OceanStWx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 EPS got snowier for the mountains, and farther SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 EPS has s better -EPO in the 8-10 day range at least. Maybe that can buy us a wintry event after that time before it relaxes a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS has s better -EPO in the 8-10 day range at least. Maybe that can buy us a wintry event after that time before it relaxes a bit. Still showing the -NAO too beyond that. I like seeing the PV height anomalies getting into Hudson Bay region. When you start getting a -NAO with that it can hold the cold into SE Canada and NE even if the PAC relaxes some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still showing the -NAO too beyond that. I like seeing the PV height anomalies getting into Hudson Bay region. When you start getting a -NAO with that it can hold the cold into SE Canada and NE even if the PAC relaxes some. That’s actually a damned cold run. Weenies crying today and cheering in a week? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 We may have completely changed our fortunes from 24 hours ago and reverting back to cold and snowy month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder if that Inv trough surprises some folks on Wednesday in SNE with a band of steadier snow in spots . It’s been there on and off on models You wonder, I don't. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You wonder, I don't. Maybe at 320’ on weenie ledge Methuen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 18z Nam colder on the Tues system, That would be doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: That’s actually a damned cold run. Weenies crying today and cheering in a week? Yeah PAC still gets meh but it's been rotting at D13-15 for like 6 runs now. It doesn't get any closer and the EPO in the D9-11 timeframe has strengthened. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Maybe at 320’ on weenie ledge Methuen 350' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Pickles stealing elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah PAC still gets meh but it's been rotting at D13-15 for like 6 runs now. It doesn't get any closer and the EPO in the D9-11 timeframe has strengthened. Yes and even the meh Pacific has the lower heights further north which could be serviceable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 52 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still showing the -NAO too beyond that. I like seeing the PV height anomalies getting into Hudson Bay region. When you start getting a -NAO with that it can hold the cold into SE Canada and NE even if the PAC relaxes some. Ala Dec 70 Dec 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 BTV playing it real conservative, with less than an inch expected below 1,000ft (mostly rain)... and only 3-6" in the elevations due to mixing with rain. They do mention a foot possible at the summit level but no headlines due to warm boundary layer under 2,000ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: BTV playing it real conservative, with less than an inch expected below 1,000ft (mostly rain)... and only 3-6" in the elevations due to mixing with rain. They do mention a foot possible at the summit level but no headlines due to warm boundary layer under 2,000ft. I tried to get them to come along with watches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I tried to get them to come along with watches. 1 or 2 miles either way will make a huge difference for some for snow no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Looking forward to another 1/2"+ of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 58 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You wonder, I don't. It’s there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 13 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I tried to get them to come along with watches. I was a little surprised to be honest...at least for like the NEK and Adirondacks. It wasn't Taber or Lahiff though, I didn't recognize the name and they've got a lot of newbies in the office. I mean I feel like even Advisory snows where people live outside the Champlain Valley are likely, with 50-50 shot at Warning snows in the hilly interior of VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I was a little surprised to be honest...at least for like the NEK and Adirondacks. It wasn't Taber or Lahiff though, I didn't recognize the name and they've got a lot of newbies in the office. I mean I feel like even Advisory snows where people live outside the Champlain Valley are likely, with 50-50 shot at Warning snows in the hilly interior of VT. 50/50 should be enough for a watch. I would expect it to be pretty good about several hundred feet in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 On 11/23/2018 at 9:40 AM, Damage In Tolland said: I’m actually on board for a big big December On 11/24/2018 at 3:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Dec is likely lost for SNE . It’s time to face reality unfortunately 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: We may have completely changed our fortunes from 24 hours ago and reverting back to cold and snowy month "If you don't like the weather [or in this case the modeling] in New England now, just wait a few minutes." - Mark Twain 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 50/50 should be enough for a watch. I would expect it to be pretty good about several hundred feet in that area. Yeah in the end it doesn't matter what they forecast, but I would've expected at least a watch for someone in the BTV CWA given all the model data I've looked at today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Thrush? Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Thrush? Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk His name is Gene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 My wife met him once on the plane. Cool guy His name is Gene Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Glad I'm not an on air Met trying to forecast for my hood. Clown map from 18Z NAM. Big gradiant over a small area and elevation changes from 400 to 2000 feet within a few miles from my house. Cold rain or pounding heart attack snow, it will be fun to see how this unfolds up here... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Glad I'm not an on air Met trying to forecast for my hood. Clown map from 18Z NAM. Big gradiant over a small area and elevation changes from 400 to 2000 feet within a few miles from my house. Cold rain or pounding heart attack snow, it will be fun to see how this unfolds up here... You should get a real nasty pasting for a time. Tough to say if you flip to mix or rain as low hugs coast, but it’s possible you could be a 32f snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Cannon crippler Killington looks mint as well up And In Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 How much on the ground now at Stowe in town? We’re trying to figure out a time to come up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: How much on the ground now at Stowe in town? We’re trying to figure out a time to come up... Not a lot now...half a foot of soggy snow after today's rain? As usual, big gradient up the road to over a foot at 1300ft+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now