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August 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave

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13 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Summer heat is over... the best part of the summer is on its way... hot in the sun but cool in the shade 0 humidity and highs in the 70’s and 80’s what more do you want?

For the answer to that you'll have to go the, what time did it really get dark? thread above. As always .... 

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Next 8 days averaging 72degs., or about 2degs. AN.

Month to date is  +0.9[76.4].         August should end near [75.6].     Depending on what is going to be used as the August average, this is near +0.4.     GFSx is different.

62.7* here at 6am.    62.3* at 7am, moderate overcast.

Dorian to give Florida a wet Holiday weekend?

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16 hours ago, bluewave said:

These big Canadian highs are lining up like planes coming into an airport. Next one is scheduled to arrive around Labor Day.

 

57CBF348-C518-471A-8848-E21B2C7E4506.thumb.png.8db073fa2daa0a389307af78fd7c8988.png

74E2944B-CF85-4C7E-A24D-FB545CF53C39.thumb.png.abd69c276b26a9a804bc0a4b0aa08caa.png

reminds me a little of early Sept. 1992...1992-93 could be an analog for the winter if the enso stays neutral until mid winter when el nino made a come back...

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18 minutes ago, psv88 said:

61 last night. Way too early for this. We have October for this. Bring back the heat

 

14 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

Pool days are likely over as water temps plunged. :(

yep-unless it's heated forget about it.   Ocean/sound still warm, but who wants to go in when it's only 72 outside...a far cry this year from last year's hot August.    

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22 minutes ago, psv88 said:

61 last night. Way too early for this. We have October for this. Bring back the heat

I agree.  It feels even cooler than that with some clouds, low humidity and windy. Doesnt have to be oppressive heat, but I'd like a little more warmth before the season is over. Or even these temps with a touch more humidity and light wind would feel more summer like but still comfortable. Probably an un popular opinion but I like to get the most out of all seasons.

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9 minutes ago, dWave said:

I agree.  It feels even cooler than that with some clouds, low humidity and windy. Doesnt have to be oppressive heat, but I'd like a little more warmth before the season is over. Or even these temps with a touch more humidity and light wind would feel more summer like but still comfortable. Probably an un popular opinion but I like to get the most out of all seasons.

We warm up next few days back into the 80's for most here.   Next chance of cooler weather towards Sun/Mon....

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6 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Chris @bluewave you were right no real heat in sight which is good but I was wrong I thought we’d get some 90’s late August early September. 

Sneaky chance at 90 this Fri/Sat for the hottest spots but unlikely otherwise. 

1st of September doesn't look very warm either and 90s are hard to come by after 9/10.

Strongly negative -EPO should keep cooler air masses nearby. 

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3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Sneaky chance at 90 this Fri/Sat for the hottest spots but unlikely otherwise. 

1st of September doesn't look very warm either and 90s are hard to come by after 9/10.

if the GFS is right-it's a very cool Labor Day weekend with temps in the 60's and 70's.

gfs_T2m_neus_22.png

gfs_T2m_neus_26.png

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The IOD just rose above +1 for the first time since 2015. So there are currently cooler SST departures near Indonesia. Be interesting to see if some semblance of this pattern lingers into winter and can result in less Maritime Continent MJO forcing. But the warmth near and west of the dateline has been associated with a more active MJO in general. Also the very strong +NPM with near record SST warmth from just off the equator and northward. 

950404DF-7CC6-4EF1-BF53-BD67D6787289.png.fdfb9f0a36d4704f71c8658d3a73aafd.png

B76E8FFD-B218-4C36-9003-62750A1F194C.png.de93765420949610c8000a9ae971fd26.png

 

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3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Sneaky chance at 90 this Fri/Sat for the hottest spots but unlikely otherwise. 

1st of September doesn't look very warm either and 90s are hard to come by after 9/10.

Strongly negative -EPO should keep cooler air masses nearby. 

ECM more enthused with the Fri - Sun transient heat opportunity than the GFS.  Beyond there still looks warm to potentially hot sometime between Sep 4 - 7.  ECM had blunted that signal a bit of the last few runs. Otherwise more days like today - not many complaints.

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8/26 high  temps

Newark -75

Islip -74

Cpk-74

Lag -73

Jfk -73

1

Wonder why no one post temps when we're almost 10 degrees below normal this makes 7 days of sub 80 degree High temps for Central Park with tomorrow the 8th and Saturday has a chance if the cold front comes through early enough and stronger as guidance has trended the last few runs which would make nine. Can anybody tell me what the record number of sub 80-degree high temperatures for Central Park is for the month of August

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