IsentropicLift Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The last hope will be the new data tonight with the 00z runs. If their will be one last big shift north I would expect it no later than tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Well, bring on spring ! This one is an inch at most for us.....quite a letdown, but, let's put it behind us Sent from my iPhone EPO says hold your horses. Did you see the gfs in the LR, it even has snow threats. No doubt they'll be nice milder days but they'll be plenty of cold shots as well as there's plenty of cold air still hanging close by. Temperatures in general are likely to average below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 So what there threats in the long range....there always are 10 days out...it means nothing until a couple days before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I hope this is the last one..my heart cant handle another one of these 10 days out storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Yes. It's very noticeable from 12z GFS yesterday to 6z GFS today. GFS has been taking very small steps since yesterday afternoon. The low pressure system is now consolidated east of OBX vs. a strung out cold front look, as we saw on March 2nd/3rd. The trough really is the problem now. The confluence alone isn't enough to keep this south of our area. For context, NWS has a forecast high of 30 on Monday, whereas on March 3rd, my location barely made it to 20 during the day. Clearly there is a far less suppressive influence this time around. It's mid March.. Wavelengths are much different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I hope this is the last one..my heart cant handle another one of these 10 days out storm. Ahhh dont worry about storms 10 days out then. Its spring next week we shouldnt be tracking anymore snow threats till november at the earliest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 If there's anymore snow threats they'll be more sneaky as I'm sure most won't even bother following closely given it'll be fully Spring calendar wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Ahhh dont worry about storms 10 days out then. Its spring next week we shouldnt be tracking anymore snow threats till november at the earliest Now watch it will snow in April lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 It's mid March.. Wavelengths are much different. Over two weeks? If I was comparing mid march to early February, sure.In this case the relative differences in air masses are responsible for the temperature disparity not ISR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Now watch it will snow in April lol Man i hope not. We better start seeing widespread 60's and 70's by then ant! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Man i hope not. We better start seeing widespread 60's and 70's by then ant! Better hope the gfs is wrong. I want warm temps in April. Thank god Easter is late this year. Should be warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Over two weeks? If I was comparing mid march to early February, sure.In this case the relative differences in air masses are responsible for the temperature disparity not ISR...I should clarify.. I meant from the confluence we would see in mid to late Jan and early Feb, with this type or hp/pv set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The Euro is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Rain Wrdnesday night. Maybe some enhancment possible if a triple point forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The Euro is meh this one is cooked then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The fat lady is on verse two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Maybe now some people can stop grasping at straws with this event. Unless something dramatic happens in the next couple of model runs this one is done and so is winter IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 This one is DOA. I doubt even DC sees that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I never say winter is completely over until about mid April because anything is possible especially if the pattern still favors below normal temperatures. I'm gonna hold on to every grasp of hope for anything even if it seems bleak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I never say winter is completely over until about mid April because anything is possible especially if the pattern still favors below normal temperatures. I'm gonna hold on to every grasp of hope for anything even if it seems bleak. The epo keeps reloading. I wouldn't give up until mid April also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 This one is DOA. I doubt even DC sees that much. I'm hoping for an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Exactly the EPO will be tanking soon and the gfs shows that clearly about a week or so from now. Yea maybe I'm grasping straws but we are about to enter the weather doldrums for the next 2 to 3 months prior to severe weather and flooding season so I'll keep any hope alive. Hopefully we get some anamolous weather to spice things up a bit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 WSW for SNJ for 3-6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 15, 2014 Author Share Posted March 15, 2014 Strange that's its 60 to 65 outside and 70 in dc, March 17th, but we're going to miss this to the south.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 I'm hoping for an inch Give it up, it's pathetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NYC has not seen much snow now for almost a month, the pattern is cold and there is a decent of cold air amount left. The problem is that we are in a pattern that let's the models to predict snow, but one it comes down to brass tracts we end up missing them to the south and north. This is a more commen pattern for NYC then the pattern we had during most of the winter. They may be a few more chances for snow, but if I had to make a bet I think NYC will not pass the 60" mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NYC has not seen much snow now for almost a month, the pattern is cold and there is a decent of cold air amount left. The problem is that we are in a pattern that let's the models to predict snow, but one it comes down to brass tracts we end up missing them to the south and north. This is a more commen pattern for NYC then the pattern we had during most of the winter. They may be a few more chances for snow, but if I had to make a bet I think NYC will not pass the 60" mark. I agree, I think we have pretty much what we will walk away with this winter. Ever since Feb 15th we just can't buy any luck. I think if anyone around here sees a coating of snow on the ground tomorrow morning, call that a win. Unbelievable that on a day in the upper 50s in March, tomorrow we will watch a storm get suppressed well south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 Give it up, it's pathetic Seriously? I have seen the RAP initialize farther off than it would take to get NYC 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 NYC has not seen much snow now for almost a month, the pattern is cold and there is a decent of cold air amount left. The problem is that we are in a pattern that let's the models to predict snow, but one it comes down to brass tracts we end up missing them to the south and north. This is a more commen pattern for NYC then the pattern we had during most of the winter. They may be a few more chances for snow, but if I had to make a bet I think NYC will not pass the 60" mark. probably setting the tone for next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 The 12z JMA almost gets the 0.25" plus to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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