OceanStWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: DGEX or bust! What an amazing idea honestly. "Let's take the NAM, but run it with GFS boundary conditions. And let's start it at 84 hours." What could possibly go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 8 to 10 inches nice. More if the ULL goes under us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 The DGEX is dead right? I found some sites with the DGEX runs but all the links are dead or the graphics don't load Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 The surface high over the SE US, more towards FL is not strong at all, it is low, for a high, around 1018mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: The DGEX is dead right? I found some sites with the DGEX runs but all the links are dead or the graphics don't load Yeah, it's been gone since 2017 I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 The strongest presence of any ridging is way east of Bermuda over the central North Atlantic Ocean. I just find it interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Icon improved as well. What an ideal cluster of models we have for the snowy solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Icon improved as well. What an ideal cluster of models we have for the snowy solution. EURO and the EPS is also in that group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 If James is consistently in a snow thread, Pike north does well. More reliable than the NAM beyond 60hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Icon improved as well. What an ideal cluster of models we have for the snowy solution. Bring it, lets pad the stats before the massive month long January thaw begins.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: EURO and the EPS is also in that group. Not really but let’s see if future euro runs can improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Icon improved as well. What an ideal cluster of models we have for the snowy solution. Iconic is actually a nice little storm pike south... don’t hate that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: If James is consistently in a snow thread, Pike north does well. More reliable than the NAM beyond 60hrs. Unless it's a Cape OES thread he's started and the only one posting in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Everything and the kitchen sink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Unless it's a Cape OES thread he's started and the only one posting in it. Touche. Maybe a caveat - More reliable than the NAM >60hrs unless he is in a thread talking to himself. Me thinks there is a social psychology dissertation in there somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 The 18z ICON brought the heaviest accumulations to Cape Cod as the changeover occurs the intensity increased as it cooled over the Cape. Something interesting in the dynamics of weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The 18z ICON brought the heaviest accumulations to Cape Cod as the changeover occurs the intensity increased as it cooled over the Cape. Something interesting in the dynamics of weather. Cmc was close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Iconic is actually a nice little storm pike south... don’t hate that look TBH based off thickness alone I have no idea how all that precip after 81 isn’t snow everywhere. I wouldn’t get into temps this far out but in that sort of setup with a low that deep everyone west of it is snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Touche. Maybe a caveat - More reliable than the NAM >60hrs unless he is in a thread talking to himself. Me thinks there is a social psychology dissertation in there somewhere. He’s served in our armed forces, I believe, so let’s ease up on the psychoanalysis and cut him some slack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, Snow88 said: Cmc was close No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 ICON is a NJ model Tippy cyclogenesis AGW Hadley cell infused storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 gfs looking better, kind of has to. But theme of lagging behind the northern shortwave continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He’s served in our armed forces, I believe, so let’s ease up on the psychoanalysis and cut him some slack. I deserve the criticism, the service of our country doesn't absolve me of that. My enthusiasm needs to be tamed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs looking better, kind of has to. But theme of lagging behind the northern shortwave continues. that is the huge difference between the models south of the area with the H5 closed low and those that are north and opened with the h5 trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 The change bringing the storm south is a slower and more amplified northern branch system allowing the southern branch system to move in tandem or slightly in front of the northern stream. This would allow a better and smoother phase between the branches allowing a stronger surface low to embark south of ACK. This also infuses the cold air to change the rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 18z GFS shows more separation between streams, a slower northern branch system is evident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 9 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I deserve the criticism, the service of our country doesn't absolve me of that. My enthusiasm needs to be tamed. Sounds like some sort of fetish lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Gfs looks awful still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks awful still Looked better then 12z, But still not good outside of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2020 Share Posted January 1, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks awful still It does, still not enough separation like the NAM shows. It will be the last to the party if that solution ends up correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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