JC-CT Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Unfortunately I believe that once again the confluence is too strong to allow this to come much further north. That, and nothing to stop it from becoming a sheared mess ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I will say though that this seems to me to have more a chance than the debacle earlier in the month because it is not a massive system going cross country and eventually losing energy and shearing out. Rather this phases later on and is a developing feature at h5. So I think it could wind up coming slightly North. .. But the ridge axis out west is aimed very oddly for a big hit signal in our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Something interesting....the 21z SREF had a few more even more amped members than 15z, probably doesn't mean anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peregrinator Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The GFS ticked further south a bit, it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 its pretty much because you can only read them verbatim....sorry,but its the truth and whats worse is you dismiss anything that isnt snow positive i think the problem is having unrealistic expectations with regard to models. There are going to be fluctuations and changes as an event gets closer, models can sniff out threats, but the exact details are not easy to pinpoint several days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The other problem that is present in this setup that has plagued us all winter:+NAO. you dont say? we got as lucky for 4 weeks this winter as the douche who wins the mega millions..this will never happe again, its like having the huge -nao in 95-96 in a la nina...anomalous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 i think the problem is having unrealistic expectations with regard to models. There are going to be fluctuations and changes as an event gets closer, models can sniff out threats, but the exact details are not easy to pinpoint several days out. i think the problem is this forum caters to people and teenager who have zero business posting about weather in any meteorological forum - banter is fine... again, sorry, but true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 It's over, enough said. Time for spring, and hopefully it comes soon with some decent precip or else we are headed into summer likely into a drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 this was NOT a great winter - you must me young so you think it was um are you talking NYC area? Plenty of cold, and almost double the average snowfall, i think that qualifies as an excellent winter, not an all time great, but pretty damn good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 this was NOT a great winter - you must me young so you think it was I respectfully disagree. This was a great winter IMO. Long lasting cold, high snow totals and lasting snow cover (not that I'm a huge fan of snow cover for long periods of time). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 this was NOT a great winter - you must me young so you think it was This was a great winter. I'm thinking you are younger than I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 this was NOT a great winter - you must me young so you think it was You are out of your mind. This was a top 10 winter all time. 7th most snow ever, brutal cold and very long lasting snow pack. March has sucked and that's the only reason why it's not a top 2-3 winter of all time. But anyone who thinks this winter wasn't a great one for NYC is insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 this was NOT a great winter - you must me young so you think it was Could you support your view with supporting evidence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 good luck with that....cold and crap wth ZERO snow for 4 more weeks....at least Ace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 you dont say? we got as lucky for 4 weeks this winter as the douche who wins the mega millions..this will never happe again, its like having the huge -nao in 95-96 in a la nina...anomalous 4 weeks? Are you living on a different planet? There was snow from December to early March with 2 periods of historic stretches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 This was a great winter. I'm thinking you are younger than I am. Yeah 60 inches of snow...... temps well below normal for jan-mar and close to normal in Dec...don't know what more to ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Could you support your view with supporting evidence? He's a clown. There is no other explanation. Worse then even that post is the one where he called this a 4 week winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 00z GFS has nothing for NYC FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 It's over, enough said. Time for spring, and hopefully it comes soon with some decent precip or else we are headed into summer likely into a drought. Damn I guess I lost track of that bit of information...didn't realize how low precip numbers were low across the NE this month, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 this was NOT a great winter - you must me young so you think it wasCentral Park has 58 inches of snow this winter, on par with what Albany typically has. Everyone is well above their averages, personally I'm at about 200 percent. You're delusional, not anyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 That said given the crappy progressive pattern we still have, I think our chances for any real snow (2 inches or more) are low. Hence why I just want it to be over and have real spring weather. However the EPO might keep us in teaser misery for a while longer, maybe into April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 0z GGEM is 5mm+ to at least Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Central Park has 58 inches of snow this winter, on par with what Albany typically has. Everyone is well above their averages, personally I'm at about 200 percent. You're delusional, not anyone else. In all likelihood, come next February we'll all wish we were back in this winter. Strange things will happen but this is probably the best winter we'll see for years in terms of the full package of snow and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 no no no, you gotta do it RIGHT... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MDtSf9pseOw LOL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I would say, based off black and whites, that the 0z GGEM has the .25" line near NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Ace? It's totally Ace! Same negativity... Same posting style... lowercase lowercase then CAPS when he's making his downer point. The name fits, too. Good catch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 This thread is like the bar scene from star wars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Could you support your view with supporting evidence? that post was not remotely rational. this winter would have been the 5th snowiest winter of the 20th century at New Brunswick. and as best as i can tell, the 7th snowiest winter since 1890. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 How anyone can say this winter sucked is comical, and just blatant trolling and delusion. Every single category especially snowfall strongly says otherwise. Unless your expectations are unreasonably high, this was a winter to remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Great winter, see u chaps next winter. Thanks for letting me post in this forum. I'll be hanging out in the phl forum for severe and hurricane season. Peace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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