Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2015 Author Share Posted August 31, 2015 backdoor man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Point and click has me at 92, 90, 92, 93. Toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Looks like a nice over-the-top heat plume for NNE to start the week. Maybe we can tickle some 20C 850s on Wednesday. That BDCF would be a nice mini mild down, but the next over the top heat plume is waiting in the wings. Maybe we can follow this heat up with some 30s and terminated growing seasons in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Looks like a nice over-the-top heat plume for NNE to start the week. Maybe we can tickle some 20C 850s on Wednesday. That BDCF would be a nice mini mild down, but the next over the top heat plume is waiting in the wings. Maybe we can follow this heat up with some 30s and terminated growing seasons in NNE. Euro EPS does bring a slightly cooler to near normal air mass into the region by the second week of September, which normal would be on par with some first freezes up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Looks like a nice over-the-top heat plume for NNE to start the week. Maybe we can tickle some 20C 850s on Wednesday. That BDCF would be a nice mini mild down, but the next over the top heat plume is waiting in the wings. Maybe we can follow this heat up with some 30s and terminated growing seasons in NNE. This post was an emotional rollercoaster for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 This post was an emotional rollercoaster for me. Fortunately for you, 31F at HIE this time of year means 42F for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2015 Author Share Posted August 31, 2015 Euro EPS does bring a slightly cooler to near normal air mass into the region by the second week of September, which normal would be on par with some first freezes up north. This all seems so typical, US Open week hot, week after Labor day it cools. We see saw down little by little. Standard fare with big heat the only noise this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2015 Author Share Posted August 31, 2015 Fortunately for you, 31F at HIE this time of year means 42F for you. Congrats PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Looks like a nice over-the-top heat plume for NNE to start the week. Maybe we can tickle some 20C 850s on Wednesday. That BDCF would be a nice mini mild down, but the next over the top heat plume is waiting in the wings. Maybe we can follow this heat up with some 30s and terminated growing seasons in NNE. Have seen some 850s at zero or even below, at day 9-10. Long way out there, but it's been consistent for a few runs. If that verified without winds/clouds, my cold spot would probably get a frost - would only be a week ahead of my avg 1st frost if that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 backdoor man. I love it Ginxy. Hot week coming up but can still find a nugget of cold mixed in amongst the warmth. What were some of the positive departures looking like for say Wed/Thur? Probably +10 to +15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Congrats PF God I can't wait. This week will be nice for a last heat hurrah but bring the frost. Those mornings where it's 30F at MVL/750ft but 40F at 1500ft. Shallow frosty mornings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Recurves have not worked out lately. Some thought they might a couple of weeks ago, but hasn't happened. Better chance later this month. Recurves only work if pattern can support constructive interference too. Not every recurve means cold even in winter. This (bold) is the whole problem with trying to assess a pattern correlation during weak gradient months of the year. The correlation is clearer/more coherent in the winter when there are jet structure/R-wave configurations that can positively or negatively feed-back tropical forcing more readily. I don't recall reading any posts that came off as 'laughed' at the summer suggestion - btw. Not sure where that's coming from ... it's all good to speculate. And, I seriously doubt the correlation is entirely zero in summer... it's about weak versus strong correlation - game of gray in the atmosphere. Put it this way... the PNA isn't even correlated to the other indexes at CDC, during JJA, because the correlation is so weak at that time of the year. WELL, think think think about it! How the heck can a recurving typhoon transmit an influence through a domain that doesn't even in its self, register ... it's kind of absurd when one things about. Later on toward fall, the westerlies start to behave differently though. The gradient steeps first in the N, then the mean band squeezes south with the advance of the ambient polar boundary/lowering of polar heights associated with vacating insolation... As the gradient increase, it then becomes physically detectable to heat and source sinks around the middle and subtropical regions, and then the "pattern" tends to align accordingly - that is why the the winter is more correlative for that whole typhoon thing than summer. But summer is not zero - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2015 Author Share Posted August 31, 2015 God I can't wait. This week will be nice for a last heat hurrah but bring the frost. Those mornings where it's 30F at MVL/750ft but 40F at 1500ft. Shallow frosty mornings. pretty much guaranteed US Open tennis tournament is a hot week. I posted that BDF as that's getting into the weekend beach time. lots of ENE flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 There is a 90% correlation between my open house night at school and a hot and humid spell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Today's euro really seems to kick down the back door. Almost side-doorish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2015 Author Share Posted August 31, 2015 Today's euro really seems to kick down the back door. Almost side-doorish.BD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 It seems like we may get into a more amplified pattern near mid month or a few days prior. Seems like the mean trough will be in the Plains/Midwest, but some ridging in the EPAC. So given trough placement and time of year, probably not a cool pattern..but one with fropas and perhaps formidable lows traveling close by New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2015 Author Share Posted September 1, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 Not yet. Two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2015 Author Share Posted September 1, 2015 lol bonefires, love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 What happened to the comma after "hot cocoa?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 1, 2015 Author Share Posted September 1, 2015 What happened to the comma after "hot cocoa?"melted like the marshmallow in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 68/62 here atm. I would take this type of evening for the next month and then a flip to cooler. Going to Falmouth this weekend for the fist time all summer so happy to have warm weather. Edit: feel free to move this to banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 massive flying ant swarm 2 nights ago. My guess is somehow correlated with the full moon. House was covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 Well moving the week of the equinox and all snow observation areas of the new home use should be settled by the time the first flakes fly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 Well moving the week of the equinox and all snow observation areas of the new home use should be settled by the time the first flakes fly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 Definitely glad we have warm weather for at least the first couple weeks of September. Really hoping for a 2006 start to winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 Definitely glad we have warm weather for at least the first couple weeks of September. Really hoping for a 2006 start to winter... 2006? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 Going to be a nice day today...lower dewpoints, lower temperatures....backdoor front slowly moving southwest. Kev's days and days of 90s will be in jeopardy after 1 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted September 1, 2015 Share Posted September 1, 2015 2006? Yes...if I remember correctly it was a warmer than normal start. i thought Dec 2006 was in the 50s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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