Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 euro actually starts off with a slightly better antecedent airmass but it's also more amped/tucked closer. so it's more of a high terrain of MA into VT/NH etc deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yeah it's over the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 euro actually starts off with a slightly better antecedent airmass but it's also more amped/tucked closer. so it's more of a high terrain of MA into VT/NH etc deal Yeah it tucks it nw at the last second. It's funny because the H5 vort went east than came north..probably in advance of that system out west. That system may also try and pull it north too, so we have to be careful of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Solid hit up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 that's a dendrite special there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 euro actually starts off with a slightly better antecedent airmass but it's also more amped/tucked closer. so it's more of a high terrain of MA into VT/NH etc deal Pretty much what I expect in reality....GC and Dendrite, rinse and repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Solid hit up here. LOL...knew you'd drop in here right about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Solid hit up here. Very solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Solid hit up here. Shocking, isn't it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Well we mentioned to be careful with these srn stream vorts. They are tricky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Followed the Ukie . Toss the GFS in good times and bad..It's always, always wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Well we mentioned to be careful with these srn stream vorts. They are tricky. good thing this go around - assuming models have most of the players correct - is there should actually be frozen this time. not a case of trying to squeeze in a marginal air mass at the last second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 36 and rain should be fun while up north gets smoked again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Followed the Ukie . Toss the GFS in good times and bad..It's always, always wrong LOL - yeah it did. you'd at least start as snow i think on that run. fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 good thing this go around - assuming models have most of the players correct - is there should actually be frozen this time. not a case of trying to squeeze in a marginal air mass at the last second. It starts out Will and even Ray and Kev.as snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 LOL - yeah it did. you'd at least start as snow i think on that run. fwiw. Nah..it's a rain event for me. I'm sure NORTH OF THE PIKE it's not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 The EURO only fails within that range when it has a good soloution.....ala Dec 23. Rain. What is going to happen is it will end up cold enough for GC over to Dendrite to cash in (for a change, right)...maybe even N ORH co, but will end u being a cold rain fof the rest. I like this 12z EURO run....probably even end up a bit n of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Solid warning snows, 75"-1.00" qpf, 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 oh do I pray... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It's probably the most legit threat for New England area in weeks, so something to track. It might not be for some down here, but as a region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yea I was a day late and a dollar short on that one. The Pike and 128 are used by Boston Mets, Hartford use 84, PVD uses 95, all of which are pretty good in reality. South of the Pike Winter? I believe Kevin invented that, now he hates it, too funny. All I know is if I hear one more person here at work, or at the stores talk about how "awesome" this weekend was, and how great it was to be walking around in t-shirts, and not in 3 feet of snow like last year, I'm going to puch a baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 36 and rain should be fun while up north gets smoked again Yeah we've just been getting killed this winter....storm after storm....had to dig out of my house this morning. Oh wait, that's not snow, it just that my grass has grown so high it's blocking the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 oh do I pray... up to your neck in LES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It sucks fat, hemorrhoid, AIDS infested azz...like everything else, this season. Yeah for you. I'm talking about the New England area. Not too far nw of you it will be snow to ice type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yeah for you. I'm talking about the New England area. Not too far nw of you it will be snow to ice type deal. Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It's going to settle on this most miserable, cold, wretched rain scenario imaginable....I tried to lock the cutter when I had the chance, but alas.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 All that's missing is Forky saying the flow is sw and the SE ridgeis too strong and that a warmer solution will prevail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Who cares someone Not too far nw of you where it will be a snow to ice type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It sucks fat, hemorrhoid, AIDS infested azz...like everything else, this season. uneccessary. find a different way to express your displeasure please. thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 The ensembles are the 00z suite will determine perhaps how this trends. We have some good and bad. Good: 1) stealthy high to the north will help keep the interior cold and create ageostrophic flow 2) Some confluence to our north in the form of a PV lobe. 3) Airmass has some cold punch to it, especially in NNE Bad: 1) Southern stream system which are notorious for coming north due to physical processes at play. 2) No real good blocking 3) Airmass across SNE is rather tepid and amplfying system across the MIdwest is not helping the mid levels. You alter any one of these and borderline areas will have a big difference in outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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