MJO812 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Euro has a snowstorm for the 8th. GFS was close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Classic Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Classic Miller B Explosive miller b on the Euro. A foot for NYC and a lot more for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Explosive miller b on the Euro. A foot for NYC and a lot more for SNE. Can you post instawx snowfall map? Just curious. It showed high QPF in S NJ too, but I think surface temps might have been an issue there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Can you post instawx snowfall map? Just curious. It showed high QPF in S NJ too, but I think surface temps might have been an issue there. I dont have that site lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Boars head hot dogs need no condiments. It can be dangerous not putting a condiment on your wiener Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 It can be dangerous not putting a condiment on your wiener Not if they are properly tied off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Hot dogs are disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Not if they are properly tied off.You are partly correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Explosive pattern on the GFS It ingested too much hot sauce. It's our fault Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 projectile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Looks like I need to be in southern IL on 2/9 for a job interview. Other than the forecasted cold that looks to be setting up in the midwest is there any reason I wouldn't want to drive? Storminess potential? With the price of gas now it's way cheaper to drive than to fly and rent a car on the other end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 I can actually hear the snow melting. Sounds like a bowl of Rice Krispies. Snap, crackle, pop Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 I can actually hear the snow melting. Sounds like a bowl of Rice Krispies. Snap, crackle, pop Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk No problem here. We have had snowpack for a week even with melting and some sun and above freezing temps. Melt it down and away in enough spots so it's not dirty. Get some rain in from the cutter to wash it down and we can reload for a shot or two here in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 anyone have some magic insight to help me out, im planning a road trip to Miami from NYC after the 13th till around the 21st or so. How can i get a slight idea of what expect weather wise on the drive? We are really far out i know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Bacon, Egg and Cheese with ketchup and Frank's Extra Hot sauce is the ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted January 31, 2016 Share Posted January 31, 2016 Bacon, Egg and Cheese with ketchup and Frank's Extra Hot sauce is the ****. On an everything bagel Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 6z GFS shows a big time snowstorm coming up the coast on the 8/9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 6z GFS shows a big time snowstorm coming up the coast on the 8/9th.It has a huge low in the Great Lakes, something you definitely do not want if you want snow that is. Luckily it's the 6z GFS over 8 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 February is going to end up above normal and we are going to see a top 5 warmest winter. The departures for the Feb 1-10 period will seal the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 6z GFS shows a big time snowstorm coming up the coast on the 8/9th. Will change back and forth on the modeling aspect for sure but I have a feeling this one could be big for the interior areas and our friends away from the metros based on the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 February is going to end up above normal and we are going to see a top 5 warmest winter. The departures for the Feb 1-10 period will seal the deal. We are on track for the snowiest top 5 warmest winter in NYC history. No matter what your long range winter forecast was, you will be able to claim some victory. The 97-98 analog crew will be able to claim victory on the warmth, while the colder and snowier forecast group can claim a win with the historic blizzard and 27.2" seasonal snowfall in NYC. So this extreme winter will find a way to throw both groups a bone. 42.7...27.2"....15-16 so far Current top 5 warmest DJF in NYC and snowfall 41.5...3.5"......01-02 40.5...7.4"......11-12 40.1...5.3"......31-32 39.6...5.5"......97-98 39.2...24.9"....90-91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 February is going to end up above normal and we are going to see a top 5 warmest winter. The departures for the Feb 1-10 period will seal the deal. 1- 7 may end + 10 . Then there will be a cold with a potential snow period between or at the back end of day 10 - 15 . Probably as the vortex leaves mid month . Agree and Bluewave is right , if you said AN temps with AN snow , you can claim victory . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 1- 7 may end + 10 . Then there will be a cold with a potential snow period between or at the back end of day 10 - 15 . Probably as the vortex leaves mid month . Agree and Bluewave is right , if you said AN temps with AN snow , you can claim victory . I agree with the idea of a warmer than normal February (I chose a +0.8° anomaly for the monthly AmWx picks) and a snowier than normal month. During the period of renewed strong blocking, the possibility of a significant snowfall will be there assuming the subtropical jet remains active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 I agree with the idea of a warmer than normal February (I chose a +0.8° anomaly for the monthly AmWx picks) and a snowier than normal month. During the period of renewed strong blocking, the possibility of a significant snowfall will be there assuming the subtropical jet remains active. No strong blocking in site http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 No strong blocking in site http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml Yawn. Give me a -EPO pattern instead. -NAO have been rare recently for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 1- 7 may end + 10 . Then there will be a cold with a potential snow period between or at the back end of day 10 - 15 . Probably as the vortex leaves mid month . Agree and Bluewave is right , if you said AN temps with AN snow , you can claim victory . Yeah, NYC could possibly see the first 40-30 winter with another snowstorm. A normal or above normal February would lock in a 40 degree winter for NYC. Just one 3-6 event would put NYC over 30" of seasonal snowfall. I suppose the ultimate would be a 12+ event before the winter ends to join the unthinkable 40-40 club. The baseball fans would really like that outcome. http://www.baseball-almanac.com/hitting/hi4040c.shtml The Major League benchmark for a truly great offensive season lasted nearly a century and was the attainment of thirty home runs and thirty stolen bases. On September 23, 1988, an all-time plateau was reached by Jose Canseco who set the new benchmark for power & speed at forty home runs and forty stolen bases during the same season. Baseball Almanac is pleased to present the elite membership to baseball's 40-40 Club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 1983 was 34.5 for January and 36.4 for February...the coldest period was the last half of January and the first half of February...There was a torch at the beginning of February...I like that analog now...82-83 had five chances for major storms...One in December tracked to far south...One in January had marginal temperatures so it was a mix...the first one in February changed to a mix...February 11th produced...April storm was to late in the season...This year we had one or two if you count the Sunday before light snow...if we get three more chances for a storm maybe one of them gives us a good snowfall...February 2016 can be ten degrees warmer than February 2015 and still be below average... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 1- 7 may end + 10 . Then there will be a cold with a potential snow period between or at the back end of day 10 - 15 . Probably as the vortex leaves mid month . Agree and Bluewave is right , if you said AN temps with AN snow , you can claim victory . Depends on where u are talking about about AN snow . Most areas north and west are below and some extremely below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 1, 2016 Share Posted February 1, 2016 No strong blocking in site http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml That's not correct. The EPS also features similar blocking at the above timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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