MJO812 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Thanks for the images I'm having trouble posting pics on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 I get it some guys don't love the snow or the weenies but what if all that went wrong with the models and the weather patterns last year goes right this year ? Theres no denying that this event is over a week away but the models as of now are seeing a possible storm ------------weenie away my friends who cares about the nay sayers ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Any word on the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 26 minutes ago, TriPol said: Any word on the EURO? Much flatter and further off the coast. 10:1 is only an inch or two for areas close to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 6 hours ago, Snow88 said: When ? Are you a weather enthusiast or a troll? How did the D10 work out last year? And according to you this year the FV3 is even worse than last? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 The next 8 days are averaging 41degs., or about 7degs. BN. Month to date is -0.5[51.1]. Should be about -4.5[45.1] by the 14th. 48.0* here at 6am. EURO is 3", 12" and now back to 2" of Snow on the 13th. Outside of last November's mid-month outburst, such big snowstorms have only occurred during the last week of month. But with GW, the gear shift may not be so smooth, and another anomalous event is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 1 hour ago, Dan76 said: How did the D10 work out last year? And according to you this year the FV3 is even worse than last? A million things will change a million times. The pattern is conducive. That’s all we know now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 1 hour ago, Dan76 said: How did the D10 work out last year? And according to you this year the FV3 is even worse than last? That's not day 10 . The pattern looks conducive but of course things can go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 6 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Gfs is even more impressive at 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 46 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is even more impressive at 6z 6z shows moderate snow in the low 20s. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: 6z shows moderate snow in the low 20s. Lol Models get really cold next week before a possible warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 This could be something. You have nearly the PV coming into the east and interacting with the WAR and still warm waters. The question is will any low that develops stay flat and simply scoot east or will the WAR provide some resistance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 2 hours ago, Ericjcrash said: 6z shows moderate snow in the low 20s. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 3 hours ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is even more impressive at 6z Impressive and only 6-7 days away!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 GFS skill is ranked 3rd, behind Ukie, and CMC is ranked last. Keep that in perspective people... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 4 hours ago, CIK62 said: The next 8 days are averaging 41degs., or about 7degs. BN. Month to date is -0.5[51.1]. Should be about -4.5[45.1] by the 14th. 48.0* here at 6am. EURO is 3", 12" and now back to 2" of Snow on the 13th. Outside of last November's mid-month outburst, such big snowstorms have only occurred during the last week of month. But with GW, the gear shift may not be so smooth, and another anomalous event is possible. Warm oceans and cool continents with GW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 20 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Impressive and only 6-7 days away!! I'm surprised it's not showing more lake effect snow totals for those up in the snow belt areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 GFS has several inches for next week even for the city. A lot of cold air gets drilled into the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 I won’t believe a modeled snow event this time of year until it’s here. It’s still almost ridiculously early in the season and this setup might trend to sheared garbage or something that blows up too late/out to sea given how deep the trough is. Keep expectations checked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 24 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS has several inches for next week even for the city. A lot of cold air gets drilled into the storm. This is one case where you want the WAR to flex its muscles so the system isn't too flat. Luckily that's been the trend for a very long time now. Very 2014/2015 esque type of setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 1 hour ago, psv88 said: Warm oceans and cool continents with GW That's conducive for a meteorological bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: This is one case where you want the WAR to flex its muscles so the system isn't too flat. Luckily that's been the trend for a very long time now. Very 2014/2015 esque type of setup. CMC is further east than the GFS but we still get some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: This is one case where you want the WAR to flex its muscles so the system isn't too flat. Luckily that's been the trend for a very long time now. Very 2014/2015 esque type of setup. I remember this pattern started in the early 00s where storms almost always went further NW than expected. Actually going back to 1995-96 when you think about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 33 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS has several inches for next week even for the city. A lot of cold air gets drilled into the storm. GFS is a crush job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 GEFS IS A SNOWSTORM FOR NEXT WEEK 6-12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 9 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: GEFS IS A SNOWSTORM FOR NEXT WEEK 6-12 inches It's going to be a long winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 1 minute ago, NycStormChaser said: It's going to be a long winter Isn't it always? UK is a cutter. Either way it's going to feel like winter that's looking like a lock at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the UK cuts and ICON hugs. So it may be a signal that the 12z Euro will come in more amped up. Probably will, still quite a spread( as to be expected at this stage) with the canadians east of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 6, 2019 Share Posted November 6, 2019 And the fact that today's Wednesday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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