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Wait, that seems like a decent dose/time there. which way is your sarcasm pointing ? 1.3" for the 2-day total. Looks on rad like we mist from here on out N-W of ORH-BOS. The NAM nailed this thing from about 30 hours out. The Globals might have been a little rich on QPF? not totally sure there. General audience: Ensembles look very close a major heat headline event from ~ D8+ thru model fuzziness. This was a vague signal some 10 days ago when out the modeling horizon, and has since been inconsistently showing up in something like a 1.3 steps ahead by 1.10 steps back...inching in. This overnight looks 70-ish percent confidence for a N/A mid latitude heat dome with less certainty whether it gets in here. If so, it would be over the top - the ridge axis being 90-ish W instructs the NW delivery. Which looks plausible in the ensemble means of the EPS/GEFS and GEP. The GEPs in fact look quite fantastic for heat around D9, as it happenstance was an over top delivery that than morphs into this, So the uncertainty with all this is the operational versions are being cute with convective shrapnel if not meso-beta scale synoptic waves ejecting out of the trough in the west, racing over the ridge top and probably sending outflow this and general warmth denting that, and seeing as we're at the eastern fragile end of that wave-space/curvature field, I'd go ahead a call that the operational models engineering any means plausible to physics to stop a heat wave signal from actually taking place LOL. seems like some times. Here are the EPS/GEFs ensembles in the meantime, for D9-ish
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The Apr-June of ‘26 MJO has been about the most left-sided of any since records started in 1975: 2026: Closest years were: 2021: 1991: -
2.52" yesterday 5.18" MTD 16.30" since 4/1
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
0.08" yesterday. Light rain moving in, hoping to shatter the 0.10" barrier. 68F/DP 67F -
We got DRIZZLE in CLT! DRIZZLE I tell ya, almost got my car wet.
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Yeah I'm thinking about a tenth to maybe a quarter inch more at most. But at least we did well yesterday
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Wonder if the beachcomber washes away again
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Correction, misread the station 3.04" since midnight 3.39" storm total
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
69F/DP 68F/light rain -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVLion77 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I received less than a 10th of an inch. If you look at the precip accumulation map, there is a narrow strip of very little rain along south mountain from Easton all the way to Fleetwood in Berks County. -
That blob looks way more impressive on LWX radar than others. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-0-6
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another downpour moving in..should eclipse 3" soon. max rainfall rate reached 5.88" in/hr on ambient
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Spectacular if you’re on the beach with a pool taking in the sunsets gulf side and watching the lightning and hearing distant thunder from the daily boomers occurring inland. Pure summer.
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40 drownings last few days as folks try to beat the heat
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Thanks, we waited long and hard for this moment
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0.15” yesterday
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Sounds like the bottom sagamore bridge is loaded with stranded cars. Congrats @SouthCoastMA
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2.66"
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Short time lapse of the storm rotation. The rain was moving in quickly so I could only get a few minutes of recording, unfortunately. Ended up with 1.91" of rain. -
0.95" so far
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Wet late Monday 6/22 or another Fizzle?
Weather Will replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Great for the last half day of school. Keeps some kids at home, keeps the others calm... less sticking to stuff
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Nice soaker here-winding down now.
