bobbutts Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looking at the graphical output for Euro and GFS looks cold for kcon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It's becoming more difficult to discern whether you are being serious or sarcastic lol I'm actually being serious. If the Euro doesn't cave, I'm thinking we're going to see a more widespread snow in SNE and maybe CNE. Some of us are going to rain, be more like a mid December storm due to SST's unless we get a good north component. I fear more SE than N this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 About time we bump the excitement level in this subforum up to where it should be in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I don't quite see how we'd actually swing snow from this one. Especially if there's any E component to the winds during. Well that's the thing, especially if this storm comes closer. However, with a high to the north and low passing further offshore, it would help keep the wind at say 040-050 instead of 080. That would help, especially areas just nw of the city. It's close to all snow on the GFS, but yeah I think as is, we would have ptype problems for a while, right in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Sometimes your jokes are funny. Lately not so much This pattern has got to you, You have lost your humor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Sorry if someone already posted this but interesting read from Jeff Masters about thw weather pattern so far this year: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 absolutely. don't have time to go thru posts. but we had Brian "lol" about 850s not going above freeziing the entire event. Sam was on it, as was Ginx, conversation about how it looked like confluence could subtly build in. words like "sneaky" entering the dialogue. Dryslot poked his head up and took his damn sled to get tuned! You were here too! It got warmer 36 ago and then colder. This was a colder look for NNE and CNE though...colder than the conventional wisdom at the time of rain to the Canadian Border. I do remember that, but the GFS was pretty far south too a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I'm actually being serious. If the Euro doesn't cave, I'm thinking we're going to see a more widespread snow in SNE and maybe CNE. Some of us are going to rain, be more like a mid December storm due to SST's unless we get a good north component. I fear more SE than N this time Colder solution equals suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 From Noyes: MattNoyesNECN Matt Noyes Tuesday cool front provides just enuf cold air 2 make Thu AM storm interesting. Getting excited for all Northern NewEng Thu AM storm to have SE wind component near coast & 2 much warmth for anything substantial south, but mountains hold cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Well that's the thing, especially if this storm comes closer. However, with a high to the north and low passing further offshore, it would help keep the wind at say 040-050 instead of 080. That would help, especially areas just nw of the city. It's close to all snow on the GFS, but yeah I think as is, we would have ptype problems for a while, right in the city. Yeah, I'd like to see more of a NNE and a little more slumping to the SE of the track before I raise an eyebrow in the direction of this system, at least as far as my own backyard is concerned (read: I do not care about anywhere/anyone else). Like I said before, I view this more as the landmark of a pattern change, less as an opportunity to get immediate results the likes of which I'm hoping said pattern change will bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 the gefs mean is actually a hair south of the BM. ggem would be a decent event for most (SNE) just away from the coast as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 was it? sorry I don't remember that....anyhow I am coming down to Brookline on Thursday afternoon....niece flying in from FL. Then staying there with a day trip to Amherst to look at schools. Back up in NH Saturday eve. I want her to see snow so hopefully Boston gets in on it...or at least there will be some waiting for us in NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I use your site and e-wall ... any chance of adding a hover over loop like on e-wall?? (sorry to go OT) http://www.meteo.psu...mski/ewall.html link for e-wall It's not my site I used to have a dull, boring life. I wasn't happy with the other models sites, but then I started using http://www.instantweathermaps.com Now suddenly I'm dating a supermodel, driving a Porsche and moved to a mansion. Thanks http://www.instantweathermaps.com ! OK, so it's someone I know that owns it, but still... neither I nor he has ever said you would move into a mansion lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yeah, I'd like to see more of a NNE and a little more slumping to the SE of the track before I raise an eyebrow in the direction of this system, at least as far as my own backyard is concerned (read: I do not care about anywhere/anyone else). Like I said before, I view this more as the landmark of a pattern change, less as an opportunity to get immediate results the likes of which I'm hoping said pattern change will bring. Usually with a high in place, you and I are pretty much money, but the cold air is minimal and SSTs arounf 5F above normal aren't helping. However if the euro continues, it might be time to evaluate things further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 was it? sorry I don't remember that....anyhow I am coming down to Brookline on Thursday afternoon....niece flying in from FL. Then staying there with a day trip to Amherst to look at schools. Back up in NH Saturday eve. I want her to see snow so hopefully Boston gets in on it...or at least there will be some waiting for us in NH. It was the 00z runs on the 6th. That was it. Euro was se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Lol, that was the biggest run we've had since last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Colder solution equals suppression Further north you go sure, but this one is disconnecting from the system to the west...so cold/snow seems more likely south. the gefs mean is actually a hair south of the BM. ggem would be a decent event for most (SNE) just away from the coast as well. Yep, those two came in solidly in the cold snowy category. GGEM is nice for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Funny tweets from Harvey and JC. Harvey tweets: The Thursday storm is trending colder...increasing chance of accumulating snow, especially north and west of Boston JC :Cool and dry with a light wind. Highs in the 30's. Warmer tomorrow but with more clouds. Next storm is Thu. Looks mild with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Usually with a high in place, you and I are pretty much money, but the cold air is minimal and SSTs arounf 5F above normal aren't helping. However if the euro continues, it might be time to evaluate things further. I just want to be increasingly fellated by successive model runs until this somehow warps into a raging blizzard with the bullseye right on my taint. Is it so much to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Usually with a high in place, you and I are pretty much money, but the cold air is minimal and SSTs arounf 5F above normal aren't helping. However if the euro continues, it might be time to evaluate things further. Both the buoy they moved off Truro and the Boston Harbor entrance buoy are sitting on land, both went adrift 12/9. But the sanctuary buoy is 45.1...stunningly warm. This will behave like an early December storm...any easterly component can torch back inland a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Further north you go sure, but this one is disconnecting from the system to the west...so cold/snow seems more likely south. Yep, those two came in solidly in the cold snowy category. GGEM is nice for Boston. But is also takes a more of a ESE track with the low as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Funny tweets from Harvey and JC. Harvey tweets: The Thursday storm is trending colder...increasing chance of accumulating snow, especially north and west of Boston JC :Cool and dry with a light wind. Highs in the 30's. Warmer tomorrow but with more clouds. Next storm is Thu. Looks mild with rain. Easy to see who stays on top of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I just want to be increasingly fellated by successive model runs until this somehow warps into a raging blizzard with the bullseye right on my taint. Is it so much to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I just want to be increasingly fellated by successive model runs until this somehow warps into a raging blizzard with the bullseye right on my taint. Is it so much to ask? Nah, that's doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I can see the 6hr GEFS, and it's pretty classic looking in terms of having the high nose in. Pretty sure it would be a 32 or 33 snow at Logan. IF that happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I hate when people throw around that silly s of pike special phrase...never happens. Yes it does, and frequently. Dec 21 09? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yes it does, and frequently. Dec 21 09? I think Ray was playing off of Kev's earlier "North of the pike" comment. I personally don't mind the south of the pike specials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Ryan..what are your thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 So the 12Z GFS is in the process of sliding everything too far out to sea for us in ENY and WNE ...beautiful.... The question is ..will cold air ever mix with moisture in the winter of 11-12? You're beating my qpf drum, Rick. Regardless how it plays, it's fun to have something of interest. By the way--can we rename this thread to read "This Week's Storm...."? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Ryan..what are your thoughts? Like the rest of us...wait for another 20 minutes..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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