Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, DomNH said: Yeah, I think this worth mentioning. I don't think we'll see crazy 15:1 or better ratios anywhere but I can see a little better than 10:1 (like 11-12:1) as you go farther N and W from Boston. I said it earlier but the soundings look pretty good and there is decent lift in the DGZ. Here's the thing and peeps should remember previous storms. This crashes fast, ULL high ratio stuff. Big lift in the conveyor belt , the kind of stuff that can put down some great rates. Perhaps NE mass SNH Maine get smoked besides qpf queen stuff. Looks good in that zone. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
78Blizzard Posted February 12, 2017 Can anyone post the RPM? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yuki neko Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Look at those BOOMERS in W V. Nice Pretty sure the radar is wonky http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=RLX-N1Q-0-24 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxsniss Posted February 12, 2017 Going 6-10 in my hood (Brookline) just outside of Boston city line... 4-6 from WAA today, 2-4 from transition / CCB overnight into Monday afternoon. Relatively conservative but I think we need a dramatically improved nowcast to reverse the east ticks we've seen since yesterday. Between the warm 925Ts (and extrapolating from rain already reported in Boston) and missing the bulk of the CCB, I don't think I can go higher. And doubt this 4am NWS map verifies (did not see it posted earlier), I'd love to be wrong: Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 I like Mt. Tolland to pull a 6 Spot in this storm HFD 4-5 BDL 5 ORH 8 BOS (logan) 6 RAY 10 ME 11 TAN 3. PVD 5 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, yuki neko said: Pretty sure the radar is wonky http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=RLX-N1Q-0-24 Thought it was legit Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted February 12, 2017 46 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Going 6-10 in my hood (Brookline) just outside of Boston city line... 4-6 from WAA today, 2-4 from transition / CCB overnight into Monday afternoon. Relatively conservative but I think we need a dramatically improved nowcast to reverse the east ticks we've seen since yesterday. Between the warm 925Ts (and extrapolating from rain already reported in Boston) and missing the bulk of the CCB, I don't think I can go higher. And doubt this 4am NWS map verifies (did not see it posted earlier), I'd love to be wrong: Not sure where they got that map from. Even 00z models weren't showing this much. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
White Rain Posted February 12, 2017 18 minutes ago, Amped said: Not sure where they got that map from. Even 00z models weren't showing this much. It matches up with model QPF. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MaineJayhawk Posted February 12, 2017 15 minutes ago, Amped said: Not sure where they got that map from. Even 00z models weren't showing this much. BOX Gone Wild has been a common theme this season Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2017 Final Call: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/02/2-13-17-final-call.html Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
White Rain Posted February 12, 2017 Seems reasonable to me, Most of their forecast amounts tended towards the bottom of the ranges if you use the point map. The snow ranges are standard so if you read just read the high end then it will seem overdone. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bboughton Posted February 12, 2017 Expecting BOX to significantly revise downward for 4pm, sticking with 6-10" for Boston and metro west. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
White Rain Posted February 12, 2017 If the CCB shifts east then those numbers will bust. The Euro still showed 1.1" for here though so that would still not be far off from the 14" they forecasted. I could be wrong but I dont seem them downgrading much. 12Z euro Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted February 12, 2017 It takes longer to come out than the euro, but here's the 12z hires RGEM...total QPF and then snow QPF... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
White Rain Posted February 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: It takes longer to come out than the euro, but here's the 12z hires RGEM...total QPF and then snow QPF... Mostly rain for NE MA? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2017 18z NAM is a clean whiff basically on any CCB for E MA. It's definitely been the most pessimistic model for the past 36 hours on that front. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dryslot Posted February 12, 2017 18Z Nam bumped qpf back up this run and jacks PWM Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DotRat_Wx Posted February 12, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM is a clean whiff basically on any CCB for E MA. It's definitely been the most pessimistic model for the past 36 hours on that front. That model can be hot and cold. Generally an outlier and most progressive from anything I've seen. Should be clipped at least. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tunafish Posted February 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18Z Nam bumped qpf back up this run and jacks PWM Good to hear. Appreciate your analysis on this system the past 4 days, btw. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted February 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18Z Nam bumped qpf back up this run and jacks PWM We like and we take. Just now, tunafish said: Good to hear. Appreciate your analysis on this system the past 4 days, btw. Second. As an outsider, it's been great to hear your analysis dryslot. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dryslot Posted February 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, tunafish said: Good to hear. Appreciate your analysis on this system the past 4 days, btw. 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: We like and we take. Second. As an outsider, it's been great to hear your analysis dryslot. Thank you. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MainePhotog Posted February 12, 2017 NWS Gray just posted blizzard warnings for mid coast Maine. Going to be an interesting storm. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
amc Posted February 12, 2017 14 minutes ago, MainePhotog said: NWS Gray just posted blizzard warnings for mid coast Maine. Going to be an interesting storm. They dropped the Blizzard watch for Cumberland, I'm waiting to see what they say in the evening discussion update. I'm a little bummed at that, but we'll see as we get into the winds if we actually get into Blizzard conditions. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
amc Posted February 12, 2017 New map from GYX Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted February 12, 2017 26 minutes ago, amc said: They dropped the Blizzard watch for Cumberland, I'm waiting to see what they say in the evening discussion update. I'm a little bummed at that, but we'll see as we get into the winds if we actually get into Blizzard conditions. Was surprised to see that. If PWM can't rock who can? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites