SN_Lover Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Euro complete and utter suppression. Massive difference between it and the GFS. Model wars! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 So what's the latest on the ssw? Is it close, not happening? Haven't seen any strat maps in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Still GFS VS. EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 So what's the latest on the ssw? Is it close, not happening? Haven't seen any strat maps in a while.We don't need those anymore! We got a Coldrain storm or sunny storm to track, depending on what model you believe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well, if Sunday is a miss, we still have more to track next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 para gfs (18z) has the potential after the 17 or whatever.. but it seems moisture starved. light stuff anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yeah, the Wednesday clipper will save us! Winter fail! After next week, back to normal and above! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The WPC 3-7 day discussion offers an interesting last sentence for next week. It's always darkest before it goes pitch black. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Maybe this will brighten the mood. On second thought.... EPS at 240 (GEFS and GEPS at 240 (not shown) are virtually the same): GEFS at 300: GEPS at 300: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well, you know what I like to say. If it's not going to snow, it might as well be warm and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Well, you know what I like to say. If it's not going to snow, it might as well be warm and sunny. Agree. There are some on here that like rain though. Ill never understand it. Give me snow or warmth. Cold rain sucks, warm rain sucks. Rain just sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 On to the next one. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_12z/avnloopnew.html#picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Euro was showing a bowling ball coming across at 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 WxSouth says there is still hope. Things continue to look active as we go through time , as far out as I can see, and with the climatological most active and coldest period still out there in February, if you're looking for a Winter Storm, I'd say the odds are still pretty good. There's plenty of moisture in this Nino, and now we're in a much cooler pattern, so it's a matter of timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Euro was showing a bowling ball coming across at 240. And a screaming southerly flow ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 And a screaming southerly flow ahead of it.if only we can speed up that wave while we still have confluence and high pressure. I'm sure it will slow down and cut. We just can't seem to get good timing so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What is that 946mb, 90kt, NE pacific storm going to do to the current pattern when it gets to the upper West coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 What is that 946mb, 90kt, NE pacific storm going to do to the current pattern when it gets to the upper West coast? Not to mention a hurricane in the Atlantic heading towards Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Maybe this will brighten the mood. On second thought.... EPS at 240 (GEFS and GEPS at 240 (not shown) are virtually the same): 240EPS.png GEFS at 300: gfs-ens_z500a_nhem_51.png GEPS at 300: gem-ens_z500a_nhem_52.png Well the GFS and GEFS had this storm for a couple of days. , and it was dead wrong! So there's still hope. , it's always wrong ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 if only we can speed up that wave while we still have confluence and high pressure. I'm sure it will slow down and cut. We just can't seem to get good timing so far this winter. Yeah, it's off big time. Not liking the LR progs today. They can change, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Euro was showing a bowling ball coming across at 240. Did you even look at it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Did you even look at it? Lol good one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I think the Euro OP only showed the 17th threat giving a big chunk of the SE Winter weather one run. Well before the GFS tried to get something going... and it dropped it after. I think it was a two system deal back to back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Lol good one! He can tell me how you get any wintery precip down here with the 540 line north of St. Saint Marie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Did you even look at it? Yes, I saw a map of it. Good try being funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Here, this will help: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 WxSouth says there is still hope. Things continue to look active as we go through time , as far out as I can see, and with the climatological most active and coldest period still out there in February, if you're looking for a Winter Storm, I'd say the odds are still pretty good. There's plenty of moisture in this Nino, and now we're in a much cooler pattern, so it's a matter of timing. He's aware that February is the warmest winter month on average in most interior locations I hope. It seemed like last year everyone was saying February would be our month too. Well that didn't turn out so well around these parts.Why should I believe this February will be any different ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Packrainer tried to tell us this was a 98 do over, non-snowy nino, etc. But we just wouldn't listen. Now he's gone. A hero, a martyr sacrificed on the alter of supreme weeniedom. May his user name rest in it's rainy warm, winter peace. I'm getting to the point where I'm going to start rooting for the shut out....we really need a big mix up quick. So much for excellent west based blocking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 He's aware that February is the warmest winter month on average in most interior locations I hope. It seemed like last year everyone was saying February would be our month too. Well that didn't turn out so well around these parts.Why should I believe this February will be any different ?Lol last February and the February before last produced for a lot of people. Maybe not your area but a lot of people did get snow last February. Also February is an active winter month for a lot of places so writing off February on January 14 is not wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Lol last February and the February before last produced for a lot of people. Maybe not your area but a lot of people did get snow last February. Also February is an active winter month for a lot of places so writing off February on January 14 is not wise. For the Midlands of SC, we tend to get our Winter weather from the end of Jan - Feb. If Feb is the warmest, why does that happen down here in the deeper South around I-20? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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