February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro ensembles are gradient for the most part...but they are trying to get a -NAO going late...maybe it's starting to feel the vortex split more....who knows. Hopefully it isn't fake.

Close the shades and hope for 2/25 onwards.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Close the shades and hope for 2/25 onwards.

You not feeling that period 16th to 19th?

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Take it to Banter please.  

 

Two to three pages about Brady...

I know, I know theres nothing going on, but did the ensembles show anything interesting...maybe even remotely?

Wolf needs a rabies shot.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wolf needs a rabies shot.

 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wolf needs a rabies shot.

you can say that again, are we the only people who have access to the Ens?

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

you can say that again, are we the only people who have access to the Ens?

Gosh, darn, jimenywhilickers, one would think!!

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You not feeling that period 16th to 19th?

Nope.

[HimoorWx]

5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Happy Blizz 13 Anniversary, what a day that lives in infamy, why can't we get storms like that anymore, lol

This popped up as a "memory" on Facebook recently!

 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, HimoorWx said:

This popped up as a "memory" on Facebook recently!

 

 

 

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/50939-happy-5th-anniversary-blizz-of-feb-13/

[dryslot]

This thread

[mreaves]

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

This thread

My avatar sums it up

[Ginx snewx]

37 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Nope.

I think you should see this, somethings up my man

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/961709539069452289

[weathafella]

As long as we’re bantering-does anyone else find those direct tv ads annoying?  Makes me want to. Real the tv!

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, weathafella said:

As long as we’re bantering-does anyone else find those direct tv ads annoying?  Makes me want to. Real the tv!

ut oh somebody is home sick, lol Geico ads FTW

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I think you should see this, somethings up my man

https://twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/961709539069452289

SE ridge FTL

[klw]

So far I have 68.1 inches on the season.  On this date last year I got 3 inches to bring my season total to 49.7 inches.  (I ended last season at 106.6 (20 inches more in Feb, 24.8 in March, and 10.8 in April). 

So I am running 20 inches ahead of last year.  No complaints here other than the $150 bill the plow guy just left for coming yesterday and today.

[OSUmetstud]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

SE ridge FTL

Yeah I thought the ensembles looked a bit different than a few days ago lol.  

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Yeah I thought the ensembles looked a bit different than a few days ago lol.  

At least for us, this is when we really could use a -NAO.

[weathafella]

We had an amazing signal on all guidance and pfft!

[OSUmetstud]

25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

At least for us, this is when we really could use a -NAO.

I'll take one too. I'd risk marine taint from the east but that's better than every Sig low going to our north courtesy of the WAR of death.  

[SnowGoose69]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

SE ridge FTL

That’s probably going to be gone shortly. If we go into phase 8 and get a severe -NAO I’m more worried about suppression than a SE ridge 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

We had an amazing signal on all guidance and pfft!

So Jerry, about 10 days ago you told me I’d probably be proven wrong with my idea that the coldest weather of the winter was behind us....you still feeling that way??  I think the cold we had in late December and early January was the peak as far as cold goes...we aren’t seeing that again this year imo. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 hours ago, Cold Miser said:

I was actually real close to joining you guys tomorrow.    

Could not make the funds work though which is why I never got into the conversation in the other thread (was waiting until the last minute to see about some bills I had to pay), plus I am an intermediate skier and would not be able to ski with you guys.

$38 tix if you have gear (on Liftopia)

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, klw said:

So far I have 68.1 inches on the season.  On this date last year I got 3 inches to bring my season total to 49.7 inches.  (I ended last season at 106.6 (20 inches more in Feb, 24.8 in March, and 10.8 in April). 

So I am running 20 inches ahead of last year.  No complaints here other than the $150 bill the plow guy just left for coming yesterday and today.

I feel like there's a good zone relative to normal in S/C VT and eastern VT and I'd assume into adjacent NH.  Same with southern Adirondacks.  Some latitude band there.

[Whineminster]

12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

$38 tix if you have gear (on Liftopia)

You ready for the sneaky ice for us this weekend? 

[powderfreak]

Looking good for another round of NNE snows.  It has been quite the last 7-10 days between a few synoptic events and some squalls, etc. 

Measured 27" at Stowe in the past week... Killington with 36" as S/C VT has been in the jackpot (aside from Jay Peak which bucks that trend with 47" this week).

Euro is similar to the American guidance with a stripe of 3-6" across NNE.  Long duration WAA snows basically.

GFS gone wild at 18z for sure.

NAM

[qg_omega]

22 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I feel like there's a good zone relative to normal in S/C VT and eastern VT and I'd assume into adjacent NH.  Same with southern Adirondacks.  Some latitude band there.

Very clear latitude band

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

40 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

You ready for the sneaky ice for us this weekend? 

At this point I would not be shocked

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

So Jerry, about 10 days ago you told me I’d probably be proven wrong with my idea that the coldest weather of the winter was behind us....you still feeling that way??  I think the cold we had in late December and early January was the peak as far as cold goes...we aren’t seeing that again this year imo. 

To be fair the argument no longer holds since the depicted pattern failed.  So yes you’re right in a technicality but I think had that pattern ensued I may have been.  I don’t think you were arguing that the pattern would be junk like now right?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

So Jerry, about 10 days ago you told me I’d probably be proven wrong with my idea that the coldest weather of the winter was behind us....you still feeling that way??  I think the cold we had in late December and early January was the peak as far as cold goes...we aren’t seeing that again this year imo. 

Ouch lol

Yea, we won that.

I don't know about you, but I didn't think the pattern would materialize. 

[WinterWolf]

20 minutes ago, weathafella said:

To be fair the argument no longer holds since the depicted pattern failed.  So yes you’re right in a technicality but I think had that pattern ensued I may have been.  I don’t think you were arguing that the pattern would be junk like now right?

No, I didn’t expect the pattern to be junk..but I was being cautious not to get to excited..while I did like what modeling was showing for a while there, I was keeping  my expectations tempered. And Thats why I felt/said that we wouldn’t repeat the cold to the magnitude of late December/early January. 

 

But your point is well taken...and I wish it did ensue...to see if the cold would have been as severe as it was earlier. I still don’t think it would have...but we’ll never know lol. 

 

Lets hope we can have a strong finish.