HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Wow. One per season >40” is nuts. of course 3000’ helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 12z euro made me feel some sense of dismay. Gets me to freezing by 12z and just rains the rest of the way. I'm probably skunked now. GL everyone N/E of me especially the ski resorts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Well WRF ARW2 tucks to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 After my 2” I hope I go over to a 32.1° rain. I’ll be happy to live vicariously through the folks at higher elevations in central MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Wow. One per season >40” is nuts. of course 3000’ helps you better get ready for 40 mm of ice and sleet brotini. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well WRF ARW2 tucks to BOS. My guess is theres a decent tuck at least along the 495 corridor, whether its 33F or 30F remains to be seen. Regradless, qpf may limit big ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Images that make grown men shed a tear ft. two runs of the midday euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Waiting? He’s been getting crushed the past several seasons...with like 50” in that Mar 17 fluff bomb lol. Yeah... weren’t record depths set either last year or the year before? He’s done fine. Don’t believe the hype. Glad to see we don’t have to deal with any icing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 32 minutes ago, wx2fish said: My guess is theres a decent tuck at least along the 495 corridor, whether its 33F or 30F remains to be seen. Regradless, qpf may limit big ice right... we'll be straight proven right about the colder solutions down to a bone chilling 33.8 F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean, yeah...they get a lot of snow. But those true 12-18 (with higher jacks) deformation/fronto bombs are not that common. Further east definitely gets more of those...esp recently. So I get the excitement of those. Yeah we get plenty of snowfall, but 12"+ events are much more common in SNE. I've been hoping for double digits, so anything 10" or greater in this will more than satisfy that itch. I could still see more mixing than expected or lower ratios bringing 8" of the densest white material ever... but I just like a nice frozen QPF bomb. We don't do those frozen heavy precip events like SNE does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: That’s insane, but believable wherever that occurs because the dynamics with this are really impressive. I love that the mesoscale banding and low level frontogenesis forcing look to be nearly stationary over the northern Champlain Valley (MBY, which is the only thing that really matters) sometime during the day on Friday. The moisture transport from that jet looks absolutely fantastic. Could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, das said: I love that the mesoscale banding and low level frontogenesis forcing look to be nearly stationary over the northern Champlain Valley (MBY, which is the only thing that really matters) sometime during the day on Friday. The moisture transport from that jet looks absolutely fantastic. Could be fun. We need more posters like yourself, ha. You are in Charlotte, right? The Champlain Valley looks to take a crosshair on this one too. Northerly surface drain leading to Champlain Valley Convergence under the mid-level lift could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 The NAM appears to be a little suppressed comparing 12z's 30 to this new 24 - 'nother words, a tick south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: The NAM appears to be a little suppressed comparing 12z's 30 to this new 24 - 'nother words, a tick south That it is with wave 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Nam looks snowy tonite after 8-9z . N of route 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: That it is with wave 1. well ...I dunno, the 'wave' identity is getting a bit entropy - it's starting to just look like an extended warm frontal arm with the light snow axis lifted up and stalled near your neck of the woods... back through northern NH/VT... While much of interior SNE lulls for 12 hours. Appears the main thrust is a rather potent deepening that looks like it's about to bomb on the mid-Atl to ACK transit - so perhaps similar to the 12z if like 25 to 50 mile S. We'll see where this goes... I guess there's "some" sort of wave 1 identity but it's really more like squirting out meso circulations rather than a bona fide 'wave 1' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: well ...I dunno, the 'wave' identity is getting a bit entropy - it's starting to just look like an extended warm frontal arm with the snow axis up hear your neck of the woods... back through northern NH/VT... While much of interior SNE lulls for 12 hours. Appears the main thrust is a rather potent deepening that looks like it's about to bomb on the mid-Atl to ACK transit - so perhaps similar to the 12z if like 25 to 50 mile S Second parts going to be a little more amped then the 12z run, Can already see it @H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Second parts going to be a little more amped then the 12z run, Can already see it @H5 Yeah that will be closer. Almost has to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Second parts going to be a little more amped then the 12z run, Can already see it @H5 Yeah it's 3 mb deeper down to 988 and it's just getting going near Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that will be closer. Almost has to. 12z Had very litlle precip falling over NW PA and WNYS and that's a healthy slug over there at hr 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that will be closer. Almost has to. Yeah the initial 'slight' south suppression didn't translate ...looks like it's heading left of previous on this main ordeal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 That is such a bizarre look at 48 hours .. Have we ever seen a QPF layout like that - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 So much for the 12z snow. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Pretty clearly this whole system was proving we can lose by C.H.'s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: So much for the 12z snow. Tossed. That was tossed when it came out. Lol. No other model supported it. The main interest for me on this is whether siggy icing happens inland. The snow aspect is garbage. Front end thump looks weak sauce. Prob sleet contaminated anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 That was crap here, That SLP tracked further west right over SE MA this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That was tossed when it came out. Lol. No other model supported it. The main interest for me on this is whether siggy icing happens inland. The snow aspect is garbage. Front end thump looks weak sauce. Prob sleet contaminated anyway. No matter the track, that looks nasty for Dave verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 PF will be in posting the map with the 16-20"+ totals soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 The Herpes model is a pretty snowy thump N of Rte 2... not buying that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: That was crap here, That SLP tracked further west right over SE MA this run. The Friday stuff has a PF to Rangeley look when examining the midlevels. It’s trying to collapse SE pretty fast late in the game but I think by the time it does it’s mostly scraps. Maybe a few inches in your ‘hood at the end of it can do it quick enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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