powderfreak Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That certainly can mediate it. It's like the argument we had two falls ago about how some said it was a cool airmass because we had constant HP overhead and the radiators took advantage of it. Meanwhile, it was AN at 850mb and places like BOS and higher elevation spots certainly were not as cool from an anomaly perspective. I always struggle with it in my head because I feel the radiators should already have it built into their averages...but it also makes sense if we have a warmer than normal H85 set-up the radiators can at least make it look closer to normal if a lot of clear/calm nights occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 LOL..this has been hilarious as I just read thru it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 wow...interesting, if perhaps sensibly bizarre mid week outcome starting to look more plausible. Gulf emergent TC blending with frontal tapestry along the EC and going hybrid if not full -on Nor'easter before pulling out to sea, ...at which point 12 hours later a continental heat plume wafts over us and has us 90 or better by Wed-Fri..? firstly, if things break right ... PRE to cyclone we could tally a substantial recovery (regionally) on our annual deficits with that. but it would interesting to then get some of the torrid hi's of the summer. heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted August 31, 2016 Author Share Posted August 31, 2016 35 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: wow...interesting, if perhaps sensibly bizarre mid week outcome starting to look more plausible. Gulf emergent TC blending with frontal tapestry along the EC and going hybrid if not full -on Nor'easter before pulling out to sea, ...at which point 12 hours later a continental heat plume wafts over us and has us 90 or better by Wed-Fri..? firstly, if things break right ... PRE to cyclone we could tally a substantial recovery (regionally) on our annual deficits with that. but it would interesting to then get some of the torrid hi's of the summer. heh Shows up on the long range GFS. Just don't see the heavy precip http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?run=2016083106&text=KORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 NWS is vastly contradicting itself. I think the products need to be straightened out. The ZFP has a nice COC forecast for HYA, while point and click has "mostly sunny with tropical storm conditions possible". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 10 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Shows up on the long range GFS. Just don't see the heavy precip http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?run=2016083106&text=KORH hhhheh... i'd suggest synoptic/recognition approach to this over machine guidance sources. even if those numbers/params are exactly as the grid model outputs and are not adulterated with MOS techniques... you're still talking about tools at that are hugely fallible at this sort of time range. not to mention ... the individual biases of x-y-z model - synoptic recog: ... about the highest plausible PWAT atmosphere running up along and immediately astride a boundary stationary along the EC that is associated with TC transition ... all would tend to win out over all; shorter term interpretive/interpolation would be more trustworthy. of course, all this is moot if that 'general' idea turns out false... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 We cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: NWS is vastly contradicting itself. I think the products need to be straightened out. The ZFP has a nice COC forecast for HYA, while point and click has "mostly sunny with tropical storm conditions possible". Same thing for Westerly's forecast this morning… but this afternoon's package updated to show Partly Sunny with a 30% of showers on Sunday and Tropical Storm Conditions possible Sunday Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 BOX has 90 and HHH back by Tues/Wed next week. As soon as Hermie pulls out..torch comes..Rake then bake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 7 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like ORH will finish 6th behind 1906, 1937, 2005, 1920, and 1988. Where did 2013 rank? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: BOX has 90 and HHH back by Tues/Wed next week. As soon as Hermie pulls out..torch comes..Rake then bake Meh. El torcho rolls on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Where did 2013 rank? August 2013? Prob not very high. I think that month was slightly below normal. Or at least near normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2016 Share Posted August 31, 2016 I will say it feels like this summer has actually been two different seasons. June and July were absolutely beautiful and temps averaged below normal, then the switch flipped and its been warm since. It sounds like it came a little earlier in SNE (like the last 7-10 days of July some have mentioned as flipping warmer) but even the last week of July was spot on normal here. The difference in July and August this year is quite interesting and you can tell the humidity ramped up in August based on the overnight temperatures and diurnal ranges. July had a bunch of 40+ diurnal range days, including 12 calendar days with minimum temperatures of 50F or lower....while August only had 3 calendar days with mins of 50F or lower. Basically, a third of the days in July had lows in the 40s and that disappeared in August. Average high in July was 79.9F while in August it was 80.0F (so nearly identical), while the August minimums averaged over 2 degrees warmer than July...so again that's where the warmth came from, the overnight lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: August 2013? Prob not very high. I think that month was slightly below normal. Or at least near normal. Oh, duh....that's right. For some reason I thought people were ranking the 3 months of summer. yeah. August 2013 did retreat a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted September 1, 2016 Author Share Posted September 1, 2016 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: BOX has 90 and HHH back by Tues/Wed next week. As soon as Hermie pulls out..torch comes..Rake then bake Weeks and weeks of HHH... lucky if you see a day below 75F before Thanksgiving... or maybe not.... just might be September's summery side showing up.... sometimes you get some winter like weather in March.... same deal. March isn't really spring and September isn't really fall (at least not until the tail end). Pretty scary looking here though: Shades of Septembers past. Reminds me of the miserable first weeks of school when I was a kid, way back before anyone even knew about GW. Forecast for Wednesday, August 31, 2016 - Wednesday, September 14, 2016 CalendarGraph Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 31-Aug High: 79°F RealFeel™: 83 A blend of sunshine and clouds. Winds from the SW at 7 mph. Night Low: 65°F RealFeel™: 61 Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers, mainly later. Winds from the SW at 6 mph. 1-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 85 A shower in places in the morning; otherwise, clouds giving way to some sun. Winds from the NW at 4 mph. Night Low: 59°F RealFeel™: 56 Partly cloudy. Winds from the NNW at 5 mph. 2-Sep High: 74°F RealFeel™: 75 Periods of clouds and sunshine. Winds from the N at 8 mph. Night Low: 54°F RealFeel™: 53 Mostly clear. Winds from the N at 5 mph. 3-Sep High: 72°F RealFeel™: 75 Mostly sunny. Winds from the ENE at 7 mph. Night Low: 57°F RealFeel™: 55 Mainly cloudy. Winds from the ENE at 6 mph. Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 4-Sep High: 67°F RealFeel™: 70 Rather cloudy with a chance of rain. Winds from the ENE at 7 mph. Night Low: 61°F RealFeel™: 60 Mainly cloudy, chance of a little rain. Winds from the NE at 6 mph. 5-Sep High: 67°F RealFeel™: 70 Mostly cloudy with a passing shower. Winds from the NE at 7 mph. Night Low: 61°F RealFeel™: 60 Partly cloudy. Winds from the NNE at 4 mph. 6-Sep High: 82°F RealFeel™: 85 Partly sunny. Winds from the NE at 6 mph. Night Low: 60°F RealFeel™: 58 Clear. Winds from the N at 5 mph. 7-Sep High: 83°F RealFeel™: 85 Partly sunny. Winds from the W at 5 mph. Night Low: 65°F RealFeel™: 60 Mostly cloudy and mild; a couple of evening showers followed by heavy showers late. Winds from the W at 4 mph. 8-Sep High: 84°F RealFeel™: 86 Partly sunny, very warm and humid. Winds from the WSW at 5 mph. Night Low: 66°F RealFeel™: 64 Mainly clear, warm and humid. Winds from the WSW at 5 mph. 9-Sep High: 84°F RealFeel™: 86 Partly sunny. Winds from the WSW at 4 mph. Night Low: 64°F RealFeel™: 64 Partly cloudy. Winds will be light and variable 10-Sep High: 75°F RealFeel™: 79 Clouds to start, then sunshine returns. Winds from the SSE at 5 mph. Night Low: 58°F RealFeel™: 54 Mainly clear. Winds from the S at 6 mph. Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 11-Sep High: 78°F RealFeel™: 77 Partly sunny. Winds from the SSW at 11 mph. Night Low: 62°F RealFeel™: 56 Mostly cloudy; a couple of showers in the evening followed by thunderstorms late. Winds from the SW at 10 mph. 12-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 77 Clouds breaking for some sun. Winds from the W at 8 mph. Night Low: 58°F RealFeel™: 57 Clear. Winds from the W at 5 mph. 13-Sep High: 72°F RealFeel™: 76 Abundant sunshine. Winds from the W at 5 mph. Night Low: 57°F RealFeel™: 59 Clear. Winds will be light and variable 14-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 78 Sunshine and some clouds. Winds from the WSW at 4 mph. Night Low: 53°F RealFeel™: 54 Patchy clouds. Winds will be light and variable © 2016 AccuWeather, Inc Help | Contact Us https://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:01605.1.99999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 1 hour ago, J Paul Gordon said: Weeks and weeks of HHH... lucky if you see a day below 75F before Thanksgiving... or maybe not.... just might be September's summery side showing up.... sometimes you get some winter like weather in March.... same deal. March isn't really spring and September isn't really fall (at least not until the tail end). Pretty scary looking here though: Shades of Septembers past. Reminds me of the miserable first weeks of school when I was a kid, way back before anyone even knew about GW. Forecast for Wednesday, August 31, 2016 - Wednesday, September 14, 2016 CalendarGraph Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 31-Aug High: 79°F RealFeel™: 83 A blend of sunshine and clouds. Winds from the SW at 7 mph. Night Low: 65°F RealFeel™: 61 Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers, mainly later. Winds from the SW at 6 mph. 1-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 85 A shower in places in the morning; otherwise, clouds giving way to some sun. Winds from the NW at 4 mph. Night Low: 59°F RealFeel™: 56 Partly cloudy. Winds from the NNW at 5 mph. 2-Sep High: 74°F RealFeel™: 75 Periods of clouds and sunshine. Winds from the N at 8 mph. Night Low: 54°F RealFeel™: 53 Mostly clear. Winds from the N at 5 mph. 3-Sep High: 72°F RealFeel™: 75 Mostly sunny. Winds from the ENE at 7 mph. Night Low: 57°F RealFeel™: 55 Mainly cloudy. Winds from the ENE at 6 mph. Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 4-Sep High: 67°F RealFeel™: 70 Rather cloudy with a chance of rain. Winds from the ENE at 7 mph. Night Low: 61°F RealFeel™: 60 Mainly cloudy, chance of a little rain. Winds from the NE at 6 mph. 5-Sep High: 67°F RealFeel™: 70 Mostly cloudy with a passing shower. Winds from the NE at 7 mph. Night Low: 61°F RealFeel™: 60 Partly cloudy. Winds from the NNE at 4 mph. 6-Sep High: 82°F RealFeel™: 85 Partly sunny. Winds from the NE at 6 mph. Night Low: 60°F RealFeel™: 58 Clear. Winds from the N at 5 mph. 7-Sep High: 83°F RealFeel™: 85 Partly sunny. Winds from the W at 5 mph. Night Low: 65°F RealFeel™: 60 Mostly cloudy and mild; a couple of evening showers followed by heavy showers late. Winds from the W at 4 mph. 8-Sep High: 84°F RealFeel™: 86 Partly sunny, very warm and humid. Winds from the WSW at 5 mph. Night Low: 66°F RealFeel™: 64 Mainly clear, warm and humid. Winds from the WSW at 5 mph. 9-Sep High: 84°F RealFeel™: 86 Partly sunny. Winds from the WSW at 4 mph. Night Low: 64°F RealFeel™: 64 Partly cloudy. Winds will be light and variable 10-Sep High: 75°F RealFeel™: 79 Clouds to start, then sunshine returns. Winds from the SSE at 5 mph. Night Low: 58°F RealFeel™: 54 Mainly clear. Winds from the S at 6 mph. Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 11-Sep High: 78°F RealFeel™: 77 Partly sunny. Winds from the SSW at 11 mph. Night Low: 62°F RealFeel™: 56 Mostly cloudy; a couple of showers in the evening followed by thunderstorms late. Winds from the SW at 10 mph. 12-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 77 Clouds breaking for some sun. Winds from the W at 8 mph. Night Low: 58°F RealFeel™: 57 Clear. Winds from the W at 5 mph. 13-Sep High: 72°F RealFeel™: 76 Abundant sunshine. Winds from the W at 5 mph. Night Low: 57°F RealFeel™: 59 Clear. Winds will be light and variable 14-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 78 Sunshine and some clouds. Winds from the WSW at 4 mph. Night Low: 53°F RealFeel™: 54 Patchy clouds. Winds will be light and variable © 2016 AccuWeather, Inc Help | Contact Us https://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:01605.1.99999 I'll take an extra month of summer. Thanks atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 6 hours ago, J Paul Gordon said: Weeks and weeks of HHH... lucky if you see a day below 75F before Thanksgiving... or maybe not.... just might be September's summery side showing up.... sometimes you get some winter like weather in March.... same deal. March isn't really spring and September isn't really fall (at least not until the tail end). Pretty scary looking here though: Shades of Septembers past. Reminds me of the miserable first weeks of school when I was a kid, way back before anyone even knew about GW. Forecast for Wednesday, August 31, 2016 - Wednesday, September 14, 2016 CalendarGraph Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 31-Aug High: 79°F RealFeel™: 83 A blend of sunshine and clouds. Winds from the SW at 7 mph. Night Low: 65°F RealFeel™: 61 Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers, mainly later. Winds from the SW at 6 mph. 1-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 85 A shower in places in the morning; otherwise, clouds giving way to some sun. Winds from the NW at 4 mph. Night Low: 59°F RealFeel™: 56 Partly cloudy. Winds from the NNW at 5 mph. 2-Sep High: 74°F RealFeel™: 75 Periods of clouds and sunshine. Winds from the N at 8 mph. Night Low: 54°F RealFeel™: 53 Mostly clear. Winds from the N at 5 mph. 3-Sep High: 72°F RealFeel™: 75 Mostly sunny. Winds from the ENE at 7 mph. Night Low: 57°F RealFeel™: 55 Mainly cloudy. Winds from the ENE at 6 mph. Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 4-Sep High: 67°F RealFeel™: 70 Rather cloudy with a chance of rain. Winds from the ENE at 7 mph. Night Low: 61°F RealFeel™: 60 Mainly cloudy, chance of a little rain. Winds from the NE at 6 mph. 5-Sep High: 67°F RealFeel™: 70 Mostly cloudy with a passing shower. Winds from the NE at 7 mph. Night Low: 61°F RealFeel™: 60 Partly cloudy. Winds from the NNE at 4 mph. 6-Sep High: 82°F RealFeel™: 85 Partly sunny. Winds from the NE at 6 mph. Night Low: 60°F RealFeel™: 58 Clear. Winds from the N at 5 mph. 7-Sep High: 83°F RealFeel™: 85 Partly sunny. Winds from the W at 5 mph. Night Low: 65°F RealFeel™: 60 Mostly cloudy and mild; a couple of evening showers followed by heavy showers late. Winds from the W at 4 mph. 8-Sep High: 84°F RealFeel™: 86 Partly sunny, very warm and humid. Winds from the WSW at 5 mph. Night Low: 66°F RealFeel™: 64 Mainly clear, warm and humid. Winds from the WSW at 5 mph. 9-Sep High: 84°F RealFeel™: 86 Partly sunny. Winds from the WSW at 4 mph. Night Low: 64°F RealFeel™: 64 Partly cloudy. Winds will be light and variable 10-Sep High: 75°F RealFeel™: 79 Clouds to start, then sunshine returns. Winds from the SSE at 5 mph. Night Low: 58°F RealFeel™: 54 Mainly clear. Winds from the S at 6 mph. Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 11-Sep High: 78°F RealFeel™: 77 Partly sunny. Winds from the SSW at 11 mph. Night Low: 62°F RealFeel™: 56 Mostly cloudy; a couple of showers in the evening followed by thunderstorms late. Winds from the SW at 10 mph. 12-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 77 Clouds breaking for some sun. Winds from the W at 8 mph. Night Low: 58°F RealFeel™: 57 Clear. Winds from the W at 5 mph. 13-Sep High: 72°F RealFeel™: 76 Abundant sunshine. Winds from the W at 5 mph. Night Low: 57°F RealFeel™: 59 Clear. Winds will be light and variable 14-Sep High: 77°F RealFeel™: 78 Sunshine and some clouds. Winds from the WSW at 4 mph. Night Low: 53°F RealFeel™: 54 Patchy clouds. Winds will be light and variable © 2016 AccuWeather, Inc Help | Contact Us https://www.wunderground.com/q/zmw:01605.1.99999 Meh--nothing like a 14-day forecast. Happy met fall, everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 September is not 7 hours old and 1.7" so far from 5:30- 6:15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Just a sprinkle here and makes day 11 in a row of no rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Some light drizzle/sprinkles here in West Woodstock,just enough to wet the roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 right in the edge of heavier rain here. .1" in the bucket on some local backyard stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just a sprinkle here and makes day 11 in a row of no rain I've had one real day of rain in 3 weeks and it was only 0.4". 0.67" of rain in the last 22 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Barely wet the ground overnight; under the trees everything was dry. Randolph now has a total ban on outside water use. Let's hope the rains from Hermine can push further north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Effed again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Basically nada. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 .46 awesome morning Tstorm, love those just before dawn as I awake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 2 hours ago, MBRI said: September is not 7 hours old and 1.7" so far from 5:30- 6:15 yea you got crushed that was a great morning Tstorm, seem so much louder early AM. Summer stats it was a scorcher, probably the best summer ii can remember for outside water etc stuff. Only 2 ball rainouts all summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 1 hour ago, Modfan said: Some light drizzle/sprinkles here in West Woodstock,just enough to wet the roads Are you back for good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 1, 2016 Share Posted September 1, 2016 Man Steve is in the sweet spot rain wise. I live in the desert.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.