All Activity

Winter jacket: Below 32^\circ F Light jacket: Between 32^\circ F and 50^\circ F Sweater: Between 50^\circ F and 65^\circ F Jeans & shirt: Between 65^\circ F and 80^\circ F Shorts and T-shirt: Above 80^\circ F Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

It will. After we snow.

It's 4.5 days out tbf but also still it's wild to be cliff jumping over weather. .

Hail Mary time

Gotta love all of the 00z ops following suit now

I like how everyone now knows for sure what is going to happen on Sunday.

While I remain against it, this isn't over...guidance will try to rope everyone back in at some point, rest assured.

The cliff jumping for a 6 days out threat is wild .

Mediocre winter on the snow side Cold and dry don’t do anything. 3 years from now not gonna be like the winter of 25-26! lol there was recon data ingested tonight clearly sampled something it didn’t like

My first post in this thread is a reminder this is still 4-5 days away. But no one should be shocked if another nice setup 4-5 days out turns to strung out/suppressed garbage. I’m done investing in these until we get some consistency within 100 hours.

Avoiding the glue factory

He was the only one. Well Steve D slso.

ICON, GFS and CMC all dropped a big fat turd tonight. Amazing how quickly everything was coming together early today and even more quickly how things have soured tonight. Maybe they come back? One thing I've noticed - there's an additional piece of energy showing up tonight that swings through early Saturday. If that comes to fruition it's lights out. We won't have the separation needed for any trailing energy to come up and get us as the flow dampens out behind the Saturday thing.

All the models wobble back and forth 4-5 days ahead of storm. Does nobody remember multiple global models taking Boxing Day out to sea 2-4 days prior to the event? WX/PT

Lee Goldberg didn't sound optimistic about a big snowstorm at all today.

2/18 00z GGEM also a miss

This system needs to die

Well @psuhoffman, it may snow on the last week of February every now and then...but unfortunately, the secs/mecs/hecs last week of Feb barrier remains undefeated...(not talking about March, of course)

The one thing I will say is that the tellies dont scream a major snowstorm with a positive NAO and negative PNA. There is some left over blocking with a decaying block and a brief pna spike but not sure if its enough. The euro is most likely seeing that.

No separation. Not going to get a Sunday storm when Saturday has one. When we are at a crossroads…..

Over

Yes a lot. You get too caught up in a couple of operational runs and pretty snow maps. There's so much more to forecasting than that. Talk less and listen more and some day you may be a positive force contribution wise here.

So you’re so confident this is definitely over?.

The one thing I will say is that the tellies dont scream a major snowstorm with a positive NAO and negative PNA. There is some left over blocking with a decaying block and a brief pna spike but not sure if its enough. The euro is most likely seeing that.

This is the system I have the most confidence in for the WOR crowd in SNE.