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  2. The activity in NW PA won't make it here before 9pm if I had to hazard a guess
  3. That Tamaqua split is affecting the rainfall for your friends including me southwest of your locale.
  4. Based on radar, I will be out watering the garden later
  5. That’s due to the evolution of the climate models lagging behind the speed at which the climate is warming. So all these big shifts have been occurring without any prior notice. The first big global temperature jump in 1997-1998 lead to the loss of most of the older Arctic sea ice during the 2000’s. Summers began to significantly warm around 2010 at this new higher baseline level. North American winters dramatically warmed following the 2015-2016 super El Niño. The rapid warming of the Pacific east of Japan and to the north of Hawaii occurred at this new baseline. The next big jump was in 2023-2024 which is only three years ago. Two of the warmest winters on record for the CONUS occurred at this new higher temperature level. Now we are looking at another global temperature jump with this strongest El Niño on record only three years later which is a first. So my guess is that we see more shifts which weren’t anticipated following the jump in global temperatures with this even more extreme event.
  6. Total rainfall 1.61" in Lindenhurst, 4.93" for the month of july
  7. Hoping to go after that stuff moving past BGM now. Hopefully it will remain on a trajectory or pass close enough to BDL.
  8. I'm getting really sick of watching it rain in a circle all around me. I actually just lost power for a while due to lightning, but the rain dome is intact. Not a single drop of rain. Looking at my records, it hasn't rained an inch in a single event here since 5/24.
  9. I got very unlucky with the weather on a family visit to Liberty Island. However, it was worth it for the incredible thunderstorms and these two shots.
  10. Radar does look pretty had for anything of significance. Seems odd to me with all we had at play today that we seem to be failing. Oh well
  11. Strong storm moving through Northern Anne Arundel. Pretty fierce winds right right now. My spot usually doesn't get such strong winds.
  12. METAR KBWI 182005Z 33021G53KT 3/4SM R15R/1000V5000FT +TSRAGR BR SCT013 BKN044CB OVC100 23/22 A2986 RMK AO2 PK WND 30053/2002 WSHFT 1951 GRB05 PRESRR CONS LTGICCCCG ALQDS TS ALQDS MOV E GR 1/2 P0014 T02330222 $ 53 KTS and 1/2" Hail to boot!
  13. Nah..not bad here..2 rounds with 1.32 total
  14. You just have to hope something "pops up" out of nowhere. We have the DP in our favor (DP 76F)...
  15. A lot of really needed rain in Oceanside. No idea how that severe threat is holding out later because I have yet to see a second of sun
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