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Winter model mehhem or mayhem nature will decide


weathafella

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1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said:

You are on the further west train?  I am as that's how these have been working out lately.  But who knows...for me the signal has been that this goes due north or even hooks on a lot of runs.  That might mean the precip  field doesn't escape east so quickly 

Yea def leaning west of current consensus. Cone would be from BM to current EPS/GEFS mean.

Thinking 50-100 miles east of BM current highest confidence track...but of course that is low confidence overall, given 5 days out.

Ether way looks like this will be a quick hitter though. Nothing to slow her down, barring H5 occlusion near our latitude, which is still possible...so we could get help there...

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