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November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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4 minutes ago, Cfa said:

I like the idea of an I-91 extension to the LIE via William Floyd Parkway, the two are almost perfectly aligned, the only issue would be that the bridge/tunnel would be crossing the widest part of the Sound.

given the costs, environmental concerns, etc etc, it will never happen in our lifetimes...

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18 hours ago, bluewave said:

The first half of this November is a departure from the drier 2010's patterns. This will be the wettest first half of November for NYC during the 2010's. The record for NYC since 1980 is 5.15 in 1995.

November 1-15 NYC precipitation of the 2010's:

2018.....1.57.... so far with more to come

2017.....0.81

2016.....1.87

2015.....0.71

2014....0.98

2013...0.29

2012...1.27

2011...0.04

2010..1.18

Amazing contrast in 1995 we went from 0 rain in August until the last day and forest fires everywhere to such a wet November.  Had 3-5" of snow in November too a week before Thanksgiving, a big surprise.  It was in the 60s the day before lol.

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9 hours ago, NJwx85 said:

It's been raining fairly hard here since about 2:30 or so. Looks like possibly a low topped squall line in Eastern PA forming as well.

I'm in Eastern PA for the weekend and in the Jim Thorpe area we had snow for an hour from 9:30 AM to 10:30 AM, the first snowflakes of the season!  It ended after that and we went into a lull and by the time the juicy stuff moved in later in the afternoon it was all rain of course.

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4 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

given the costs, environmental concerns, etc etc, it will never happen in our lifetimes...

Would that be wider or is the Chunnel wider?  

The other thing I want is a tunnel going right under Manhattan to connect NJ to Brooklyn/Queens but that will never happen either lol

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11 hours ago, Cfa said:

1.62”

Horrible driving conditions for the entire duration of my 7 hour drive to and from Connecticut today, it’s absolutely disgusting that there isn’t some sort of crossing between LI and CT, the trip would’ve taken 1/3rd of that time, but that’s another topic.

I drove home from Brattleboro VT, left there around 5, and it was absolutely horrible driving conditions. Of course when I got about a mile from home it pretty much stopped raining.

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Models are hinting at another big storm Fri/Sat that might have some tropical influences from the disturbance located east of the lesser Antilles.

Before that, Tuesday could deliver 1-2" but if that low shifts further west then higher amounts are possible. This will be a much larger, wetter, and stronger system than yesterday. 

Very active November pattern likely to continue. 

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Snow showers? Keep em. It’s 50 degrees here.

*Although, I have seen flurries with temps this warm, twice. I recall reading somewhere (years ago) that NYC actually holds the record for the warmest temp (49/50 degrees) where snowfall was officially observed, idk how true that is, but it’s plausible as I’ve seen it.

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2 hours ago, Cfa said:

Snow showers? Keep em. It’s 50 degrees here.

*Although, I have seen flurries with temps this warm, twice. I recall reading somewhere (years ago) that NYC actually holds the record for the warmest temp (49/50 degrees) where snowfall was officially observed, idk how true that is, but it’s plausible as I’ve seen it.

About 10 years ago driving through NW Jersey I hit a 50°(car thermo) snow squall. Temp dropped like 10° instantly. Pretty cool stuff.

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12z EPS continues the mid-November cool down longer than it did a few days ago. Sometimes the EPS is too fast to moderate a cold pattern. It's a departure from much of this year with the WAR correcting stronger in the 6-10 day range.

New run

ecmwf-ens_T850a_namer_9.thumb.png.2a6eb74f8b2d9c080a96366c86aa6bdc.png

Old run

ecmwf-ens_T850a_namer_11.thumb.png.fd53f250d0d377040ce0890dcba0cd81.png

 

 

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Thought they might issue a freeze warning for NYC but guess we will be a touch too mild. I actually still have a few peppers outside still holding on. Freeze warning for southern Westchester, Hudson, eastern Essex, NJ.

Has Nassau County technically had a freeze yet?

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