 being further east as other guidance at the surface. lol this 12z GFS panel is obscene. Maxes out at 1.0" QPF in 6 hours in that meso-band. Frontogenic forcing is insane. The sounding from 6z looked like a nuclear bomb in UVV's in the midlevels over BTV. I know it isn't good for most of the forum, but those deepening lows riding between BOS and PWM usually are our best snow producers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: lol this 12z GFS panel is obscene. Maxes out at 1.0" QPF in 6 hours in that meso-band. Frontogenic forcing is insane. The sounding from 6z looked like a nuclear bomb in UVV's in the midlevels over BTV. That’s insane, but believable wherever that occurs because the dynamics with this are really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 974 on GFS This thing is impressive edit 970 just ene of Portland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 21 minutes ago, JKEisMan said: HREF 24 hr ice accretion. Hmmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 FWIW 12 GFS did shift its low position about 25 miles South at 18z Friday than the 6z run but it’s still takes it across with the most latitude I’m aware of edit it’s actually quite negligible basically a PSF - PSM MSLP track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: FWIW 12 GFS did shift its low position about 25 miles South at 18z Friday than the 6z run but it’s still takes it across with the most latitude I’m aware of Nothing like a bombing low over MHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Canadian was significantly stronger earlier and took a small tick north exiting BOS harbor instead Of say PYM . Another 970 Solution at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing like a bombing low over MHT. Ya that’s PSF/PSM track on that one not much time for N areas of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya that’s PSF/PSM track on that one not much time for N areas of SNE The meso models like the 12z WRF-NMM show the cold tuck solution. I for the most part believe in them, but If this thing does intensify rapidly, it may become a non-issue near and inside 495 as the mesos show. My gut would agree with the mesos, but if I had to forecast, I may sort of find a compromise at this stage, while acknowledging the possible colder scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 This is NBD for most of sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The meso models like the 12z WRF-NMM show the cold tuck solution. I for the most part believe in them, but If this thing does intensify rapidly, it may become a non-issue near and inside 495 as the mesos show. My gut would agree with the mesos, but if I had to forecast, I may sort of find a compromise at this stage, while acknowledging the possible colder scenario. The BTV (being a meso) concurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is NBD for most of sne. Agreed. mostly rain with some mixed stuff further north. Icing seems less of an issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Last nites 0z ukie actually moved pretty significantly toward the GFS in track . Bout a 75 mile plus bump north . interested to see if the 12z ukie follows suit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is NBD for most of sne. Bleh I was always out of the game with this one, but I was hoping some inland folks would score a decent event. Alas, I fooled myself yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Last nites 0z ukie actually moved pretty significantly toward the GFS in track . Bout a 75 mile plus bump north . interested to see if the 12z ukie follows suit NAM is full of shit for Friday. Sell that and expect tracks near BOS/PSM. This is a powderfreak storm. But the mesos may have a good idea on locking in the cold at the sfc. Still gotta watch for siggy ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 12z Ukie looks like it went a couple tics east from 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM is full of shit for Friday. Sell that and expect tracks near BOS/PSM. This is a powderfreak storm. But the mesos may have a good idea on locking in the cold at the sfc. Still gotta watch for siggy ice. Yeah that snow blitz ain't happening I don't think. I think track along s coast and SE MA probably, but the srfc temps inland still probably 30-32 with that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM is full of shit for Friday. Sell that and expect tracks near BOS/PSM. This is a powderfreak storm. But the mesos may have a good idea on locking in the cold at the sfc. Still gotta watch for siggy ice. These words bring a tear of joy to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 41 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Agreed. mostly rain with some mixed stuff further north. Icing seems less of an issue 2-3” snow for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 2-3” snow for you? He usually downplays stuff but in the end he is usually not that far off if I was him my concern would be ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 26 minutes ago, mreaves said: These words bring a tear of joy to my eye. we all are celebrating, congrats. Snow where it should be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I won’t be surprised at all at icier looks today . I'd bank on getting more in the way of icy stares from dancers at the Blue than you'll get this week in the weather department.. Maybe up toward Rt 2 will manage something wintry. Nothing burger for everyone south of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'd bank on getting more in the way of icy stares from dancers at the Blue than you'll get this week in the weather department.. Maybe up toward Rt 2 will manage something wintry. Nothing burger for everyone south of there. Well if you’ve read the posts today the Mesos are near 32 inland , so if I were you and were I, I’d plan on damage and issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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