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3/18-3/19 Icy Event


JoshM

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Scooter, I can't see where you are located on my phone but apparently roads are horrible here and not just the bridges. They're shutting down roads and power outages are being reported.

I'm in Thomasville south of you. My brother lives in Oak Ridge and said they had a lot more sleet than here. It's definitely not looking good, especially since this is all happening at night now. Starting to worry about power again too. 

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What are thoughts on road conditions in the morning? Slushy in the morning or mostly wet, except elevated surfaces of course. 

 

A lot depends on how liberal the DOT can be with salt spreading. Tonight on the news they said supplies are very low and suppliers are rationing what they have left.  Early in the morning could be a problem assuming temps remain where they are.

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Just took a walk outside...  There's definitely a lot of ZR mixed in with the sleet.  It's coming down relatively heavily.

 

EDIT: Thanks for the sounding, Grit.  Looks like we're done with the snow threat, then.  Hopefully, we can keep the warm nose at bay enough to give us more sleet than ZR...  It's quite cold from 900 mb on down to the surface.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC

901 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014

NCZ007>011-021>027-038>041-180615-

PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-

ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...

HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...

WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...

CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...

NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...LEXINGTON...

THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...SILER CITY...

PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY

901 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014

...LIGHT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRIEFLY INCREASE IN

INTENSITY THROUGH 2 AM...THEN DIMINISH TO PERIODS OF FREEZING

RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

AT 855 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SURFACE

OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF MIXED FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET

SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN

COASTAL PLAIN OF NC. HOURLY PRECIPITATION RATES OF UP TO SEVERAL

HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH HAVE BEEN COMMON WITH THIS EXPANDING AREA OF

PRECIPITATION. THESE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH 2 AM WILL

SUPPORT AN ADDITIONAL SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE QUARTER

INCH...AND FREEZING RAIN ACCRUAL GENERALLY AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN

INCH...TO PERHAPS AS MUCH AS TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH IN ISOLATED

SPOTS. NUMEROUS TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED...

PARTICULARLY THROUGHOUT THE TRIAD.

THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY TAPER TO VERY LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER 2 AM...WITH LITTLE

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AFTER THAT TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD IN

THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES...HOWEVER...SO ICY CONDITIONS

WILL REMAIN LIKELY...PARTICULARLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS

TREES...CAR TOPS...AND BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...THROUGH TUESDAY

MORNING. DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL RESULT.

$$

MWS

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The saving grace for yall worried about alot of zr. 

 

Which since my last post has transitioned to all sleet with some big raindrops or wet snow  So what warm layer that strenghten durring the lull is starting to be erroded.

 

So my guess would be a transition to sleet and zr limiting ice accural.

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I think that was me. We all were caught off guard with that batch of sleet that setup over the triad for most of the day.

 

Yeah, I thought we were done after the morning batch.  This batch caught me off-guard (until I saw some of the short-range models this afternoon).  It's fairly potent.  I guess it caught the NWS and all the local news stations off-guard, too, considering we had nothing by freezing drizzle in the forecast.

 

This whole day has busted in the cold/wet side.  This afternoon wasn't supposed to feature as much precip as it did and we were supposed to top out in the mid to upper 30s when, in fact, we never got above 30 (at GSO).  Having freezing rain and sleet during the middle of the afternoon in mid-March was an interesting experience.

 

I'm not sure about RAH calling this precipitation mainly light.  I'd say it's moderate, personally.  It's coming down pretty decently at the moment.

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Unless my eyes are playing trix. Predom type is sleet with some half way decent flakes mixing in. To put it nicely its trying.  Those between GSO,WS,Lex in that deepest band what is falling and try to monitor.

 

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=rax&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no

IP/ZR mix.  More IP right now but it changes frequently.

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My aunt and cousin are stranded at PTI airport. My cousins flight came in at 9:05 (2 hours late) and now his luggage is lost. They are advising her not to leave. She's from Florida, in a rental car and has NO experience driving in this kind of weather (not that anyone can really have "experience" driving on ice). :(

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