Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I started in the upper 20 inches though. Most that was lost was just the new powder that basically just became more wet and dense. That will all freeze up over the next two days solidly. So I'll go into Wednesday with over 20" of glacier. It's not going that quickly. Well maybe if the dews are low, but if the severe weather and high dews come to fruition next that are modeled , certainly by then. Once you expose a few grass patches, the rest of the lawn opens up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I've been practicing with it in the forecast challenge. I'm actually in 8th place right now in Jackson, MS heading into the final week Figuring out the mixing level and using mid level temps you can definitely excel in the wx challenge. Mos is generally decent, but you can find certain instances where you can really beat mos. Competing in wx challenge was alot of fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 12 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Figuring out the mixing level and using mid level temps you can definitely excel in the wx challenge. Mos is generally decent, but you can find certain instances where you can really beat mos. Competing in wx challenge was alot of fun I nailed day 1 for this city. I think 12z or 18z MOS data had around 68-70F for a high and USL had 71 maybe but from what I calculated I obtained 76 so went with that and that's what the Hugh turned out to be lol. Sometimes it can be a challenge figuring out mixing height...NAM and GFS always seem to yield much different levels and such. Plus the method can hurt if there's clouds, precip or WAA/CAA and such. Matt (H20 town wx or whatever is handle is) taught me the method Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 59 for the high here. 58 at BDL and 62 at HFD. I will admit that I enjoyed going out on bikes and playing football today with the boys. However the snow melt was depressing with the mud everywhere so overall it was a more mixed feeling unlike the torch in previous Decembers and January where I was completely disgusted. I Still have pack here in my neighborhood but out on the main roads grass is really starting to take over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 32F now but high of 56F today. Still good pack but fields and S facing hills are going quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Still 2ft of snow here. Temp got to 43f which didn't do a whole lot. We backdoor tonight and will stay bellow freezing tomorrow. That should man up the pack some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 2 hours ago, wx2fish said: Figuring out the mixing level and using mid level temps you can definitely excel in the wx challenge. Mos is generally decent, but you can find certain instances where you can really beat mos. Competing in wx challenge was alot of fun 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I nailed day 1 for this city. I think 12z or 18z MOS data had around 68-70F for a high and USL had 71 maybe but from what I calculated I obtained 76 so went with that and that's what the Hugh turned out to be lol. Sometimes it can be a challenge figuring out mixing height...NAM and GFS always seem to yield much different levels and such. Plus the method can hurt if there's clouds, precip or WAA/CAA and such. Matt (H20 town wx or whatever is handle is) taught me the method Winds can be a huge difference maker too. Since you're forecasting max wind speed, MOS will always be too light as it's just showing the hourly sustained. Bufkit can really give you an edge on the mixing depth and resulting potential frequent gusts. I rode consistently solid wind forecast at DDC to a Cinderella 12 seed run to the championship in 2007-2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 Finished 247th during the two week stop at PWM that year. Hopefully I've improved some since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 42 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Winds can be a huge difference maker too. Since you're forecasting max wind speed, MOS will always be too light as it's just showing the hourly sustained. Bufkit can really give you an edge on the mixing depth and resulting potential frequent gusts. I rode consistently solid wind forecast at DDC to a Cinderella 12 seed run to the championship in 2007-2008. I'm not a fan at all of using MOS to forecast winds. I def side with bufkit for winds. Sometimes I may slide towards USL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm not a fan at all of using MOS to forecast winds. I def side with bufkit for winds. Sometimes I may slide towards USL. The rule of thumb is that MOS winds will give you about half the potential gust. So a MOS 20 knot flag would say gusts to 40 knots possible, etc. But a lot of people in the contest will use MOS as a starting point and those are easy points to gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 62 @ UUU yesterday , no sea breeze to cool once day time heating kicked in , gorgeous day. Just piles and some deeper drifts left in exposed areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 9 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Winds can be a huge difference maker too. Since you're forecasting max wind speed, MOS will always be too light as it's just showing the hourly sustained. Bufkit can really give you an edge on the mixing depth and resulting potential frequent gusts. I rode consistently solid wind forecast at DDC to a Cinderella 12 seed run to the championship in 2007-2008. O hai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 13 hours ago, dendrite said: Purely chicken reasons here. When the pack gets high I want it higher...but after the high water mark I don't have a lot of use for it anymore. I just have a bunch of muddy, water-logged chickens and flooded paths. The sooner they can free range the better. They can't even dustbathe right now because the blowing snow the other day blew it all against the foundation and under the coop so it's all wet now. Us melters aren't taking your snow. 13 hours ago, weathafella said: No. I don't appreciate risking my life every night that freezes after daytime melting. Snowpack is fine for a week or 2 but then it gets boring. For me clear walking not requiring anything but regular shoes is worth plenty. It's Feb though. Plenty of time for banana hammocks and sweat dripping of parts we don't want it to. Since Brian is raising these little chicks to COC fight...I can understand needing space to train them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 46 minutes ago, dendrite said: O hai Knocked out one of my UML classmates in the semis. He knocked me out in the first round with a midnight low the last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 10 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Knocked out one of my UML classmates in the semis. He knocked me out in the first round with a midnight low the last night I remember that being a good battle. It was always extra satisfying beating the PSU and MIT students. You just knew they were working together and collaborating while I was all on my lonesome. Sorry Duke and UNC...a DIII diaper dandy school took you out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 45 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's Feb though. Plenty of time for banana hammocks and sweat dripping of parts we don't want it to. Since Brian is raising these little chicks to COC fight...I can understand needing space to train them. I get that but personally retaining pack doesn't mean much to me and it gets in the way of my outdoor exercise. I love the snow when it's coming down and for a bit afterwards but I also like melting it all and doing it all again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: I get that but personally retaining pack doesn't mean much to me and it gets in the way of my outdoor exercise. I love the snow when it's coming down and for a bit afterwards but I also like melting it all and doing it all again. Us old men need to stick together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 85% coverage today. Stil some spots at 4-6". I expect it wont take long for the rest of it to go. Outward and onward until next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 20, 2017 Share Posted February 20, 2017 18 hours ago, OceanStWx said: The rule of thumb is that MOS winds will give you about half the potential gust. So a MOS 20 knot flag would say gusts to 40 knots possible, etc. But a lot of people in the contest will use MOS as a starting point and those are easy points to gain. That's good advice thanks. I knew MOS seemed to undercut gust potential but didn't realize that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 9 hours ago, weathafella said: I get that but personally retaining pack doesn't mean much to me and it gets in the way of my outdoor exercise. I love the snow when it's coming down and for a bit afterwards but I also like melting it all and doing it all again. I wonder if it'still an age thing. I'm the same way. That's the main reason I hate it when the good snow is during their night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 13 minutes ago, wkd said: I wonder if it'still an age thing. I'm the same way. That's the main reason I hate it when the good snow is during their night. Damn you're an old man too! Yeah night snow sucks-I sleep through it half the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 13 hours ago, dendrite said: O hai Knocking off btangy is legit. That guy was an excellent forecaster. My wife still hasn't told me to take my trophy off my bureau yet. Or maybe that's why she married me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 I mean that contest was fun. I can remember furiously refreshing my phone at the Bruins/Montreal game 6 at the Garden waiting for the DDC climate to come out. That professor from UGA I beat had a great week, only 5 error points. April 18th was 64/32/17/0 at DDC. I went 66/32/18/0 (2.5 error), and he went 64/33/22/0 (3.5 error). April 19th (game 6) was 80/36/21/0. He forecast 79/36/20/0 (1.5 error) and I went 80/37/21/0 (1 error). I just painted the corner those two days. Then I just sat back and watched Kessel take over the 3rd period, and Marco Sturm completed the nudity that night by waiting out Price for the GWG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 OK I'm sorry for ****ting up serious threads.....I'm all set with the weenie tag.....thank you.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 7 hours ago, ice1972 said: OK I'm sorry for ****ting up serious threads.....I'm all set with the weenie tag.....thank you.... lol. Does it really bother you that much? Remember, it's not what you look like on the outside, but how you feel and "look" on the inside that matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 Big spring related news this morning... my titmice have just begun their "peter, peter" calls!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 7 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Big spring related news this morning... my titmice have just begun their "peter, peter" calls!!!! I heard one for the first time yesterday afternoon. Maybe the hummingbirds will come back this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 Up to 32F now off a low of 14F. Radiator delight last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Up to 32F now off a low of 14F. Radiator delight last night. Some may not see freezing again until Sunday night...pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21, 2017 Share Posted February 21, 2017 26 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Big spring related news this morning... my titmice have just begun their "peter, peter" calls!!!! Chickadees have been adding their spring "phee-bee" call to their regular "chick-a-dee-dee" for over a week now. Even heard it this morning with temp about 5F. Pack is settling away, down to 36". Guess I'll be mowing the lawn after this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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