CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 What an inferno to start next week. Summer starts 8/15, completed 9/11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 No taste of deep fall anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 What an inferno to start next week. Summer starts 8/15, completed 9/11. Endless summer.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2015 Author Share Posted September 2, 2015 Friday and Saturday look awesome. Point n Click has me at 73 for Friday, 79 for Saturday. doodle do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 doodle do Heavy, heavy dark and stormies at the Deutsche Bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2015 Author Share Posted September 2, 2015 No taste of deep fall anytime soon. Deep fall, like Nov?, shocked really. some fall feel Friday Sat though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Deep fall, like Nov?, shocked really. some fall feel Friday Sat though OK I'll take back "deep"...no taste of early fall. I'm just looking for a 70F/40F type airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 What an inferno to start next week. Summer starts 8/15, completed 9/11. Just looking at the GFS and Euro now. Wow. That's really, really impressive for the week of 9/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Just looking at the GFS and Euro now. Wow. That's really, really impressive for the week of 9/7. Warmest period of the summer lol. September is the new July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Warmest period of the summer lol. September is the new July. September is now a summer month, November is a winter month, and March is definitely, definitely not a winter month. Seasons in seasons. NAEFS give a solid 1-1.5 SD above normal at 850 mb from hour 140 through 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 OK I'll take back "deep"...no taste of early fall. I'm just looking for a 70F/40F type airmass. Yeah... I think we need to wait post 9/15 for that type of stuff...maybe even beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 The pig ridge over the eastern US is very impressive for the next week or so. Still looks like we may flip the pattern somewhat around mid-month and beyond. Much higher heights want to build into the PNA region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Deep fall, like Nov?, shocked really. some fall feel Friday Sat thoughFriday/Saturday is 78-83 for highs. Definitely not a fall feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Friday will be a sneaky cold punch for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 2, 2015 Author Share Posted September 2, 2015 Friday/Saturday is 78-83 for highs. Definitely not a fall feel.some overnight 40s in NNE where he lives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 some overnight 40s in NNE where he lives Thank god we don't live there... Oh, wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 The pig ridge over the eastern US is very impressive for the next week or so. Still looks like we may flip the pattern somewhat around mid-month and beyond. Much higher heights want to build into the PNA region. It seems the "impressiveness" is all stacked into the mid levels. Odd ball circumstance with smaller features are teaming up to keep it cool relative to that appeal. I've seen less ridges with uber heat waves... yet we're struggling to make 90 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 It seems the "impressiveness" is all stacked into the mid levels. Odd ball circumstance with smaller features are teaming up to keep it cool relative to that appeal. I've seen less ridges with uber heat waves... yet we're struggling to make 90 here. "Looks great at H5" summer edition..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 It seems the "impressiveness" is all stacked into the mid levels. Odd ball circumstance with smaller features are teaming up to keep it cool relative to that appeal. I've seen less ridges with uber heat waves... yet we're struggling to make 90 here. Yeah right now we have +20 850 temps over us...the warmest of the season...and we are not realizing the potential at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 It seems the "impressiveness" is all stacked into the mid levels. Odd ball circumstance with smaller features are teaming up to keep it cool relative to that appeal. I've seen less ridges with uber heat waves... yet we're struggling to make 90 here. I think you really want to advect in the higher plumes or at least have them in place while the sun goes to work along with a good downslope wind. We may have that early next week, but otherwise tough to get stuff greater than 90-92 this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 I think you really want to advect in the higher plumes or at least have them in place while the sun goes to work along with a good downslope wind. We may have that early next week, but otherwise tough to get stuff greater than 90-92 this time of year. It is still very rare to see such a weak surface response to very warm 850 temps here. Even in early September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 I think you really want to advect in the higher plumes or at least have them in place while the sun goes to work along with a good downslope wind. We may have that early next week, but otherwise tough to get stuff greater than 90-92 this time of year. I was tossing a few caution flags for you yesterday in the AFD. Pretty stark lack of flow in the boundary layer definitely looked to hurt our usual downslope torch spots, but as you say the advection was pretty meh. Warm H8 temps were basically already in place versus moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 It is still very rare to see such a weak surface response to very warm 850 temps here. Even in early September. BOS is 88 so probably 90-91 I would guess? I think having that real good core slip off probably doesn't help..but I agree..you would have thought ORH would be warmer than 81 at 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 BOS is 88 so probably 90-91 I would guess? I think having that real good core slip off probably doesn't help..but I agree..you would have thought ORH would be warmer than 81 at 1pm. And I would have expected some solid 95s over the torch spots...not looking good to make that. This airmass didn't produce to our northwest either yesterday when ti came over the top. I saw a lot of muted highs in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Yeah right now we have +20 850 temps over us...the warmest of the season...and we are not realizing the potential at the surface. Not even close.. Seems almost poetic for a warm season that has found every other way imaginable to erode back heat potential - now it's just like ... breaking the law. haha. seriously though, it's interesting. You get into these ruts like this, where it seems the "correction vectors" (indulge for a second) are pointed one way or the other. Last Feb, it was snowing at least excuse imaginable -- that's an example an "always pick snow" pattern. Here, this summer's been about always picking the under ... because whatever verifies has seemingly always been less than mid range synoptic appeals. interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 I think you really want to advect in the higher plumes or at least have them in place while the sun goes to work along with a good downslope wind. We may have that early next week, but otherwise tough to get stuff greater than 90-92 this time of year. Can't dispute any of this ... Still, as I was just commiserating to Will, there's a definite kind of "mystique" or tenor to the weather verification this summer that have fallen primarily less than any entering synopsis. I mean, the record highs around SNE for September are still 101 or even as high as 103 F. We're in uber ridging, yet like getting these weird BL caps where the temp bounces around 87 F under 590 f'um heights.. I just hope it parlays into autumn/winter before AGW cancels winters forever (haha). Hey I'm not saying I'm disappointed, but that's odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 My guess is early next week has a better Tippy heat pattern moving in given the overall look. But for now, I wouldn't really go for uber record breaking heat..but that will certainly be lower 90s in the torch spots. Plenty of time to wait on claiming record heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 Hopefully this breaks circa 9/11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 September 1953 was the epic heat wave. ORH airport hit 99F in that...their highest temp at the airport site on record. They haven't exceeded 96F since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2015 Share Posted September 2, 2015 My guess is early next week has a better Tippy heat pattern moving in given the overall look. But for now, I wouldn't really go for uber record breaking heat..but that will certainly be lower 90s in the torch spots. Plenty of time to wait on claiming record heat. ... yeah, I saw that too -- but am/was a bit hesitant to mention because that whole "least excuse to b-bang a solid prediction effort" verification bias ...I'm not convinced won't like just invent yet another reason to f that vision up too. I'm still taking the 'not mentioning' route for now - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.