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Lol.. for those of us who can "weather" the storm (so to speak), grab your popcorn and enjoy the show. We'll be back to our regular scheduled program after Christmas.

So sure enough, as soon as I got on the train in Mount Joy this morning some light mix started falling. Can any of my Lancaster peeps confirm that there was a period of very light wintry precip this morning?

Oh I have noticed lol

Totals mostly in the 4-6” range, even to our north. I think this is mostly because ratios were around 9:1 according to MPX. If we were in the 12:1 or 15:1 range we would have seen some of those higher totals verify. I think there ended up being a much bigger lull after that initial wave than the models showed. .

can't wait for the nam to tuck a low south of li

If you haven't noticed, that has already started and may peak well before Christmas.

Gefs continue with normal temps with ridge draped across the southern tier being pushed sw.

You’re not the only one

Finally above freezing, just in time for any precip. Funny how precip chasing warm always works out. 37F

We closed twice last year for cold, but never had enough snow to close for that

We are talking about possible light snow here on Friday and possible heavier event on Sunday... Keep up

Yeah. I'm really confused what were talking about here lol

In a warming climate we can get larger snowstorms which is what happened during 2010 to 2018. The main caveat was that we needed the dominant storm track to be colder to our southeast in order to realize the higher snowfall potential. With the northwest and warmer shift to the storm tracks since 2018-2019, we have resumed the long term downward trend in the snowfall setting all-time 7 year record lows for snowfall.

What are we doing here? I mean i know, but I don’t. There are two different things and 4 scenarios with each thing and alternating jacks that switch places between both things.

I do not know if anyone knows... but the Beta version of Pivotal Weather now has the Euro 6z/18z for free.

I know Nam is out of its range but just looping to 84 makes you wonder how some one doesn't get a nice 2-4" storm

Sure does If you live in Bloomington, IL

Thanks for posting that. I could see that get expanded into W NC overnight. They almost meet the criteria.

It's the NAM.but looks interesting at hr 84

3K was ugly here, 12z RAP was 2", That's what i see anyways, It's pretty borderline, I expect about 1-2" max of a mix, Looks like we don't sniff freezing at the surface anyways.

Blockbuster season out there:

It was RN/SN mix earlier this morning now its primarily snow. Not much accumulation with temps above freezing but the roads are slushy.