weathafella Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 GFS continues to slowly come around for Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I just went out and measure the depth in the same area as I did last night. Looks like we lost about 4 inches from 21 to 17". Driveway is in great shape. I had gotten enough off of that on Tuesday night that it is mostly down to pavement now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 41 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, A whole fifth straight from the bottle, We will replenish it next week. The bourbon or the snow? I’m fine with either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: The bourbon or the snow? I’m fine with either. Both, I'm starting to like Tuesday for something at least up here, But would not rule out the folks further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: EPS weeklies look solid. A bit too much WAR still with western ridge axis a tad too far west through about mid Feb, then h5 look gets very good beyond that. -AO/NAO is prominent throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: Don't worry, EPS is speeding up the better pac already. It will prob knock down the war over the weekend so monday's weeklies will be perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Week 3/4 are nudity on the weeklies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I was totally joking. It was an extension of my posts earlier this week about the bad look is going to fade and be replaced with a much improved look. Guessed right I suppose... Weeklies are already R rated so Monday's weeklies will need to be watched in the back of a grimey movie theater while wearing a london fog overcoat with only a pair of panties on. Panties are optional though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Week 3/4 are nudity on the weeklies. Is that Valentines Dayish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 4 minutes ago, Modfan said: Is that Valentines Dayish? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 4 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: only 3-4 weeks away too! That's like tomorrow in dog years. The pattern looks good before that. It's just the weeklies develop a real -NAO for week 3-4...in the Davis strait. I'm skeptical of the NAO though until I see it on ensembles inside of D10. We've been hoodwinked before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 hours ago, wxmanmitch said: Not bad at all actually. This pack really is absorbing it like a sponge and I don't think I lost more than 6". Last year's thaw on 1/12 was far worse in terms of flooding around here for whatever reason. We had about a 2 foot pack prior to that event, but it nearly got wiped out unlike this event where it's held up comparatively well. Pretty much over to all snow now, albeit wet. That's what I saw up here. Honestly I can barely tell a difference looking at my yard except it's not fresh looking. Temps held in the 30s and the snowpack absorbed it. At most we lost 6" and still have 18" left. It looks more like it just settled a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Not to mock you Will but I'm so f sick of hearin about the g-damn NAO ... I bet you 900 of 1000 of the snow we've had in the last 20 years did not have a -NAO when that occurred.. Which that's probably bullshit but just sayn' Actually.... that might be interesting study. Huh... Just like what was the NAO in every even that result >= 1" tedious tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 She gone. Just piles now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not to mock you Will but I'm so f sick of hearin about the g-damn NAO ... I bet you 900 of 1000 of the snow we've had in the last 20 years did not have a -NAO when that occurred.. Which that's probably bullshit but just sayn' Actually.... that might be interesting study. Huh... Just like what was the NAO in every even that result >= 1" tedious tho I don't think we had any blocking in 2015. Maybe I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geo1 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 If I did a time lapse video of my back yard you would have thought it was March to April lol. Not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 So I ran through the 12z eps members like pickles runs through granny panties....so hold onto your undies. If you drew a line from DXR to BOS, 10% of the members give that line and points SE, away from the cape, warning level snows. The remaining 90% are a big FU. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 31 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not to mock you Will but I'm so f sick of hearin about the g-damn NAO ... I bet you 900 of 1000 of the snow we've had in the last 20 years did not have a -NAO when that occurred.. Which that's probably bullshit but just sayn' Actually.... that might be interesting study. Huh... Just like what was the NAO in every even that result >= 1" tedious tho 28 minutes ago, Hoth said: I don't think we had any blocking in 2015. Maybe I'm wrong. His point is lost on both of you. Its not necessary to get nailed, as 2015 illustrated, but it provides more margin for error in the event that the balance of the hemispheric regime is less than stellar....as this season illustrates. We wouldn't have to worry about the timing of all of these SW's, which has been awful. The mother load of arctic air would not have been allowed evacuate in advance of the ongoing soaker. In 2015, the ridge out west was positioned perfectly for several weeks, this season it is less stout and displaced west....so we cut. This season would be perceived entirely different right now had we an NAO...today is a perfect example. This season is a good counter to the "we don't need an NAO" rebellion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So I ran through the 12z eps members like pickles runs through granny panties....so hold onto your undies. If you drew a line from DXR to BOS, 10% of the members give that line and points SE, away from the cape, warning level snows. The remaining 90% are a big FU. I'm so sick of blogging about terds, and waisting bandwidth trying to polish them. "Could be 3-4" of slop if everything breaks right"....ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: His point is lost on both of you. Its not necessary to get nailed, as 2015 illustrated, but it provides more margin for error in the event that the balance of the hemispheric regime is less than stellar....as this season illustrates. We wouldn't have to worry about the timing of all of these SW's, which has been awful. The mother load of arctic air would not have been allowed evacuate in advance of the ongoing soaker. This season would be perceived entirely different right now had we an NAO...today is a perfect example. This season is a good counter to the "we don't need an NAO" rebellion. Yup. I had mentioned months ago without a big epo/pna, we would need help from the nao....otherwise we travel back in time to the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 There is time to get it right and cash in though, not denying that. But it has to happen relatively soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. I had mentioned months ago without a big epo/pna, we would need help from the nao....otherwise we travel back in time to the 80s. It can work, but has to break just right....like it did in 2015. This year, the ridge isn't as amplified and its placed more to the west....so without the NAO, we need the right timing, and we haven't gotten it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There is time to get it right and cash in though, not denying that. But it has to happen relatively soon. I still think it will work out, but I'm just done with this period....period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 So does John think I’m throwing out the need for an -NAO this year as the be all end all to get a solid snowy season every year? Yeah, I’m just a moron throwing out indices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... The models were in fairly good agreement in the extended so a blend was used. High pres on Sat produces fair wx with temps a few degrees blw avg. Return flow off the water overnight however will limit lows. In this light waa off the water, there could be some black ice development, along with patchy fog, particularly on LI and cstl CT. Outside of the llvl moisture, a weak wave coming in from the midwest will act as a weak warm front late Sat ngt into Sun, producing chances for pcpn. The sys is progged to be moisture starved, so only low chcs per the model blend data have been included in the fcst. A weak cold front follows for Mon. This sys again has limited moisture to work with so low chcs in the fcst. The next storm for Tue looks a bit more intense attm, with the associated sfc low progged to deepen extensively somewhere invof New England by Tue ngt as a monster upr low digs into the Great Lakes. All of the data suggests for now an inside track, with a snow to rain/ice scenario then back to shsn as the sys exits. The GEM and ECMWF are remarkably similar wrt track with the 12z runs. The GFS is a bit further e. Aft the midweek storm, arctic air flows in with temps well blw climo for the end of the week. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Whineminster is trying to hide his melt by only going crazy in the NNE thread where it will go undetected by most of the mainstream posters... 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 You can run but you can't hide. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 What a shitload of rain that was today. Walking out to the woodpile was like walking through 6" of gross. At least it's still white. At least now that we've dipped into the 20's I can slip out instead of sink on my way for wood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 What ? not missing any points ... " I " am sick of hearing about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: What ? not missing any points ... " I " am sick of hearing about it Perhaps a weather forum isn't the highest percentage play to avoid it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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