CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Next week is a mess. Highly complicated with the PV diving into the Great Lakes and it's offspring rotating all around. Tuesday could be interesting on the EPS, but can't rule out some -SN Sunday too. Or it could rain next week. At this stage, not worth talking about right now. I'll probably lean meh until further notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Tels and Mojo wow look at that MJO in Phase 5 and 6 strength, missed by many. Almost as strong as a few weeks ago, these cutters and gradient snows are no accident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Could be a little slick around here for a while today. 23F w/ scattered -pl/fzra. Looks like a steady air band over North Adams heading this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: wow look at that MJO in Phase 5 and 6 strength, missed by many. Almost as strong as a few weeks ago, these cutters and gradient snows are no accident. I don’t think the Ecmwf has it sitting in those phases nearly as long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 hour ago, HimoorWx said: FYP Glad I don’t live there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Next week is a mess. Highly complicated with the PV diving into the Great Lakes and it's offspring rotating all around. Tuesday could be interesting on the EPS, but can't rule out some -SN Sunday too. Or it could rain next week. At this stage, not worth talking about right now. I'll probably lean meh until further notice. I'm just in wait and see mode. I really don't see the point in arguing with anyone anymore because there is frankly nothing left to be said, and to be fair, we are now into my one month window with nothing imminent. I feel like its pretty much either put up, or shut up time for me. I think the period has started decently, but this week looks bleh. The thing is, though...I still feel as though something is going to emerge right in front of us with little warning. Eventually something in the n stream is going to phase right. Hopefully we do not have to wait until Feb, but that may be the case. 1969 did that, and seems to have been the best analog to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 11 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I don’t think the Ecmwf has it sitting in those phases nearly as long Mjo looks good this morning on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm just in wait and see mode. I really don't see the point in arguing with anyone anymore because there is frankly nothing left to be said, and to be fair, we are now into my one month window with nothing imminent. I feel like its pretty much either put up, or shut up time for me. I think the period has started decently, but this week looks bleh. The thing is, though...I still feel as though something is going to emerge right in front of us with little warning. Eventually something in the n stream is going to phase right. Hopefully we do not have to wait until Feb, but that may be the case. 1969 did that, and seems to have been the best analog to date. I’m definitely not trying to suggest anything negative, just too early to say. The 6z eps was trying to cook something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm just in wait and see mode. I really don't see the point in arguing with anyone anymore because there is frankly nothing left to be said, and to be fair, we are now into my one month window with nothing imminent. I feel like its pretty much either put up, or shut up time for me. I think the period has started decently, but this week looks bleh. The thing is, though...I still feel as though something is going to emerge right in front of us with little warning. Eventually something in the n stream is going to phase right. Hopefully we do not have to wait until Feb, but that may be the case. 1969 did that, and seems to have been the best analog to date. We spoke about this yesterday, type of flow that won’t show face until inside D5. Spanky yelled at his wife over dinner that she needs to be patient. I hope you’re not losing yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m definitely not trying to suggest anything negative, just too early to say. The 6z eps was trying to cook something good. For Sunday or Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’m definitely not trying to suggest anything negative, just too early to say. The 6z eps was trying to cook something good. Oh, I know...don't read anything into the fact that I quoted you. Just sort of speaking with you for public consumption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We spoke about this yesterday, type of flow that won’t show face until inside D5. Spanky yelled at his wife over dinner that she needs to be patient. I hope you’re not losing yours. No, I feel fine...but by the same token, I do think its time to stop trying to force feed people the same crap, and instead just shut up and let it play out. We'll know soon enough- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I feel like we are going to see some late phases that are going to demolish eastern areas, and nail most....look out Maine/e MA, e NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: For Sunday or Tuesday? Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday. It’s a 4 day snower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like we are going to see some late phases that are going to demolish eastern areas, and nail most....look out Maine/e MA, e NH. Sign me up. I'm actually happy we'll melt all the crap on the ground now and start over fresh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 3 hours ago, dendrite said: This is going to be a real snow eater. 50s dews right into S NH and SW ME? It will be hideous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 26 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: For Sunday or Tuesday? Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 hours ago, mahk_webstah said: It’s been the story of the winter. Snow and then it melts snow and then it melts snow and then it melts. I hope at some point we actually get a pack that builds for a month or so Except it has only snowed once since Thanksgiving for most folks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like we are going to see some late phases that are going to demolish eastern areas, and nail most....look out Maine/e MA, e NH. Sounds about right. I'm comfortably numb at this point anyway, so y'all have at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Place is dead....not a peep RE GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday. It’s a 4 day snower I salute you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Place is dead....not a peep RE GFS It’s not running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 GFS def looks interesting for Tuesday. Too suppressed for Sunday except maybe some light snow of the C-1" variety (more for the upslope fetish locations) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s not running. It is on IWM... for some reason TT isn't running it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS def looks interesting for Tuesday. Too suppressed for Sunday except maybe some light snow of the C-1" variety (more for the upslope fetish locations) Snowy SB week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Snowy SB week. Days and days of snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 It's out to 144 hours at GG ... Same old same old.... too much compression...waves tending to shear/absorb... Sloped and gradient rich gives faux allusion of favorability but until some of the velocity saturation comes down...it's going to be tooth pulling getting broader organized events to pan out - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Impressive EPO ridge/noded block formulation in the 00z guidance by D10 ... I was mentioning to Scott the other day ... I thought it was possible that the receding back to the data-line of the Alaskan sector might by false .... He was speaking in deference to the D11-15 ... but, sufficed it is to say, this rather abrupt onset of D10 -EPO construct shows that "tendency" lurks ... I would be taking even the EPS' D11-15's with a grain - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Starting to look Feb 2015-ish out there with that exotic vortex E of JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Push it back push it back wayyyyyyy back...pattern change in February, now. Ok, just being an ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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