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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

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1 minute ago, Wow said:

It's a good trend I will say. Hopefully it continues.  

Here is depth at 288 hrs.

o8YQ5el.gif

Thanks! That does look encouraging... let's hope the trend continues!

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5 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

Wow,  Does the ECMWF look similar int he same time frame?

Not the 0z OP run (12z still coming in) but the EPS is similar with large HP overhead and a weak area low LP off the east coast. Good enough for now.

BTW here is the mean MSLP on teh GEFS at 264 hrs.  Nice overrunning type event here:

Vw1yjbk.png

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9 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Is a 3-4” mean on the GEFS good? Asking for a friend!?

Idk. I’m still waiting on my ensemble snow from last year. Teleconnections for said time frame are looking $$$ though. Hard to not get a little excited :frostymelt:

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1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

Looking at the Mid Atlantic boards talk about the EPS , looks really really good similar to GEFS after next weekend....

The EPS doesn't look as good as the GEFS for sure, but we'll see how things play out.

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Just my two cents on the upcoming possible pattern change; love the trends and we've certainly waited for our turn. Couple things I'm looking for; really interested to see where the southeast ridge and resulting storm track sets up; that's been a huge deal breaker for us for years now. Lots of Highs showing up on maps for that time period, as many as 6 or 7 on some maps. That would really lend itself to overrunning Miller A types which would help more of the board, so lets see if that continues. Also, I'm temepering any excitement until at least Wed of next week. Let's get the time period within 5 days to get a better sense of where we're heading. Track on. 

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4 hours ago, griteater said:

GEFS 5 day avg loop from days 8-12 to days 12-16

 

Very nice.  I love how through the whole time referenced the west coast ridge axis and east coast trough axis just sits there in the perfect spot.  Pretty much opposite of the last 2 weeks.  

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12 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

OP keeps getting worse... I mean seriously, what kind of banana rama bs is this?! Something is going to have to give somewhere6795bf4364f1c6a77db6b68924df468b.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

I’m sure the American has this nailed down at this lead. Time to throw in the towelF6987C6E-017C-4092-A855-9B78C0D79A1E.thumb.png.0b33c3a81ae697e520985ab5a0177ff6.png

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I don't take these op runs literally. But that's 3 in a row of crap. Can't help but wonder if the wheels are wobbling a little now and its only a matter of time before the ensembles push the pattern change back too.

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4 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

384 hints...e77704a42f6bd91285c0a21ffb497ec8.jpg

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384 ALWAYS hints......

I'm just totally done with this wet pattern.  Bring me warm and dry at this point.

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I don't take these op runs literally. But that's 3 in a row of crap. Can't help but wonder if the wheels are wobbling a little now and its only a matter of time before the ensembles push the pattern change back too.


18z suites took a big hit78803657774c6d150e8c045053d4802d.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

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41 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

OP keeps getting worse... I mean seriously, what kind of banana rama bs is this?! Something is going to have to give somewhere6795bf4364f1c6a77db6b68924df468b.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

 

28 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

I’m sure the American has this nailed down at this lead. Time to throw in the towelF6987C6E-017C-4092-A855-9B78C0D79A1E.thumb.png.0b33c3a81ae697e520985ab5a0177ff6.png

 

These two post. :lmao:

With the convection issues GFS has been having. I wouldn't trust it past 120 hours.

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25 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:


 

 


18z suites took a big hit78803657774c6d150e8c045053d4802d.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

 

My money is on panel 17 being closest to reality. We've seen this movie way too many times and should know the ending.

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