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Yea as one person our Philly board said, there’s a -NAO there, but nothing is locking the 50/50 in place. There’s been some OP runs here and there showing ways to score in this pattern. I wouldn’t expect a big dog or anything though. .

I mean, this storm never had the ceiling that MLK did

Rule #1 If Dr no says no, then it's no snow. If it does show a snow storm and other models such as GFS are not agreeing then there will be no snow.

WB 9Z NBM....nothing burger for everyone except far Northern and West. I was going to install my heat mats today. I will now wait for the next threat.

Where is Kevin? The MLK fear runs deep.

Occasionally maybe, but mostly Hazleton, Allentown, and Lansdale. We carry hammers and torches for the valves. It's a pain and slows things down a bit as far as normal operations go, but it works.

The CF is probably going to bisect Methuen at it's most inland point, which will put me barely on the seaward side. I like Salem, NH out to KASH and down to ORH for a jack.

Euro went from the coldest aloft to the warmest aloft.......

I mean like 950 or so. Pretty stout east winds. But you will be close to the CF so the hope is for a Tip ageo north tug there. Which is possible.

06z EURO says I made the right call, though,.

Red Bull?

It is, but I think what may save me is the lack of wind in this event...no real mechanism to really drive the marine puke up my driveway, but it will be dicey given it's early December with no real antecedent high.

If I get 2", I'll show to the GTG on Saturday wearing nothing but a Santa hat.

I think I should have gone 6-9" instead of 4-8" in the general area, and 7-10" instead of 5-10" in the JP band, but oh well....see what happens.

When 1C matters whether you get 8” or a coating, models will struggle. That’s not an easy thing to resolve.

Ah yes, the WWA...the kiss-your-sister of weather alerts. It's only 12/2, I'll take my handful of pity flakes tomorrow and tell myself it a harbinger of better things to come.

Should be able to go. I have a lot of frustrations to discuss.

Leaves all options on the table .

looks like a few dusters embedded in the nw flow over the next week or so

Lol almost game time and these models can't get a clue....

I don't think I've ever seen a snowfall forecast of 0.5" - 4".

Test the Hope, but I’ve learned over the years to always go with the least snowiest model. The HRRR can also have wild wings.