HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 If this comes to fruition it will be a pretty epic Dec. 20+" so far, counting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Nice hit up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Euro seems a bit warmer, but on phone so somebody confirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Seems weaker with secondary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Euro seems a bit warmer, but on phone so somebody confirm. It is, Warmer then 0z, And a tic NW, Strength looks about the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Euro seems a bit warmer, but on phone so somebody confirm.yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Wish I was back at shool for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Lol @ forky post this hr, is not good Odds of heading north went up. How is IZG lookin qpf wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Weaker than 00z too it looks like with the precip. Still looks like a few inches for many in SNE as it changes to snow. But I'd like to see a bit more roboust precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Wish I was back at shool for this one. Yes you do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Its over.move along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Lol @ forky post this hr, is not good Odds of heading north went up. How is IZG lookin qpf wise nothing crazy yet...0.40"ish or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Its over.move along Only for some... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 nothing crazy yet...0.40"ish or so. Precip looked better to the NW up here then 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Weaker than 00z too it looks like with the precip. Still looks like a few inches for many in SNE as it changes to snow. But I'd like to see a bit more roboust precip. Could you define many? Still for you all north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Could you define many? Still for you all north? It might give you an inch or two at the end. But best chance for advisory snows in SNE is probably N of pike from Rays area to ORH county to S NH and Berks. 00z run last night had a bit more intense precip core which probably helped dynamically cool...this precip shield is a bit more expansive but less punch toward the middle....but we are really splitting hairs here....the two runs were pretty similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 at Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 at Kevin. Hey if I can get 1-3 at the tail end while you guys up north get 6-10..I'd still consider that a W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 It might give you an inch or two at the end. But best chance for advisory snows in SNE is probably N of pike from Rays area to ORH county to S NH and Berks. 00z run last night had a bit more intense precip core which probably helped dynamically cool...this precip shield is a bit more expansive but less punch toward the middle....but we are really splitting hairs here....the two runs were pretty similar. It essentially held its ground.....just such a sensitive scenaro. I'd go 2-5" for now, and hedge up if necessary. Never a good sign when the run analysis is kicked off with a post from Dendrite proclaiming that it looks good for his area. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Hey if I can get 1-3 at the tail end while you guys up north get 6-10..I'd still consider that a W Nah it's rain for me. Too bad mother nature deficated on the 20th because it could been an epic month. Although still potential pike north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 It essentially held its ground.....just such a sensitive scenaro. I'd go 2-5" for now, and hedge up if necessary. Never a good sign when the run analysis is kicked off with a post from Dendrite proclaiming that it looks good for his area. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 It essentially held its ground.....just such a sensitive scenaro. I'd go 2-5" for now, and hedge up if necessary. Never a good sign when the run analysis is kicked off with a post from Dendrite proclaiming that it looks good for his area. lol Hmm...I was thinking a brief switch to slushy flakes at 32-34F and a coating on colder surfaces. A punt IMO. Plenty of time for changes though. RN --> SN scenarios almost never produce much of anything from my past experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 This is weird in a way. It's so marginal that there won't be much geographical separation between cold rain and a thumping . And it may not be better defined until 0Z/28. Definitely the gateway to the arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 It essentially held its ground.....just such a sensitive scenaro. I'd go 2-5" for now, and hedge up if necessary. Never a good sign when the run analysis is kicked off with a post from Dendrite proclaiming that it looks good for his area. lol I'll consider anything above an inch or two a win in this setup....considering 2-3 days ago that Sunday looked like a downslope dandy with highs near 50F. I'll take some rain with 2-3 inches of scenic paste to end it if that's what we settle on instead. Basically anything in this is a bonus. Its a synoptically "ugly" look if that primary stays stronger....that is originally the feature that was going to give us a nice SW sfc flow for our downslope dandy before the southern stream got involved and threw a wrench in this forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Hmm...I was thinking a brief switch to slushy flakes at 32-34F and a coating on colder surfaces. A punt IMO. Plenty of time for changes though. Climo dictates that we are likely to see at least some significant devlopment of a secondary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 So long as ski country gets the snow they badly need, I'll take a 33F rain at home. The seasonal snowfall total's for alot of the major players is in the 25-45" range which is really meager for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Hmm...I was thinking a brief switch to slushy flakes at 32-34F and a coating on colder surfaces. A punt IMO. Plenty of time for changes though. RN --> SN scenarios almost never produce much of anything from my past experience. They do when dynamically driven....I would be inclined to agree if this were a perfectly linear situation, but its not. Its not as though we are just hoping for cold air to rush in before precip exits....those are when you start chasing pots at the end of rainbows. In this instance, we are simply hoping for secondry cyclogenesis to alter the playing field a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 They do when dynamically driven....I would be inclined to agree if this were a perfectly linear situation, but its not. Its not as though we are just hoping for cold air to rush in before precip exits....those are when you start chasing pots at the end of rainbows. In this instance, we are simply hoping for secondry cyclogenesis to alter the playing field a bit. Expectations are very low with this. Anything is a bonus, like Will said. Hopefully, we'll be able to get something once the Arctic unleashes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 So long as ski country gets the snow they badly need, I'll take a 33F rain at home. The seasonal snowfall total's for alot of the major players is in the 25-45" range which is really meager for this time of year. Our heart bleeds for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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