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  2. Will someone please post the 18z FRAM?
  3. Any snow coming to north Georgia Monday afternoon?
  4. Didn’t it get up to something like 90 degrees or close to it in Traverse City in March 2012? There’s not many guarantees in weather but I can guarantee Traverse City isn’t getting that warm this month.
  5. FYI… I ate lunch with Mike Witcher and Anthony Cavallucc. We had some great conversations and it was really cool. I got to learn a lot of stuff that I didn’t know about the weather and just how everything works at MRX. I’m not sure if this is common knowledge and I haven’t heard this but apparently the WPC is going to take over the forecast duties for all of the local NWS stations. I think he said they already do the 4 to 8 day forecast and MRX does the 1-3 day forecast. .
  6. Too high up here but it's impossible to predict in advance where the best banding sets up. The RGEM maybe showed it best with the western snow max then second one over eastern LI. You have the western band with high ratios then the second max with the highest QPF and semi-shaft zone in between in most storms like these.
  7. You beat me to my edit lol. I only went by the main page which showed mdt https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/
  8. There was a high risk that day in NC... mod risk was south of the LWX CWA looks like https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20110416
  9. Holy smokes this looks like one hell of a storm. Kind of reminds me of the Blizzard up in Wisconsin about 7 or 8 years ago.
  10. yup...not sure what vendors use as an algorithm for those wind gust products but there are as bad as the snow maps
  11. Definitely work and you have to be very strategic. To be clear, unless it's a wind blown storm, I only take 10 measurements at 12z daily, not every 6-hr new-snow ob. I also have one of those fancy 40" sticks with a handle, plus an 8' wingspan, so I can space far from my feet. Helps great deal.
  12. almost always overdone on models as well-got to reduce by 20-25%
  13. Yeah he cites the mid-April 2011 NC outbreak, which tends to get overlooked because of what happened later in that month, but it was substantial. I'm pretty sure we got at least TOR watches in the DC area, and of course there was a HIGH risk in NC. I think we were MOD locally.
  14. Picked up a surprise inch of snow. Season total at 76.5”.
  15. Seen a lot February’s come up lame on the snow front through the years. Not new. To get back on topic have also seen a lot of these March defo bands with these deep big cyclones surprise on the back end snow front as well through the years. Really don’t want zero windchills with 40 mph winds and a coating come Monday.
  16. Lava being cooled down a bit. Steam bath of Kilauea I bet.
  17. Not shocking with the MJO and teleconnections.
  18. In their defense, Chicago did barely see an inch of snow in February…and through today. But last winter was worse…which is sad if you love snow.
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