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WxUSAF

March 3-4, 2019 Snow Discussion and Obs

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8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

32/22 here. 

Went to my friend's house in gamber/finksburg. No snow left on the ground. Bare as can be. Actually there was no snowcover left south of Walmart. 

The fact that we held some snow cover bodes well. Our temps are running quite a bit cooler than the rest of the forum this morning .

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9 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Our back yards seem to have fallen on the right side of the equation this winter. Fingers crossed we do it again today. :)

If this was our last hope in a bad winter I’d be more stressed, but I’m already over climo and it’s March.  I’ll just let it play out and hope to pad stats.

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12 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Keep us posted for when they hoist the flood warnings for you. 

I might go boating on the Potomac near Great Falls with my dinghy

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5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

If this was our last hope in a bad winter I’d be more stressed, but I’m already over climo and it’s March.  I’ll just let it play out and hope to pad stats.

We still got a shot at something on Friday. Would be nice to have some good looks at 12z and 18z to hold us over if it does just rain. Holding steady at 39.

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6 minutes ago, H2O said:

I might go boating on the Potomac near Great Falls with my dinghy

Just don't get arrested for indecent exposure. Or do. Would make for a great conversational piece on these boards for a long time to come.

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1 minute ago, snowfan said:

I'd be cautious with assuming ratios would be anything above 6-8:1.

Ratios once you get out into the farther NW subs will probably be 10:1 possibly 12:1 around the favored locals around the PA line.

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The 06Z Euro has the 2m temp at 34 at 00Z at DCA,  The 11Z HRRR has it at 39.  I've not been a big fan of the HRRR. My question to my friends at EMC,  are there any verification of the HRRR 2m temps and is there a high bias?  oops I showed teh 23Z but the 00Z has the same temp.

 

Mar_3_hrrr_2019.png

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15 minutes ago, snowfan said:

I'd be cautious with assuming ratios would be anything above 6-8:1.

depends on where you are.

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Wes, I know the hrrrrr has a wrong bias, but not sure it leans warm or cold.

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Still holding at 34/26 but with some flakes lazily falling down 

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15 minutes ago, Jeff B said:

40/26 here in Timonium (21093), west of I-83.

Really? That's awfully warm. Most stations in the area are 34 to 37, with 39 at the Inner Harbor.

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Few flakes falling here already too. 

Is this what we want though? Flurries and light for a few hrs as dews warm? I’d rather the light stuff just hold off until the heavier stuff arrives this afternoon. 

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2 minutes ago, Wonderdog said:

Snowflakes falling in Gainesville 38

I wonder if this initial moisture will help cool the column before the heavier stuff arrives later.  I’m probably out but hopefully it’s enough for the Western PWC crew

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