CaryWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not sure i agree with those projected temps. Don't think Friday is going to be a high of 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not sure i agree with those projected temps. Don't think Friday is going to be a high of 46 12z GFS Friday highs Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 hr288 on the OP Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 10 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: hr288 on the OP Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk That’s not a good look at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Man, we make some good models!! The gfs op went from cutter , to suppressed, to a tracking of a low over CAE, in 3 runs!! Atleast mountains get crushed with the 12z run! I don’t know where all the cold air went?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 That’s not a good look at allLots of areas got nailed with WAA due to the low making landfall in Charleston and hightailing it up through Eastern NC... Here is the clown mapSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Man, we make some good models!! The gfs op went from cutter , to suppressed, to a tracking of a low over CAE, in 3 runs!! Atleast mountains get crushed with the 12z run! I don’t know where all the cold air went??Ensembles are meh at 288Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 9 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Lots of areas got nailed with WAA due to the low making landfall in Charleston and hightailing it up through Eastern NC... Here is the clown map Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk So let me get this straight. The low is off the coast and moves back over land in Charleston and moves due noth from there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 So let me get this straight. The low is off the coast and moves back over land in Charleston and moves due noth from there? NNE, went back over water off DC but from Charleston to DC it was inlandSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 @Waiting on snow hr276 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Little too warm in the piedmont of GA for the 23rd. But I hear a dog barking in the distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 19 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Ensembles are meh at 288 Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Oh crap, the ensembles are turning to crap! Cold pattern flip cancel! Uggggh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Oh crap, the ensembles are turning to crap! Cold pattern flip cancel! UgggghJust one run buddy, relaxSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 And it's plenty cold, GEFS is just drying up after the flip. Which is always a risk with cold weather in our parts. Funny how the GEFS is trending away from big snows after the EPS had the biggest run thus far at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 About 40% of GEFS members have measurable snow and thats only out to 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 QPF Anomaly from the 19th to the 26th. This is why the snowfall mean fell and all the big dogs disappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Dont take the gfs ops as the truth. It does although show the players in place..cold air close by and low around the coast. The ensembles should be pretty tasty this run. This far out take this all day long... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 The canadian is very cold late in it's run which matches up well with the GEFS and EPS. There's always a chance it could be too cold but I'd rather chance that than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: The canadian is very cold late in it's run which matches up well with the GEFS and EPS. There's always a chance it could be too cold but I'd rather chance that than anything else. Yup...so much potential coming up. Starting about a week earlier than I anticipated which is a bonus. Think we could be in for great stretch late Jan through most of Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Yup...so much potential coming up. Starting about a week earlier than I anticipated which is a bonus. Think we could be in for great stretch late Jan through most of Feb I feel pretty confident in that, too. Latest temp fxcast from the GEFS(almost 11 day freeze streak thrown in for good measure): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, Queencitywx said: I feel pretty confident in that, too. Latest temp fxcast from the GEFS(almost 11 day freeze streak thrown in for good measure): Perfect, we need to cool those ground temps before we get anything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 QPF Anomaly from the 19th to the 26th. This is why the snowfall mean fell and all the big dogs disappeared.That will do it everytime... Arctic air is notorious for being dry as heckSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nobody really thought all that moisture was going to hang around once it got cold did they? That's not how this works. Colder drier air holds less moisture. Give me a 0.5 to 0.75 inches of liquid and cold and call it a day. Theres a reason 1-2 foot snows are so rare down here. A 6 inch storm is great down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 European might've been going somewhere fun by the end of it's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: European might've been going somewhere fun by the end of it's run. Saw the same thing Cold air in place... maybe heading to what the EPS was showing in that time period... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 This is at 240... Man I hate HPs parked over Alabama or Georgia, blocks out the cold! (But 216 was beautiful though) Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Control run has a pretty significant event. Probably ice for SC, sleet between 85 and 40, mostly snow 40 and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 51 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: European might've been going somewhere fun by the end of it's run. Always at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CustomWX Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 EPS isn't necessarily bad, it's just worse than 00z. At this point changes at H5 are well within the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 EPS isn't necessarily bad, it's just worse than 00z. At this point changes at H5 are well within the realm of possibility. Yeah... That's way down from 0zSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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