CoachLB Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Something to watch at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Regardless of what the storm on the 20th does, the GFS has been steadfast on clipper/Les type look right on Christmas Eve/Day. So far out but has to make you feel decent that wintry times are ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 I'm not convinced by the looks of the MJO this round of winter will be here for long. The short term prospects are looking action packed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Regardless of what the storm on the 20th does, the GFS has been steadfast on clipper/Les type look right on Christmas Eve/Day. So far out but has to make you feel decent that wintry times are ahead! SMI best climo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Regardless of what the storm on the 20th does, the GFS has been steadfast on clipper/Les type look right on Christmas Eve/Day. So far out but has to make you feel decent that wintry times are ahead! it's a lock imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Finally looks like things will be picking up soon for winter weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Regardless of what the storm on the 20th does, the GFS has been steadfast on clipper/Les type look right on Christmas Eve/Day. So far out but has to make you feel decent that wintry times are ahead! Thus why I only selected Green Bay and Detroit to have a White Christmas in the other thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 FINALLY.... something to look forward to! THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO POSSIBLY HEAVY LAKE ENHANCED SNOW TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR ALL COUNTIES BORDERING LAKE SUPERIOR AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DELTA AND SCHOOLCRAFT COUNTIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 Still up in the air but things looking interesting here on Monday/Tuesday. The Euro says no, but the GFS and PGFS say white Christmas. Dirty glacierized piles melting as we speak. Let's hit restart on winter. Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 12, 2014 Share Posted December 12, 2014 I'm liking the long range, shows a deep trough, lot's of cold.... Shows the lakes fired up, good stuff. My business is shutdown from Dec 24th through January 8th. I need SNOW SNOW SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 I'm not convinced by the looks of the MJO this round of winter will be here for long. The short term prospects are looking action packed. Hope it lasts. A lot of mets said Dec would be by far the mildest month of winter. Plus, we are heading deeper into winter anyway...the averages slowly keep dropping. Not that torches or boring spells cant or wont happen, but for at least snow prospects, hopefully good times are here to stay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Eye candy... Regarding the eye candy... The 12z ECMWF (with snow plot, posted by KokomoWX) has a 500mb vorticity max that tracks from Lubbock to Columbus OH at hour 216, and seems to phase with some cold air. 850mb temps drop to -2C in Ohio at 216 hours. In all likelihood, the forecast of this disturbance won't be that accurate, so we can't really count on anything for the Ohio Valley. It reminds me some of upper level features of December 25, 2002, when Toledo got heavy snow at about 4:00AM. http://greatlakes.salsite.com/maps/12_25_2002_00z_500_vort.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 0z GFS has a stronger wave for next Tuesday, actually fairly nice snow amounts across IA and into IL and then is faster/weaker with the 19th/20th wave as it rounds the base of the main trof and comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 GFS seemed clunky for a good chunk of the run....but at least it was a fun one to watch if nothing else! It sure was in hurry to kick out that SW trough on this run around the H120....that seemed to set the tone moving forward imo... There is a lot to sort out timing wise as we get into the 20th and beyond... at least it looks promising to start seeing some flakes fly in parts of the upper Lakes early next week...get a little powder back on the ground up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 The Monday/Tuesday system here looking good. Looks like temps aloft will crash on Monday afternoon thus changing rain to snow fairly quickly. GFS has the heaviest snow west of the TC, but the Parallel and Euro have it thru the metro. MPX calling for possible 3-6" snowfall at this point. Either way, looks like a fresh snowpack here which will hopefully help others downstream in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 hot tip: punt the 20th event it's going to scoot harmlessly along the gulf states and ots looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Will see.. I will take this over nothing. But nothing is also possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 At least the nogaps is showing a nice hit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 12z Euro has a nice little snow maker for STL, PAH, EVV, SDF, etc with the 12/20-21 system. A bit of a bump north compared to the 0z run, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 13, 2014 Author Share Posted December 13, 2014 12z Euro has a nice little snow maker for STL, PAH, EVV, SDF, etc with the 12/20-21 system. A bit of a bump north compared to the 0z run, FWIW. Not bad considering the relatively suppressed surface low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Not bad considering the relatively suppressed surface low track. A little ULL/northern impulse magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 looking good Nino storm track FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 I think the long range looks much better then it did a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 12z Euro has a nice little snow maker for STL, PAH, EVV, SDF, etc with the 12/20-21 system. A bit of a bump north compared to the 0z run, FWIW. Alek looking good on this one. Ensembles are far weaker, further south and east and OTS. NEXT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Alek looking good on this one. Ensembles are far weaker, further south and east and OTS. NEXT Even a blind squirrel... But it's still 6+ days away. Too early to give up. Granted I'm talking about some massive region-wide snowstorm, but someone in the sub-forum has a chance at seeing some snow with this system IMO. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 End of today's 12z Euro ensembles...looks kinda familiar. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Yeah, the 12z Euro ensemble mean looked great. Not a lot of spread on that ridge placement across Alaska, that's a 360 hour mean showing up that strongly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 End of today's 12z Euro ensembles...looks kinda familiar. Wow. eps 360 500h.png eps 360 850t.png Lock it in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Yeah, the 12z Euro ensemble mean looked great. Not a lot of spread on that ridge placement across Alaska, that's a 360 hour mean showing up that strongly. That's what I was thinking. Pretty impressive. And it's not just a "wait until the end kind of deal" either, as the pattern looks to be improving starting somewhere around 12/22-23. I'm digging the look. Lock it in? Hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.