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Thundersnow12

January 22nd-25th Winter Storm Potential

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2 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

sn10_acc.us_mw.thumb.png.6d094dea797d5085774b6c6e5cb99456.png

Literally in the center of the bulls eye of the 9.1/9.3 on that map... Lock it in!!! Just need some favorable winds off the lake and a few bands setting up nicely for at least 1/2 of that to pan out...

Regardless, it has looked pretty out there much of the last 36 hours... Finally like winter!!!

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12 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

sn10_acc.us_mw.thumb.png.6d094dea797d5085774b6c6e5cb99456.png

The GFS has been downright terrible, but the EC sucked pretty bad as well.  Overall all model performance is pretty shitty as a whole.  We really don't know what's going to happen until we're less than 24 hours from an event.  From a forecast standpoint the best option is to pick the most lame outcome (similar to ALEK's approach) and you'll usually be right.

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This storm is pure garbage over here...Tried to get some fun, we were flipping back and forth between sleet and snow. Saw some heavier returns to my west, thought i'd see some large flakes. When I got there everything turned to rain. So that was lame.:arrowhead:

 

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3 hours ago, StormChaser4Life said:

Finally ripping snow here. Nice fat flakes. But doesn't look like this will last super long tonight

ILX did indeed issue a late advisory  (along with DVN)for Canton, Galesburg and points south ..

PIA airport from the first wave per climate data :

.1 late WED, 1.5 thru 4pm Thursday  so total 1.6 first wave

final report for Thursday 3.2 . so another 1.6 up to midnight yesterday from wave 2

Event total so far 3.3 .  as of midnight

but per hourly obs... another .2 inches of precip falling 12-3am ...so more after that

 

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2 hours ago, LansingWeather said:

This storm is pure garbage over here...Tried to get some fun, we were flipping back and forth between sleet and snow. Saw some heavier returns to my west, thought i'd see some large flakes. When I got there everything turned to rain. So that was lame.:arrowhead:

 

Nothing but rain here with a very light dusting yesterday morning. 

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Not much overnight accumulation. See LOT has gone with WWA for tonight's event...3-6" +....if we get that out of this convoluted warm January storm it will be something,

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Still sitting at under an inch, after it rained all night, call looking $$$

 

Gfs doing by far the best past couple events, ride it folks 

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8 hours ago, Snowstorms said:

NAM says Toronto could get 3-5" of cement by Sunday lol. Seems like areas near the Lake will likely get <2". 

I'm surprised how quiet EC is.  Not even a SWS for east-central Ontario.  I guess they think models are a degree or so too cold at the sfc.

Here, I think a snowfall storm total at YYZ of 2.0" is your o/u line.

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13 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:


Already at half of your call and still have two rounds to go...




.

looking for that second round

 

tenor.gif?itemid=10251428

 

Gonna be brutal watching hot returns roll in here later as heavy rain only to flip to parachutes 20 miles further west but c'est la vie

 

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looking for that second round
 
tenor.gif?itemid=10251428&key=b71dd3c79960e663cb0d82e04f68477588a753be7977935b49d9a6eeb8845de5

Has been just north of both of us all night...

346ccb1c88d047c79d0b404278e8c044.jpg


.

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3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:


Has been just north of both of us all night...

346ccb1c88d047c79d0b404278e8c044.jpg


.

so.....a rainer 

 

if i wanted to make calls for janesville, i would 

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1.8" new snow, 3.3" 36hr total, depth 8". With the temperature right at 32 degrees, the snow overnight stuck to everything and it's really pretty. 

I'm expecting maybe another 4" tonight if the heavy snow pivots west far enough.

IMG_20200124_071758_1.jpg

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Another 2.8" here overnight with another decent band moving through now.  It is very pretty out there.  This entire messy system has worked out pretty well for my area. 

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1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:


Has been just north of both of us all night...

346ccb1c88d047c79d0b404278e8c044.jpg


.

We had about another inch. Will say 2.0" total for both waves

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None of the models this morning are initializing well this morning with current low strength and placement. Most of them have a very broad 1012mb low over central IL and as of 1331z there's a 1009mb low just west of STL

namussfc12wbg-4.gif

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