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  2. I’m afraid I may have jinxed things earlier when I was talking about how it’ll be a rain/snow/both/none situation for the Central Valley via climatology. Now the heat miser is trying to show up. I will self ban for 24 hours in the hopes to get things back on track for [emoji3587][emoji3587][emoji3587]
  3. that's like 20 inches plus for most of SNE at 10 to 1 new para CMC?
  4. Let's see what 00z has for us. But yea this one may be "on the ropes" if you love snow. One thing is I've seen it many times with big events that models like to over-trend in this 3-4 day period. And then adjust back a few ticks closer in. This is a good reminder for myself that worrying about it will do nothing but give you bags under your eyes and ruin your day. We have no control.
  5. You can use the GFS/Canadian models for total freezing rain QPF on Pivotalweather. It's located under the "Winter Weather" Parameter. Just pick an hour after the precip has ended.
  6. I dunno what the ratios are, but with one millimeter of precip, they better be good.
  7. Agreed on the big dog. We're waiting until the 12Z runs tomorrow at the office. Should have the main players mostly nailed down at that point. I'm personally kinda split between a solid 12-16" or a 9-13" w/some trailing mix.
  8. Its so nice to stay here at the bottom (im in south south charlotte)I felt it coming
  9. I would think this probably wouldn’t be ingested for 0z. Probably 6z?
  10. Agree, its not exactly rare to see these big swings at this point in the tracking, not a trend until minimum 2 similar runs but really 3. Until then not buying it. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk
  11. How it works when you’re dealing with a phase of a monster SW and NS
  12. Ray is already shook from a 1/2” less on a d6 prog
  13. How the heck is there a YouTube Video of the freaking weather forecast from that specific day?? Awesome!
  14. At least we should get plenty of that. We need the moisture as water levels are running low.
  15. I’m in almost fully sold mode right now. Still want a full day of runs to 00z Thursday. If it holds through then, I’ll start making my forecast. This is shaping up to be a big dog my friend. Cheers to a whopping this weekend!
  16. Anyone drinking this sh**? It felt more appropriate to drop this here...
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