Ian Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 These people are going to really love your CRAS model from the last one. Should we just sacrifice you and win again?Will be interesting to see if GFS holds or even continues. I'm not sold it's not a burp yet. SREF is sorta promising but a bit at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I have to make sure now, would we be cold enough? Temps have burned us late in the game before. Sent from my iPod touch Not on your street. It will take hours before it starts to accumulate on the roads. Haha. Despite my past bitterness, this was a serious question. Sent from my iPod touch using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 18z gefs looks great again on the means down the line. Blocking across the pole into western greenland. Just parked. Cold look for the conus. And probably stormy. This is 5 runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Will be interesting to see if GFS holds or even continues. I'm not sold it's not a burp yet. SREF is sorta promising but a bit at range. Agreed. I felt the 18z GFS was intriguing not because of its verbatim output, but because its ensembles (which are still usable) were well NW even of the op. The SREF is well nw and its spread shows some members to be even better than the mean. However, plenty of times we have seen this happen and the 0z nam and remainder of the suite kills it. It is a whole new ballgame however if the western vort phases in, as thats really a whole new solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Will be interesting to see if GFS holds or even continues. I'm not sold it's not a burp yet. SREF is sorta promising but a bit at range. I think it will be more interesing to see if the NAM does us any favors first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Haha. Despite my past bitterness, this was a serious question. Sent from my iPod touch If the beaches of SC are bracing for snow, you can assume it would be cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Will be interesting to see if GFS holds or even continues. I'm not sold it's not a burp yet. SREF is sorta promising but a bit at range. I am awaiting the NAM together with Matt eagerly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregD Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How soon before we are discussing if this winter is better than '09-'10? Never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If the beaches of SC are bracing for snow, you can assume it would be cold enough Yeah I figured that was assumed, but since it wasn't it will be plenty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 Will be interesting to see if GFS holds or even continues. I'm not sold it's not a burp yet. SREF is sorta promising but a bit at range. I would say burp if there wasn't so much support with the members. Almost like the n solution locked in all at once. Not saying it can't easily go to he11 in next couple hours. But I was pretty surprised when 18z gefs came out. I can't imagine 0z taking it a step further. Probably a compromise but I hope we get crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plowable Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Yeah I figured that was assumed, but since it wasn't it will be plenty cold. if it does pan out i'll def be out and about taking some photo's i'll post some if it looks good. Being from central Md my standards are a tad bit higher lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Per Wow in the SE thread, 00z NAM is def slower with the polar energy at 18 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Per Wow in the SE thread, 00z NAM is def slower with the polar energy at 18 hrs Is that a good thing for a further push of the precip north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Is that a good thing for a further push of the precip north? Indeed it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2014 Author Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam is going to go boom. Nw trend. At least from its last run that sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Indeed it is. So the idea is slower arctic push equals less supression of precip field? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 just saw the 21z SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam is going to go boom. Nw trend. At least from its last run that sucked Congrats on crashing the American Weather server with this comment, Bob. Ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Congrats on crashing the American Weather server with this comment, Bob. Ha! I was just busy donating.. what happened?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I was just busy donating.. what happened?? The board works best when it is 70 and sunny in mid April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The NAM is inches away from going bonkers. The GFS really is something I can't believe I'm anxious for. Bonkers for the SE and would probably have done something for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The NAM is inches away from going bonkers. The GFS really is something I can't believe I'm anxious for. Bonkers for the SE and would probably have done something for us. If the southern energy was about 50 miles more east... I am pretty sure NAM would have gone bonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Looks like the NAM is holding back the s.w, preventing something really good perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam is going to go boom. Nw trend. At least from its last run that sucked You are rivaling Ji in ineptitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Looks like the NAM is holding back the s.w, preventing something really good perhaps Yeah it's still far south and looks to be moving NE away at hour 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam is going to go boom. Nw trend. At least from its last run that sucked No boom, the northern stream again seems to squash the southern system just enough to keep everything suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 If the southern energy was about 50 miles more east... I am pretty sure NAM would have gone bonkers If the NAM corrects the southern sw in its next few runs, watch out people. It really could have been a crazy run. The GFS could have something in store. If not, stay tuned, the verdict is still yet to be determined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 You are rivaling Ji in ineptitude. Get the hell out of our forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Nam is going to go boom. Nw trend. At least from its last run that sucked No boom, the northern stream again seems to squash the southern system just enough to keep everything suppressed. But it's a near miss no? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 it's marginally northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.