bluewave Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 36 minutes ago, gravitylover said: It sure doesn't seem like it has been warm. The lack of sun for 3 weeks straight will do that though... These warm minimums are killing me because they don't really tell the whole story, stats are what you make of them I guess. The warm minimums are the big temperature story this month. Several stations across the wider region are in the +8 to +12 range so far. I can't remember another month that the minimum departure was so much higher than the maximum. But anything is possible in this new 2010's climate regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 1 hour ago, doncat said: That's impressive...over 62" already! Ok since that seemed high I just went over my monthly totals and saw an error in April . I should be at 56.62 for the year . For some reason it doubled my April totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Through 9 am, Central Park had picked up 0.77" rain, bringing 2018's total precipitation to 47.83". That ties 2018 with 1926 as NYC's 48th wettest year on record. Thanks don , I’m at 56.62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 30 minutes ago, rgwp96 said: Thanks done , I’m at 56.62 Still impressive. Finally a nice weekend coming up. Next week looks pretty mild as we head into October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 Radar cleared a while ago but it's still drizzling/misting. It's cold and raw, pretty much like fall days of old I'd rather it was cool, sunny and breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 2 hours ago, Cfa said: The wetter west / drier east pattern has been persistent, and we’re not even that far apart from each other. 1.82 today, 9.26" for the month. Last 2 events we have done well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: 1.82 today, 9.26" for the month. Last 2 events we have done well. I was out on eastern LI yesterday and it was significantly more green than just a few weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 2 hours ago, rgwp96 said: Thanks don , I’m at 56.62 Central Park has missed out on some of the more excessive rainfall totals this year. Still, it is extremely likely to reach 50" for the year and possibly 60". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 55 and cloudy here...feels like fall for sure.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 At noon, the temperature at Central Park stood at 57°. Nevertheless, it is now extremely likely that 2018 will become the 35th September on record to have a mean temperature of 70.0° or above. It is also extremely likely to become the 6th such September for the period beginning in 2010. Through 9/27, New York City had a mean temperature of 71.6°. There were 16 prior cases when September had a mean temperature of 71.6° or above through the 27th. In all those prior cases, September had a mean temperature at or above 70.0°. Applying sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance for the remainder of the month, there was an implied 98% probability of such an outcome. In addition, 2018 will conclude September without having had any low temperatures below 50° in the period beginning July 1. In the 1869-2017 period, 31% of years have seen no such low temperatures through September. The 9/28 0z EPS suggests that New York City may not have any minimum temperatures below 50° through October 10. By October 5, only 15% of years had yet to have any minimum temperatures below 50°. Nearly one-third of those years occurred 2000 or later. By October 10, only 7% of years had yet to have any minimum temperatures below 50°. 40% of those years occurred 2000 or later. The first half of October still looks to be drier than normal with systems producing only small amounts of precipitation. Of course, QPF forecasts from the guidance can be thrown off by a single large system that skews amounts, so such forecasts should be taken with a lot of caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 would be great to see 2 weeks of mainly dry sunny weather.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: would be great to see 2 weeks of mainly dry sunny weather.... i want a nice hard early freeze, kill all the bugs and ragweed, and then roast till turkey day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 I don't know how anyone is rooting for more heat after Dewsaster 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Gravity Wave said: I don't know how anyone is rooting for more heat after Dewsaster 2018. I’m definitly not. It’s nice to be able to work outside and not be pouring sweat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 42 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I’m definitly not. It’s nice to be able to work outside and not be pouring sweat. I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 1 minute ago, dmillz25 said: I agree was cool this morning with a chilly breeze no sweating lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 28, 2018 Share Posted September 28, 2018 Just now, nycwinter said: was cool this morning with a chilly breeze no sweating lol... Felt great today. Was actually a bit cold for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 1 hour ago, dmillz25 said: Felt great today. Was actually a bit cold for a bit Crisp night out here. Feels great for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 Feels great outside Sleeping with the window open Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 29, 2018 Author Share Posted September 29, 2018 Current temp 55/DP 53/RH 95% A very nice fall morning out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 Remainder of Sept. averaging 68degs., or about 5degs. AN. Month to date is +2.9[71.2]. Should end at about +3.0[71.0]. The first 6 days of Oct. are averaging 71degs., or about 9degs AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 Bottomed out at 50 here, which is the coldest it’s been since June 12th which had a low of 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 Today is an example of normal is the new cool. It was one of the few days this month with near normal low temperatures for the date. So it actually felt cool compared to the recent record warm minimum pattern. NYC.....low of 58....normal...56 ISP......low of 51....normal...52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 GFS and ECM have 850 temps near 20C Thu PM. No 90s but temps with full sunshine will over perform if guidance is right. Also gfs has 592DM building next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 A rarity this month but now should see plenty of theswe days the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 Sensational morning 65 / 54 bright blue skies / sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 13 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Sensational morning 65 / 54 bright blue skies / sunshine Violently agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 39 minutes ago, SACRUS said: GFS and ECM have 850 temps near 20C Thu PM. No 90s but temps with full sunshine will over perform if guidance is right. Also gfs has 592DM building next weekend. It never ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 1 hour ago, LurkerBoy said: It never ends. Hopefully we can keep this beautiful weather going---aren't we due for a below average snowfall winter with mild temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 29, 2018 Share Posted September 29, 2018 4 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: Hopefully we can keep this beautiful weather going---aren't we due for a below average snowfall winter with mild temps? Oh I hope we keep it going too. It's not like AN temps equate to 90's anymore...NYC average high drops to 69 on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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