Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: GGEM offers up a longish duration light snow to light ice event next week fwiw - Yup it’s a several day snow siege. The kind that keeps the plows going 24/7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I thought it was too troughy in the GOA but I defer to the experts. GEFS were a little east with the low so the low heights spill into GOA a bit but you can still see the ridge popping east of it. That would be fine...esp in early February. I'd expect the final position will retrograde more though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup it’s a several day snow siege. The kind that keeps the plows going 24/7 Hmmm...typically a several day snow (precip) siege consolidates into a <24 hour storm. We'll see. I would welcome days and days of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup it’s a several day snow siege. The kind that keeps the plows going 24/7 The kind that scrapes black pavement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The PV being near HB is exactly where we want it. Why would you want it parked over Burlington, VT? I don't want it over BVT. I see one lobe of the PV pushing thru on Monday. It's the follow-up lobe that's my one focus. Heights are beginning to recover after the Monday lobe moves thru and there is a southern stream s/w that is also mucking up the flow. I'd prefer to the follow up PV lobe just N of say Lake Superior by about 12z Mon/ 00z Tues at the latest to make this more interesting then currently modeled. Just how I see it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't want it over BVT. I see one lobe of the PV pushing thru on Monday. It's the follow-up lobe that's my one focus. Heights are beginning to recover after the Monday lobe moves thru and there is a southern stream s/w that is also mucking up the flow. I'd prefer to the follow up PV lobe just N of say Lake Superior by about 12z Mon/ 00z Tues at the latest to make this more interesting then currently modeled. Just how I see it right now. Oh, you are referring to the timing of specific n stream waves....I though you meant the main PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Euro cookin’... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup it’s a several day snow siege. The kind that keeps the plows going 24/7 Little sister of 1888? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro cookin’... Looks too far west this run. But man, that is insane meridional flow. We just need that initial PV lobe to dig a little more SE at around D5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, you are referring to the timing of specific n stream waves....I though you meant the main PV. Core of PV over BTV is like "congrats DC"... now it makes more sense what Bob was saying ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't want it over BVT. I see one lobe of the PV pushing thru on Monday. It's the follow-up lobe that's my one focus. Heights are beginning to recover after the Monday lobe moves thru and there is a southern stream s/w that is also mucking up the flow. I'd prefer to the follow up PV lobe just N of say Lake Superior by about 12z Mon/ 00z Tues at the latest to make this more interesting then currently modeled. Just how I see it right now. To try and illustrate my thoughts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Lookout for a second wave coming up along the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks too far west this run. But man, that is insane meridional flow. We just need that initial PV lobe to dig a little more SE at around D5. My hedge is that it works out....just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 It's cooking alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Core of PV over BTV is like "congrats DC"... now it makes more sense what Bob was saying ha. I would never want the center of a PV over your ass. I'm referring to the lobes that are rotating around it. That's going to be a critical piece to next week without any help from downstream blocking. Timing is everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My hedge is that it works out....just a guess. Well you def need it for your outlook. Lol. Theres def potential with that one. The northern stream shortwave gets broken in half crossing over western Canada near the Rockies on this euro run. We either want that to stay intact (if it did, I think we get a Miller B rather than the second broken piece becoming a storm too far west) or the initial PV lobe to settle further southeast giving us a Miller B anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Cooking Cutters, foking cutters...then a frontal passage with wasted cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Rains to Maines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Cooked is more like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's cooking alright. Rhea casserole that run. I'll take ny chances with that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Congrats Chicago on a high of -10 on Jan 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Meanwhile PF will go from posting pics of VW's buried to Semi's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I’m gonna stfu. Carry on... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Well you def need it for your outlook. Lol. Theres def potential with that one. The northern stream shortwave gets broken in half crossing over western Canada near the Rockies on this euro run. We either want that to stay intact (if it did, I think we get a Miller B rather than the second broken piece becoming a storm too far west) or the initial PV lobe to settle further southeast giving us a Miller B anyway. What time range does that fracture occur? Guessing the Euro does not have that right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 If that lobe is centered where I said it needs to be, that's a solid hit for us. I also know its not as simple as this as we also need help from the upstream ridge over the west coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: I’m gonna stfu. Carry on... Nah, you’re fine. It looks good then when it plays out.....Hello Anna Kournikova. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Judah sucks. Go back to drawing board kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: What time range does that fracture occur? Guessing the Euro does not have that right. Around 96-102 hours. The GFS does it too though it buries the lagging energy so that the focus is on the main northern stream wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Jesus that's cold. I'm all set with that pig sitting over us. Keep it west and leave us in the baro zone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Around 96-102 hours. The GFS does it too though it buries the lagging energy so that the focus is on the main northern stream wave. Eh....I'd give it 24 hours. Man, everything that can go wrong, does. What causes it to break? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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