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Crazy heavy rain.. got really windy for 2 minutes.. No thunder. Absolutely pouring outside.
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Tornado warning Lancaster and near AC
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No, just very intense rain and some wind, 20mph gust
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1.76" of rain. Lots of wind. No tornado and I hope everyone else avoids damage. -
2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Impressive how organized the cells are. The one hitting me just popped up 30 minutes ago and was in the process of forming a shelf cloud. Some sculpting was evident with the mid level clouds being held behind the front and upper clouds. Lots of scud too indicating good inflow. This line won’t be bad till it moves off east, but concerning what it may do out near DC.- 2,106 replies
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What are you basing this on? Seasonal models had a mean trough for the EC, cold DJF anomaly in the seasonal mean in 23-24.. and it was pretty well above average. 18-19 a Weak Nino was looking good in the Fall then ended up being very -PNA I would argue that only the last 2 Winters underperformed, because we had below average temps DJF for the first time. There was a ridiculous -PNA pattern 2018-2024 that has nothing to do with luck. It was more of a base-La Nina ENSO state combined with very strong -PDO.
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Got lucky with a heavy downpour!
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The line formed to our south right over US 1 in Cary/Apex, 0.00" on the station.
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any Thunder/Lightning/wind with that ? No warnings out yet this far north
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Pouring
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Looks like a bowing segment over this way on the 18z 3km NAM.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
vortex95 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
vortex95 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
The "barrier" reigns supreme. I am not sure the global models always fully acknowledge this wind shear barrier, esp. in the longer range. Yes, they may fcst it to wane, but no reason to think it will given how strong El Nino is. -
Over 1” in like 20 mins
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RIP everything downhill, in poor drain3areas, along creeks/rivers.
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Probably overdone given how fast this is moving but 3 inches does look likely.
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I might be wrong, but to my eye it seems to be moving too quickly to get totals that high in the city.
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I was admiring the impressive towers off to the NE driving home. One had a supercell look. I should have stopped and got a shot but too lazy and I knew it formed too far east for my yard. There were several cells that were enhanced/ formed along a NW moving sea breeze boundary. Easily seen on radar.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
That line coming through Lancaster looks nasty. Wouldn’t be surprised if it leaves a trail of wind damage and even a tornado or two.
