Deck Pic Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 This run is sick. La la lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: We kind of have to thread the needle...even as is, you and I flirt with temp/mix issues Hell I go to rain, but I still like the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Verbatim, looks like a general 4-6"+ for the area. I would take that and call it a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: We kind of have to thread the needle...even as is, you and I flirt with temp/mix issues When we don't, that's noteworthy. I mean, it's routine down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Book It... That is the last model I am going to look at... This is exactly how it will turn out on Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 It was real close to a stream phase. Also closer to the AR-MS-AL track. Next run should go neg tilt and the one after that should close off h5. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 We have been waiting for that ridge out west all winter. If that is right, and it has been improving as we get closer, we are in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Verbatim, looks like a general 4-6"+ for the area. I would take that and call it a winter. As long as Boston doesn't get 30" I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: It was real close to a stream phase. Also closer to the AR-MS-AL track. Next run should go neg tilt and the one after that should close off h5. Lol Stranger things have happened. Seems to be still evolving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, hosj III said: As long as Boston doesn't get 30" I'm in They get 2 feet this run so you're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Have a feeling if we could consolidate the energy while it's back over Arkansas and get rid if that noise in the OV we would see faster low development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, hosj III said: As long as Boston doesn't get 30" I'm in Please leave Boston out of the conversation. Has nothing to do with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Hm says came close to a triple phaser Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Somewhat going negative here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Kinda anemic surface response so far tho..I'm at 129 I'm saying this before I look but good bad or indifferent look at the trend of the h5 and where it's digging. We're focused way way way too much on the surface and pretty colors for something 120+ hours away. The long range success of January 2016 and those 2009/10 storms has made us forget how crazy far out 100+ hours is. This is a good setup but way more complicated then a juiced up stj system bowling into a cold high like those systems. The models aren't going to lock in on an intricate phasing solution this far out. so without knowing yet the outcome look at h5 and if it looks better out to 100 hours with the setup call it a win. The surface isn't likely to be right. .....Unless it gives us a hecs then in that case lock it up. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Personally I'd like to see the whole setup about 75 miles west, h5 especially. Why are you rooting for rain in my yard? I thought we were friends. What we want to root for is an identical trough axis that digs deeper then closes off just south or SW of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It was real close to a stream phase. Also closer to the AR-MS-AL track. Next run should go neg tilt and the one after that should close off h5. Lol and then suppression followed by depression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Hm says came close to a triple phaser Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I don't even see three streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Hm says came close to a triple phaser Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I thought so too. Look at the vort panel when the trough goes neutral. All 3 ducks are in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Why are you rooting for rain in my yard? I thought we were friends. What we want to root for is an identical trough axis that digs deeper then closes off just south or SW of us. That's really what I'm saying. If the depth we see over Arkansas now was over Oklahoma, we could get the depth you are talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I thought so too. Look at the vort panel when the trough goes neutral. All 3 ducks are in a row. I need a pic because I just don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I don't approve of your map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I'd take that and happily call it a season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I need a pic because I just don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I need a pic because I just don't see it. Here you go. Polar, NS, and SS all lined up to shake hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I thought so too. Look at the vort panel when the trough goes neutral. All 3 ducks are in a row. Bob... could you take screen shot of a panel and put arrows on it to show us. It is not often we see a triple phase. I want to see exactly what you are looking at for my own education. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Expanded view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 6-10" is not bad for a storm that produced no precip over Georgia or SC. The phase has to happen further west for us to get a widespread 10+ storm.. If we can get the phase to happen along the gulf coast states the outcome will be much better. Right now the precip fields merge over WV, which leaves us with little margin for error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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