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  2. He said no chance earlier this week and that monkeys will fly if the gfs is right.
  3. he was in youtube chat tonight arguing his point. about the models..
  4. It is, but you want it passing underneath you at max intensification rate, not after it's matured.
  5. I'd like to be the first to report snow. Hi today was 49.8 but cooled off nicely to 33 now. I would absolutely love to be in New Jersey but that inconvenient thing called work is keeping me in the home office. I hope we all do well!
  6. Albany played it safe: Winter Storm Watch, not upgraded yet, 4-8" Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
  7. The Canadians have never been on board. Not sure what to make of it.
  8. I thought it was good to have H5 go underneath one's area
  9. Speaking this into existence: GFS will come west with a nice CCB over the metros
  10. colder can't hurt. But might not be enough for early stuff. Is early stuff supposed to be light or thumpy? I thought it was supposed to be light.
  11. MDT is already down to 31 at 10 pm, which is 2 degrees lower than the overnight low forecast.
  12. Wow now down to 34.9.. my forecasted low overnight here is 34 !! I will probably go lower than that!
  13. Just SE of BOS. Varies but shade has like 15 or so.
  14. Where in suffolk are you? I'm up in sound beach. Was in mount sinai in 2013.. got about 32 inches. Constant lightning coming off the harbor in that death band.
  15. 0z NAM bufkit at ORH. Ratios consistently 15-18:1. Not sure how much the wind knocks that down though..
  16. According to the SPC mesoanalysis, the 925 temps are still toasty for most of us, but we're sub zero at 850. I wonder if this is just some radiational cooling?
  17. https://bsky.app/profile/wxrisk.bsky.social
  18. I noticed a few flurries driving home about 20 minutes ago .
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