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January 2019 Discussion II


Typhoon Tip

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19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Has BOS or ORH ever had a sub zero max temp?

ORH has done it twice. 1/8/68 they had a high of -2 and 12/30/1917 they had a high of -1. 

Theyve had a few 0F highs and of course last week had a high of 1F. There's been a few afternoons too that we're below zero but they had cheap midnight highs or something similar. 

 

BOS has never done it. Closest they got was 2F on 12/30/1917. 

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5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Despite the heavy rain yesterday, it is full on, glacial snow pack winter, over the interior right now. Anywhere N&W of Savoy pass to Orange along Rt 2 has solid glaciated snow cover.  Even downtown Greenfield is solid 3-4"+ of frozen.

Just piles left here.  Gone like Donkey Kong...

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2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Just piles left here.  Gone like Donkey Kong...

What about woods? We actually have probably 70-80% cover in woods here and maybe 20-25% in open areas. Still ugly but I take the silver linings where I can get them this winter. We did have an obscene amount of qpf as sleet here though. Prob more qpf than NW in your 'hood so that might have helped keep a little more cover. 

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48 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

What about woods? We actually have probably 70-80% cover in woods here and maybe 20-25% in open areas. Still ugly but I take the silver linings where I can get them this winter. We did have an obscene amount of qpf as sleet here though. Prob more qpf than NW in your 'hood so that might have helped keep a little more cover. 

Natick?

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By Jan. 22, weekly ice coverage across all five Great Lakes was at 23 percent, according to the Canadian Ice Service of Environment Canada. That's slightly above the 30-year average (1981-2010) of about 19 percent for that week.  After next week those numbers are going to skyrocket.  But in the meantime, the lake effect snows should be substantial in places where the ice has not taken hold yet, Buffalo for one such place.

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44 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Is everyone going to ignore the fact that the GEFS/EPS have eastern ridging with AN heights from Feb 2-10. 

The Pacific in particular looks like a disaster with a raging jet re-emerging. 

It's time to start talking about that scenario though as our TV Mets as well as TWC long range Mets have been talking about Pac air flooding the whole country after SB weekend.

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56 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Is everyone going to ignore the fact that the GEFS/EPS have eastern ridging with AN heights from Feb 2-10. 

The Pacific in particular looks like a disaster with a raging jet re-emerging. 

I read similiar

i just trust Mets like scooter to post these things if they were in the 10-15 day bc were constantly fed rose colored glasses of that period lately , looks like pacific flow returns w a vengeance around day 14

The mid -end first week of February should offer a storm chance even further SE in SNE

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah we go back to more of a -PNA look with some ridging into AK southwest to the dateline. But we also get a -NAO to try and help(although I don’t buy it yet). It’s likely an active look, but more riding the line. It’s funny how we refuse to get a classic Niño  look.

W -NAO help could be fun. Not really holding my breath on that 

as I said yesterday the next round of capitulation melts have increasing chances when this feb 7-10 onward period Is seen as crap.. but maybe first we see widespread sne storm as vortex lifts out 

And yes ....it may not go to crap, I’d give it 75/25 of doing so

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