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  2. 34, SN. Maybe last of the season here?
  3. Monday and Tuesday some spots could hit 80
  4. HRRR looks like it has a little more incoming for you later today
  5. Probably can't rule out some snow showers just behind the front but the front is looking pretty weak and not much in the way of colder air with that. This may very well be the final snow for just about everyone except up north.
  6. Next week is going to be quite mild out ahead of the front
  7. I know. I was being somewhat facetious, trying to lighten my own mood. I've not been feeling well the past couple months, both physically and mentally. I'm actually at the docs right now, hoping he'll set up a barrage of testing, from imaging, to blood, to a cancer screen, to see why I'm in the current state I'm in.
  8. It's snowing Graupeling actually but close enough.
  9. Looks like a squall in the berkshires heading east
  10. This coming week yes the following week not so much
  11. Deep deep winter. Birches getting saggy.
  12. Next week is warm all week . Even after the front mid week still 50’s/60’s
  13. I am a bit confused here. If you read the whole paragraph in the link, it appears to contradict itself. Can somebody clue me in? Is this a roundabout way to say cooler fall and winters after a dry, hot summer? A warm-phase ENSO event, or El Niño, strengthens the subtropical jet stream and typically keeps it just to our south, which means a moisture-rich storm track through the Gulf of Mexico and off our coast. South-central Texas and the southeast US will be mostly cool and wet because the cold, moist air from the Pacific Ocean entering the southern states enhances clouds and rainfall and cools temperatures due to lack of direct sunlight. In turn, much of the northern United States and Canada will be warm during an El Niño event because the polar jet stream swings farther east over the northeastern United States. For much of the southeastern United States during the summer of an El Niño event, the climate is usually warmer and drier. (emphasis mine)
  14. I call BS on those hyper El Nino runs......I'm not sure why those shouldn't be getting the same weenies attached to them that @MJO812's day 10 blizzard maps do during the winter. I mean, tell me what the difference is....long range guidance displaying an either highly anomalous, or unprecedented occurence.
  15. We might get one more late next week.. I called this one a week out let's see if I can do it again
  16. If we can make it through the summer, it should turn noticeably wetter late fall. As far as winter. Who knows? 82/83 was not particularly cold by 80s standards but we did have 3 winter storms capped off by the record March snowfall. 97/98 was warm with virtually no winter weather but lots of severe. 15/16 we did have the one good snow in January. Oddly, I don’t remember much else about that winter. Edit: Forgot about 22/23. I remember the really cold Christmas when we got down to 5 degrees IMBY but no other winter weather that winter.
  17. We are due to a snowier El Nino in the NE....2015, 2018 and 2023 all sucked. I can't find an instance of four consecutive in that regard, although I'm sure @bluewave can scan through the Era data base and find one from the 1700s. 1987 was a pretty normal winter. 1991, 1994 and 1997 all sucked...then we had 2002. 1951 and 1953 were poor...then came 1957. There is value in anecdotal analysis, as long as it's buttressed with more empirical research.
  18. That CFS does not have any trouble whatsoever popping a SE trough....2023 that is not. I get the time range, but that is every bit as valid as these 3.0 El Nino delusions. I am willing to bet that if the CFS were right, we see that prism between the RONI and ONI narrow over the course of the year, eventually meeting roughly midway between 1 and 2 by next winter.
  19. I was gonna say. It’s rare that it doesn’t…even in Brattleboro.
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