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What’s jumping out to me with the initial look into this is surface and 925mb (3000ft) are very cold in central/eastern PA on most guidance. The difference between the Euro and GFS camps right now look to be centered up a little higher at the 850mb (5000ft) level where the Euro is warmer, which lends to it’s more predominant freezing rain p-type vs the prolific pinger fest the GFS has in the central counties. On the other hand, the Euro never seems to portray sleet very well with its p-type algorithm. It certainly still looks supportive of a lot of sleet despite warmer 850 temps because of how cold surface and 925mb is. So as it looks right now, I would lean towards sleet being a more dominant p-type with the significant freezing rain threat in the Laurels. Then of course figuring out the front end snow threat as well. The eastern third of so of PA is definitely in play for a thump, will have to see if any of the central third can get some snow as well.

The 1994 ice storms in Philly were great.

This run of the GFS had a very wide sleet zone for some reason. I feel like it's going to either be snow or freezing rain, with very minimal sleet.

i see. Yes, in the 90s. 93-94 and 95-96 were notably good winters, great in fact. 94-95 was about as bad as you can get. One big storm that winter and that was it.

AI euro and little colder

Yup 33.3 and almost all the snow is melted from the trees. Driveway and yard is caked good but the sun tomorrow should zap it all away.

Big flakes gave way to rain again. Rained all the way home. Nothing really accumulated up here.

You can see this on radar. But you can also see it's very brief. Might be elevation-dependent.

Yeah, I’d say from the scooter to me corridor has been absolutely screwed for 4 years now. I don’t think I’ve had a warning event since the Jan 22 blizzard, coming up on 4 years now

Think the last 6” storm here was Jan 22. Maybe I’m missing one, but I don’t think so

Much more than expected for sure, nice band setup over central and northern Westchester

so much for low sun angle saving things...I mean we don't even have any sun and its melting. Would have needed a good 3-4" OTG. I don't care what the sun angle is or what the sky cover is...if its into the 30's anything less than that is going to melt, albelit slowly but still melt.

This is why moose have NBA legs

I was thinking you may have been just west of the band. MU mentioned as much, saying how there was noticeable snowfall between the Columbia and Prospect exits of Route 30 but not much outside of that.

No, i was just asking not refuting your statement…

NAM and Euro have been consistent tainting my area, haven't seen that factored into GYX or any other forecast yet.

Northeast Anchorage. It's been exceptionally cold and dry this month.

12k NAM has ice pellets late Christmas morning central and northern parts

Horrendously disappointing winter.

12z GEFS now trying to pop a ridge over the Alaska/Canada border by the end of the week.

Yep, ya'll can keep that shit

Highest snowfall amounts so far:

Temperatures are even marginal up here. Just started snowing at WXW2.

Merry Christmas from 1993