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March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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In terms of sensible desires  ... I'm sure I share the sentiments of most that even a semblance of spring would be greatly appreciated.

You winter enthusiasts ...man you've been living in a charmed existence in this region of the Global.. which is consummate for it's always ending up in relative mins compared to averages abroad.  One of these times again ...it'll come back around, and it will be the much harder to get people's heads around.  Just a warning -

As far as returning to winter.  I hate to say, but the ensembles do this every year.  They try to usurp the seasonal change by dimming back to colder profiles in the extended.  Just a warning with that, too -

It may happen. Sure, we've seen snow in April plenty enough...but don't be surprised if that return is not as easy to come by as any distant signal, when the signal is question is projecting from post Equinox.  One thing we have to keep in mind is that the diabatic modulation of the hemisphere is in positive flux, and will alter all guidance sources moving forward as we press through the next 6 weeks. In others words, I wouldn't trust the extended tele's for the time being.

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19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

In terms of sensible desires  ... I'm sure I share the sentiments of most that even a semblance of spring would be greatly appreciated.

You winter enthusiasts ...man you've been living in a charmed existence in this region of the Global.. which is consummate for it's always ending up in relative mins compared to averages abroad.  One of these times again ...it'll come back around, and it will be the much harder to get people's heads around.  Just a warning -

As far as returning to winter.  I hate to say, but the ensembles do this every year.  They try to usurp the seasonal change by dimming back to colder profiles in the extended.  Just a warning with that, too -

It may happen. Sure, we've seen snow in April plenty enough...but don't be surprised if that return is not as easy to come by as any distant signal, when the signal is question is projecting from post Equinox.  One thing we have to keep in mind is that the diabatic modulation of the hemisphere is in positive flux, and will alter all guidance sources moving forward as we press through the next 6 weeks. In others words, I wouldn't trust the extended tele's for the time being.

Excellent. Let’s morph the chilly LR to a mild medium range and warm short range. Cold/wind in April does nobody good. 

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