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That's the right attitude! Each storm has exceeded your expectations!

I have no idea why anyone would be using the -IOD to forecast at this stage, as it's long-gone. https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/indices.shtml?bookmark=iod

You are going to die on this hill aren’t you? Lol. Everyone has their thing I guess. 95% of us enjoy the snow. The other 5% are never happy and find ways to complain. You seem to be in the 5%.

Caps OT win!

BOS avg December snowfall (1991-2020) is 9". So that's likely your avg accounting for further S and inland a bit. Better than recent Decembers, no? I would say the area bounded by BOS-PVD-ORH-CON-PSM has not cashed in as much as Cape Cod, the South Coast, western New England, and a large part of northern New England for snowfall so far this season. We are doing it piecemeal in the region The fact CoastalWx's area has been lame is irrelevant to the big pix. IMBY syndrome...want me to call the WHAN-bu-lance? You can't expect every winter or storm to be the PT level, like Bliz of 97, 05, or 13! And then this response, "but it is been so lousy for so long!" I don't know what to tell you. These periods happen. And CoastalWx knows this from when he was a kid in the 80s. And in the here and now, we seem to be on the right track overall. Like I said before, If Jan-Feb acts like Dec, it's going to end up a pretty good winter for most!

I've never in all my 40 + Years in meteorology seen anything more rediculous looking than those two Depictions. Something is amiss. As far as sensible reasoning irt any Models having trouble would be the possible GOA LP or Alaskan Vortex in conjunction with Greenland Blocking. Any Alaskan Vortex with HP east of there will block CPF and even can pull Cold across to the Asian side but, troughing should still result in the lower 48. However, either of those Depictions are as Carvers alluded to; don't make sense. The GFS looks like it just went complete strong positive AO and NAO big-time. They're both really a jumbled mess.

2/0

Drove down to Cape May today to visit my retired parents. Once we hit Glassboro, nothing frozen in sight. Saw a salt truck on route 47 salting heavily at 11am....it was completely dry and 35F. I was joking about that with the wife. Joke was on me as we drove home at 5pm and we had light snow all the way up to the PA border. She said "guess the sanitation workers know what they're doing huh?". I was thinking nah, they just got lucky this time.

Been a while since I’ve seen ya post. Hope all is well.

Don was ripping the NAM before and during yesterday's event. It should be obvious to anyone that the NAM (from ~60 hours out) performed better than the NWS and most other guidance for our area. Don was wrong. If he wants to do a verification of the NAM, he should do it with a more precise parameter than reported snow accumulation. At the very least he should use more than 4 stations. I think the NAM is getting hosed in Don's "verification." A few of the entries look wrong. There's also the issue of sleet: EWR and possibly Central Park experienced some sleet yesterday evening. If this was the dominant ptype during any time point, pivotal will record it as 0 snowfall for that period. But since sleet accumulates, using the pivotal algorithm will under-predict accumulated snowfall. I think the entire purpose of the verification when it was originally proposed was to bash the NAM, assuming it would fail. But it did not. The writing was on the wall early yesterday (HRRR, RAP, ECM, radar). Some noticed. Others doubled down .

I have to say that I really have enjoyed the banter thread this season when the Commodes and Ravens play.

See that? All they needed to do was put Huntley in ! Fun to watch for a change, yet I keep telling myself “it’s not in the bag just yet”, becuz they have a knack of losing often in the last 3 minutes or less this year. I like Humphrey in general, but he’s getting fooled and beaten too many times so far.

10 here. Chilly.

1/-2

As good as you felt when you made your comment.

I've only experienced one crippling Ice Storm: January 2005 living in South Carolina. Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

How do the snowfall averages for 1990-2019 stack up against the previous known 30 year periods? I have a point, but I want to make sure I'm right on the data first.

5.7/2

THIS is Ravens football. Too little. too late. Heads better roll. Don't let this get you in your feels Bisciotti.

Time to flip back to the end of the Caps game.

I fucking hate Todd Monken. NOW YOU FIGURE IT OUT? Dumbfuck.

Wow. That’s a big response. Now the defense has to get it figured out during the break.

But that's the question. How does Pivotal retrieve the raw data? It's suspicious that the NAM would output so much more "snow" for MMU than EWR considering their relative locations and the general snowfall distribution it was predicting. I'm wondering if it pulls the raw data from a location further southwest than the airport.

Wow, 27-14 heading into halftime…crowd booing the Packers too.

I try to be honest, but it can be rather subjective. More than 50% with at least an inch; is there an app for that? If my snowboard or snow stake spot is bare, that's an argument against, although there are exceptions to every rule. If the wind strength and direction scoured my entire property bare, but every where else is buried...calling that 0 snowcover is inaccurate. If I have an eight foot deep drift remaining while the rest of planet earth is bare, averaging it out against the rest of Tara and calling an average of an inch is BS too. It's a judgement call and no one who wasn't there can dispute it with any certainty. For reference, we haven't actually had any accumulating snow here since 1978.