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December warm NOT White


PB GFI

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Based on the GFSx for the reminder of December:

 

As of the first 27 days of the month      1557   +  1255   =  2812/54  =  52.1 avg. for first 27 days.

                           with  last 4 days       1751   +  1417  =  3168/62  =  51.1  avg. for whole month or a whopping +13.8degs.

Last 4 days will avg. about 44 or +11.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA

 

This run still does not guarantee a below normal day.

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Based on the GFSx for the reminder of December:

 

As of the first 27 days of the month      1557   +  1255   =  2812/54  =  52.1 avg. for first 27 days.

                           with  last 4 days       1751   +  1417  =  3168/62  =  51.1  avg. for whole month or a whopping +13.8degs.

Last 4 days will avg. about 44 or +11.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KNYC&sta=KJFK&sta=KLGA

 

This run still does not guarantee a below normal day.

I would not count 1981-2010 averages anymore with the rate the climate is changing, I would go by last 20 year averages...1996-2015 to get a true representation of today's normal temps.

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