BristowWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Trend is not our friend for the Friday storm. Gfs does not have a strong enough high pressure for a good CAD setup for NC folks. Still looks great for the MA It's early. I am still not ready to crack the bubbly. The doc can be quite moody at times if he thinks people are getting ahead of themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I'm riding the Wednesday threat , till the 22's come off! May get my first sleet pellet of the year!? WAA FTW ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 It's early. I am still not ready to crack the bubbly. The doc can be quite moody at times if he thinks people are getting ahead of themselves.I would love to be in your area right now. I still think the NC mountain folks can cash in on this storm. No factual basis behind it but sooner or later we have to have something go our way right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 No need to throw in the towel yet. The ukmet takes a surface low from columbus, GA to just off Cape Hatteras. It also pinches off a sub 540 low through the carolinas. Definitely nothing like the GFS. Also, the Navy model is way south of the GFS, and would imply a nice CAD hit for NC and maybe SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 No need to throw in the towel yet. The ukmet takes a surface low from columbus, GA to just off Cape Hatteras. It also pinches off a sub 540 low through the carolinas. Definitely nothing like the GFS. Also, the Navy model is also way south of the GFS, and would imply a nice CAD hit for NC and maybe SC. It will be 70 and sunny by the time this system is supposed to get here. Never doubt the big Cheez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I would love to be in your area right now. I still think the NC mountain folks can cash in on this storm. No factual basis behind it but sooner or later we have to have something go our way right?we need it to go south and east of us like the ukie has to have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 we need it to go south and east of us like the ukie has to have a chance.The 00z euro was amazing for the northern mountains. Hopefully it trends further southeast so more can get in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 we need it to go south and east of us like the ukie has to have a chance. yeah I hope the Doc don't jerk the rug out from under us today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Riding the euro and it's ens. Congrats northern coastal plain. Saw a pic of almost 3 inches near Roanoke Rapids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Riding the euro and it's ens. Congrats northern coastal plain. Saw a pic of almost 3 inches near Roanoke Rapids Yeah, the mean is over 3" for us with approximately half of the EPS members having Big Dogs. No guarantees, obviously, but it would seem we have a decent shot for this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro has a miller screw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro has a miller screw. Heard it was a nice hit western and northern NC. Which is hard to imagine with miller b. Panthers are looking great so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Heard it was a nice hit western and northern NC. Which is hard to imagine with miller b. Panthers are looking great so farexcept for the far northern mtns 850 go above freezing. It's close, but there is probably a warm layer above 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Any euro models showing frozen precipitation over ATL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Way too early to call, but we will see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro is a complete screw job. The surface low cuts up into central tenn then transfers. It warms up most for rain then drops 20" on D.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Here is another Euro clown map. Upstate and most of NC gets token amount of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Seems to me the GFS is again leading the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro looks great for northern NC. Especially the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Seems to me the GFS is again leading the way?unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro is a complete screw job. The surface low cuts up into central tenn then transfers. It warms up most for rain then drops 20" on D.C.No need to worry about temps 5 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 No need to worry about temps 5 days away Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Euro is a complete screw job. The surface low cuts up into central tenn then transfers. It warms up most for rain then drops 20" on D.C. Wouldn't call it a screw job for the NW mtns by any means...even Wilkesboro dude may be digging out of about 2 inches of sleet. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Need somebody to come on in a bit and say" euro ensembles are way south" lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Put this is the mid-week thread by accident, so here it is again in the correct spot.. Couple inches into northern GA as well. Snow mostly confined to the mountains. N Central NC does decent too over to RAH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Wouldn't call it a screw job for the NW mtns by any means...even Wilkesboro dude may be digging out of about 2 inches of sleet. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk it's ok for you guys but it made a huge jump towards the gfs. Another shift and it's rain for everyone including ridge tops over 6000'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 it's ok for you guys but it made a huge jump towards the gfs. Another shift and it's rain for everyone including ridge tops over 6000'.It trended further south though from 00z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 it's ok for you guys but it made a huge jump towards the gfs. Another shift and it's rain for everyone including ridge tops over 6000'. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I don't see the south trend relative to my location. The problem is this LP enters the west coast too far north and quite frankly a surface low xfer to the NC/SC coast from southeast Kentucky [Miller to-B or not to B] will just end up rain curtains for most of NC and points south/southwest. Need this initial LP to track across Miss/Ala at least and xfer off SC/Ga coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Huh? Which one is 12z today? The one on bottom looks south and has way better cad! Hope it's 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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