snowman19 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Not really. The current statistical model guidance mean is a weak Nino, and the dynamical model mean is a moderate El Nino. http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/ A strong Nino is possible, but I think odds favor a moderate Nino right now. Could be, but one thing is certain, if a solid strong nino does form as some are predicting, it will make for a very easy winter forecast, that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 I think the el niño will get to a high end moderate but thats about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Should be a very busy day here in Texas-tornado watch out now for the central third of the state and big time storms are firing and progressing east on the dryline. Hopefully we can get some clearing today because the cap shouldn't be a problem like it's been the last few days down here. Edit-sun's coming out now. Humid as it's ever been here so what storms we get will produce big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Wow, moderate risk now from here up to Dallas. Skies are trying to clear out. Biggest threat still seems to be hail for here but the tornado risk is the highest since I've moved here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 I'm not rooting for flooding. The rain was so intense with Irene here but a once or twice a decade event. That was an incredible period for rain here...had nearly 9" on the 14th followed by 8" from Irene on the 27th-28th for a 21.55" total for the month and a 30 day total of 25.50" thru the first week of Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 That was an incredible period for rain here...had nearly 9" on the 14th followed by 8" from Irene on the 27th-28th for a 21.55" total for the month and a 30 day total of 25.50" thru the first week of Sept. Yup had similar totals here. Glad I don't live by a river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Yup had similar totals here. Glad I don't live by a river. In a van? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 In a van?I see what you did there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Wow, moderate risk now from here up to Dallas. Skies are trying to clear out. Biggest threat still seems to be hail for here but the tornado risk is the highest since I've moved here. have you witnessed svr criteria hail yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 have you witnessed svr criteria hail yet?I had 1" hail and 60 mph wind about a month ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 swamp ass weather sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 This warm and dry stretch has me ultra tanned lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Could get ugly with the fire danger next week if we don't see any rain. I see a lot of strong highs moving down along with dry, NW winds. Weather wise it'll be excellent but it's too much of a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 swamp ass weather sucks It's call tennis weather. That's why Forky likes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Severe thunderstorms in NH right now headed into ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 The southern plains are just getting hammered with torrential rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 We eagerly await: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 how do you deal with july? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 how do you deal with july? lol Air conditions and tears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 So who else didnt need to read who the super nino threadstarter was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 So who else didnt need to read who the super nino threadstarter was? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Anyone doing the spotter training at NCC tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Anyone doing the spotter training at NCC tomorrow? How do you get involved with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 How do you get involved with that? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/skywarn_form.php Not sure if it's too late to sign up though. They have several different classes across the area on different dates usually clustered around this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 So who else didnt need to read who the super nino threadstarter was?I can't figure out his screen name when he's constantly looking for ways it won't be cold or snow going all the way back to the heart of last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 I can't figure out his screen name when he's constantly looking for ways it won't be cold or snow going all the way back to the heart of last winter. Its the reverse psychology crap, been around since the early Colin years lol. Pretend to be against snow, find ways it wont, etc. this way youre that much happier when it does snow, and not as dissapointed when it doesnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Its the reverse psychology crap, been around since the early Colin years lol. Pretend to be against snow, find ways it wont, etc. this way youre that much happier when it does snow, and not as dissapointed when it doesnt.Of course, like the movie What About Bob, "If I fake it then I don't have it" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 Tossed in the towel last night and turned our CAC on...glad to see it works-haven't had time to get it serviced yet. Looks like today is the last day of this, upton has high 60's rest of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 That ends this weekend with the stalled frontal boundary. So we can lock this up?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 12, 2015 Share Posted May 12, 2015 So we can lock this up?? +RA for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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