OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 New MCD out...replacement watch likely needed. Wonder if it's TOR or SVR? We'll be discussing that at 3 PM. Should be out shortly after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 Based on their wording it will only be a Severe. Not Tor Tend to agree, however, this sentence is interesting. My guess is they will let local WFO's make the ultimate call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 We'll be discussing that at 3 PM. Should be out shortly after that. sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 We'll be discussing that at 3 PM. Should be out shortly after that. Go Tor Warning or go home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Check out the cells in eastern NY now. Not very big, but all are beginning to rotate. Big time shear out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 To go SW into CT for that line or go north and hope for more discrete? hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 This thread is a treat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Go Tor Warning or go home I mean regardless of what we do, tornadoes will be possible through the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 It's bevone pretty overcast in the last 45 minutes or do, hay, do not much to see as I look overhead. Meanwile, the do has cone down a few ticks. 79.2/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macriver Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 It's bevone pretty overcast in the last 45 minutes or do, hay, do not much to see as I look overhead. Meanwile, the do has cone down a few ticks. 79.2/68 Yeah, it's been fairly overcast here in Westford also. The sun does come out, bu only briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Oh boy. All hell may be about to break loose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Mostly clear skies out there now, but lots of clouds racing up from the south and west. Hopefully those dry up. 72.7/69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 More ominous clouds overhead. Gonna head in. Might get wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Oh boy. All hell may be about to break loose. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Oh boy. All hell may be about to break loose. You should change your title to "Embellisher in Tolland" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 BAF dew now 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDeal Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Albany didn't sound very encouraging in their last AFD: WE ARE IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH VARIABLE CLOUDY CONDITIONS SO NOTREACHING FULL INSTABILITY POTENTIAL. CONVECTION CONTINUE TO FIREUP ACROSS REGION MAINLY TO WEST. IT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE INCOVERAGE WITH TIME AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND COLD FRONTBEARS DOWN ON AREA AND PROVIDES FORCING/LIFT. LIGHTNING HASLIMITED WITH THE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THEFORECAST AREA THUS FAR. WIND FIELD ACROSS REGION IS VERY STRONGFOR THIS TIME OF YEAR HOWEVER LAPSE RATES NOT IMPRESSIVE ACROSSAREA AND WARM ALOFT.18Z SOUNDING PARAMETERS:FREEZING LEVEL: 13.4 KFT-20C: 25.2 KFTWET BULB ZERO: 12.2 KFTLCL: 1580 FT METERSMUCAPE: 1580 J/KGSFC- 6KM SHEAR: 46 KTSMID LEVEL LAPSE RATE: 6.2 C/KM500 MB: -7C700 MB: 8C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 BAF dew now 66.Up to 74F at HFD. Still slightly backed winds from HFD-IJD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Mostly clear skies out there now, but lots of clouds racing up from the south and west. Hopefully those dry up. 72.7/69 eek, nothing in S VT yet to impact our area. Stuff going up west of Concord NH will go south of the Lakes Region. Seems there was some high cloud debris in S VT that has kept stuff from popping so far. May have to wait for T storms further west in NYS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 23, 2015 Author Share Posted June 23, 2015 Headed to BDL...this is it. So pumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Cells are really starting to rotate, nice one by Oneonta and another north of Monticello, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Cells are really starting to rotate, nice one by Oneonta and another north of Monticello, NY. Wouldn't be surprised if the one NW of Poughkeepsie becomes more dominant. On the fringe of the better mid level lapse rates and of course tracking towards the Connecticut Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Cells just firing, heading into unstable territory over SNE with plenty of shear, good dewpoints, this might be a fun evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eire015 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 78/67 in Whitefield, NH. A big hole just opened up on the visible satellite and it is almost clear overhead in Littleton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 That stuff in Jersey may prove to be the only show for Southern CT, which would hose any chance for a true discreet supercell. However... There are some signs of rotation on the north end of the line segment, so it could consolidate into something less like a typical SNE squall line, and also... Interesting things could happen when the NJ convection hits the seabreeze boundary now evident on radar (runs through Derby, Cheshire, etc). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Cells in ENY really starting to look good/rotate. Also, I see Andy is here, I'm interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Im glad you guys provide quality commentary. I have no idea what to look at and I am getting nervous that anything will happen at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 More ominous clouds overhead. Gonna head in. Might get wet. I'm up at poets seat looking West towards your area, horizon not looking too ominous yet, blue sky to your Northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 85/71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Hopefully my two year thunderstorm drought comes to an 1812 Overture end this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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