USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 While GFS remains the out to sea outlier with the first system, I think it is showing favorable signs at H5, eventually it will come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man..usually levelheaded Bluewave melting down today in NYC threads with nothing but a great pattern ahead thru the next 15-30 days. Though admittedly NYC on south is on the line The pattern looks okay. And I think the line is more SNE South than NYC South. hopefully the pattern produces something in the next 10 days... EPS didn't look great after that. my hunch is the NNE theme continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Fugly EPS 10 to 15 For sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Funny how folks get so excited one run and down in the dumps the next. Who cares what 11-15 shows. It ebbs and flows. Fun month coming up. Don't live and die by the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Man the GFS is really close to something large, I mean a low from the GOM, with a ton of moisture, I mean freaking NC and Southern VA gets 8-12" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Funny how folks get so excited one run and down in the dumps the next. Who cares what 11-15 shows. It ebbs and flows. Fun month coming up. Don't live and die by the EPS No one is in the dumps but it's legal to discuss what the guidance shows. We know the outcome will be most likely a blend. I think the trend of cutters must be respected. If we can get some NAO style blocking even if transient they can work in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 I don't see a reason to meltdown here. It's the same theme since December with a more favorable look given both climo and pattern. Much worse further south which may be the reason for melting. Could it suck, sure. Could we cash in, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Man the GFS is really close to something large, I mean a low from the GOM, with a ton of moisture, I mean freaking NC and Southern VA gets 8-12" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: No one is in the dumps but it's legal to discuss what the guidance shows. We know the outcome will be most likely a blend. I think the trend of cutters must be respected. If we can get some NAO style blocking even if transient they can work in our favor. Well cutters as we know can always occur. But other than the one last week .. all of them have trended colder with snow on the front end. Even the one this week is now an ice storm for ORH north and 30's for the rest. I'm exited for the snow Friday and then we'll see what follows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 This run is worse than the 12z run, but at H5 it is closer to something better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Man the GFS is really close to something large, I mean a low from the GOM, with a ton of moisture, I mean freaking NC and Southern VA gets 8-12" of snow. James, stop making sh it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: This run is worse than the 12z run, but at H5 it is closer to something better. Actually it's better in regards to the 2nd low. The models are all over the place . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 8 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Man the GFS is really close to something large, I mean a low from the GOM, with a ton of moisture, I mean freaking NC and Southern VA gets 8-12" of snow. 'Cmon, I know you're trying to bait Scott into validating your post, but there is no need to post the same, exact damn thing three minutes later. It didn't lack any less substance the second time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: James, stop making sh it up. His posts make me want to scratch my damn eyes out and toss them into that same meat-grinder of a gradient to our south that his sniped any significant storm chance all season long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 The 18z GFS is a southern snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The 18z GFS is a southern snowstorm That's a plausible solution with the upcoming pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 it may not happen but i think he may be right about D7-9 ... gfs tries to take an important impulse through that region. I don't believe that pattern really supports it though; it's more likely that either it, or this depiction, changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Fugly EPS 10 to 15 For sure. Leo will be in shortly to tell everyone he told them so. I can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Seems like an interesting ebb and flow with ak ridging this year so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 What was so bad about the eps today? I get that ridging over AK wasn't quite as stout beyond D10 but we had a bit of a PNA ridge and it's not like there was the ugly cyclops over AK either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 32 minutes ago, Hazey said: Leo will be in shortly to tell everyone he told them so. I can't wait. I am actually going to bring some optimism instead of pessimism. What did the EPS show that was so bad?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What was so bad about the eps today? I get that ridging over AK wasn't quite as stout beyond D10 but we had a bit of a PNA ridge and it's not like there was the ugly cyclops over AK either. I dunno. Everyone went a little wild today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I dunno. Everyone went a little wild today. Probably New Years hangover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I dunno. Everyone went a little wild today. Prob the booze and hangovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 GEFS really likes the snow threat Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What was so bad about the eps today? I get that ridging over AK wasn't quite as stout beyond D10 but we had a bit of a PNA ridge and it's not like there was the ugly cyclops over AK either. Couple of misreads and a couple melts. Found it odd to be sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Prob the booze and hangovers. Lipstick on a pig? From day 11 to 15 AN at all levels. Not exactly the type of pattern that brings joy. Surely it will change but cmon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Couple of misreads and a couple melts. Found it odd to be sure Can't find myself excited about the weekend system. Disjointed and diffuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Can't find myself excited about the weekend system. Disjointed and diffuse Nothing wrong with 2-4 or 3-6". In a winter free of big ones.in SNE . I'd suggest enjoying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing wrong with 2-4 or 3-6". In a winter free of big ones.. I'd suggest enjoying Didn't we just have a huge one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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