CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Hoth said: You know any therapist that is trained in weather related psych disorders? "Doc, I've been having this recurring dream of a Scooter s&*tstreak pushing my MECS out sea. It's all cirrus...nothing but cirrus. Please help!" Beware the sh*t streak. Its' real! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Beware the sh*t streak. Its' real! lol this was from the Jan 2016 near miss right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dunno what is worse. A warm snowless winter with lots of rain or a cold snowless dry winter. I'd take warm and snowless after December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Snowy holiday week upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 WTF was the cause of these clouds across western CT today? Weak trough across eastern NY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I can virtually guarantee the 2010 blocking will not appear this year. Hell even the magnitude after mid month is in question. That doesn't mean a lone storm can slide south...but Jesus...get help with the PTSD from that year. If you live in NNE it's a fact they will slide south of you at some point. That's climo. SNE is less likely to miss south, but every area has its "storms that miss" tracks. Missing a storm to the south is one thing, but it's still better than rain. The real kickers are the ones that miss south and still rain (see Feb 2010) lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 I would be more leery of a huge west-based NAO block in an el nino season, when we have more of a STJ presence. Tough to pull off whiffs when the N stream is dominant...sloppy phases are the most likely culprit in the latter scenario, and in that case, the system probably won't be particularly memorable for those in the zone of max impact, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 nice tail end on that Euro run... wow. prelude to a continental mauler ... slow moving gulf tapped cut-off up underneath frozen thickness below 800 mb the whole way. seems as though the models are slowly moving toward a long duration ...something. overrunning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Snowy holiday week upcoming Put um up, Will did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dunno what is worse. A warm snowless winter with lots of rain or a cold snowless dry winter. I think it depends on whether or not you pay for your own heating bill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 36 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Put um up, Will did He’s not rat, but far from a good winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 2017 NA snowcover and Greenland 2nd greatest since records started in 1966 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s not rat, but far from a good winter 8 under your average so near normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2017 NA snowcover and Greenland 2nd greatest since records started in 1966 That happens when the NAO has been pinned at +4SD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I can virtually guarantee the 2010 blocking will not appear this year. Hell even the magnitude after mid month is in question. That doesn't mean a lone storm can slide south...but Jesus...get help with the PTSD from that year. Seems to me i have heard you refer to winter of 2012 a few times...............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Put um up, Will did He did an outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 8 under your average so near normal That’s not a good winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: That’s not a good winter Glad we live north of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Glad we live north of the pike. Glad we don’t. Blocking ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t. Blocking ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Here is some homework....bin the suppression depression KU events by ENSO state. Let me know how many sne whiffs you come up with during la ninas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 Link to wills outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Link to wills outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t. Blocking ftl I think you will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here is some homework....bin the suppression depression KU events by ENSO state. Let me know how many sne whiffs you come up with during la ninas. February 89 had two of them alone. I'm not totally sure if the event that proceeded 2/23 was a KU though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Link to wills outlook? He’s calling for a very favorable winter pattern but unlucky with individual snowstorms (ie, nyc gets 2 feet you get 2”, then Shrewsbury gets 2 feet you get 2” of rain). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 29 minutes ago, PB GFI said: I think you will be fine I do too in a general sense though the greatest anomalies may be south vs north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I do too in a general sense though the greatest anomalies may be south vs north You once worried gradient is over Montreal. Now it’s better to be south of pike. We pivot our thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You once worried gradient is over Montreal. Now it’s better to be south of pike. We pivot our thoughts. Always good to have 1,000 mile leeway to claim victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You once worried gradient is over Montreal. Now it’s better to be south of pike. We pivot our thoughts. 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Always good to have 1,000 mile leeway to claim victory. Lol...amazing how it just changes from day to day. Soon as the modeling starts to look unfavorable, the gradient will be back up north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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