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  2. kdxken
    Yep! Another month or so.
  3. mappy
    I think we’ve had that convo before, how close our parents are And that makes sense. My sister’s house off Edwin Raynor, north of 100 and Mountain Road, had a lot more damage with down trees and such.
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. kdxken
    It's perfect. Feels like September.
  6. Keith Central PA
    There we go ,couldnt agree more
  7. lee59
    A few days ago this system was predicted to go east across Florida and impact the southeast. Quite a change
  8. Elim72
    .82 in Elimsport yesterday. We missed all the weather violence.
  9. LakePaste25
    I don’t think anyone here is saying it’s not going to snow, or that there won’t necessarily be a big storm. But I think it’s an easy call that next winter will be both warmer and wetter than the previous 2 winters on the coastal plain. Here on the Great Lakes, probably warmer and drier.
  10. mitchnick
    By the way, why didn't you bother to post the Cfs2 temp forecast for the 23/24 winter. Since we're nearing the end of July, this is what it had from the 8/1/23-8/10/23 period. Pretty warm (and not very Niño canonical), isn't it?
  11. high risk
    I like what I see in the CAMs that go out to Tuesday evening (NAM Nest, HiResW FV3, RRFS). Multiple rounds of storms on a pre-frontal trough / wind shift, and possibly another line in the evening (although I suspect our environment will be worked over from the afternoon storms). Environmental parameters are solid. And for those looking to maximize rainfall, we could see an early round of storms late Monday night or early Tuesday morning as the warm front lifts to the northeast.
  12. jm1220
    No one’s expecting it to be a major hurricane. Maybe a high end TS known for dumping a ton of rain.
  13. high risk
    Getting enough low-level shear was always in doubt for this event, especially once the warm front quickly retreated to the northeast during the late morning hours. The mid-level wind speeds underperformed a bit, relative to guidance, but there should have been enough deep-layer shear for fairly widespread wind, given the magnitude of the instability. I think you're correct that the profile was overall too moist to achieve a high end wind event.
  14. TheDreamTraveler
    Oof that sucks. Hoping they get it back online today. Thankfully it's not brutally hot today
  15. osfan24
    I certainly didn’t have any problems with the smell outside this morning but it definitely still looked very hazy to me, even at ground level.
  16. TheDreamTraveler
    I didn't know that either until a few years ago. Apparently parts of Scotland like the Scottland Highlands were also part of the same chain as the Appalachians at one point which is really cool.
  17. Keith Central PA
    Weak sauce, dont expect a major hurricane with the ragging nino
  18. John1122
    The latest drought monitor finally removed most of my area from the drought and I suspect Thursday will remove the rest of the area. It's thundering again now and a storm is about to move over from the N/NW. I hate that you guys can't catch a break, it was actually doing that here a little over a month ago. It would rain in a circle around my area into SW Va where Daniel Boone lives. This is the 30 day rainfall with the legend below. It's been a stark contrast from the Northern Plateau to Knox down to the Chattanooga area. Todays rain and storm are moving almost on that same path as the observed rainfall.
  19. NorthArlington101 started following TD2/potential Bertha
  20. SACRUS
    Bertha soon to be
  21. Keith Central PA
    All I do is look at 72-73,82-83,97-98,15-16 and say yea they were warm..its not hard to figure out..Also 2 if those years had a massive blizzard..So a crazy,insane, earth shattering nino does not mean it cant snow.And we've had snowless winters in La Nina's and neutral winters anyway, so there are other factors.
  22. Today
  23. canderson
    I use a Stratus. It’s not perfect and I don’t mess with melting down snow because well I’m lazy
  24. SnoSki14
    Too many variables, too many different areas of forcing, PDO signal is a total mismatch from a super Nino. Climo is out the window
  25. Storm Clouds
    I’ve had mine for over a week now and really enjoying it! It was a breeze to set up and the app is great where it uploads its data to! Tempest costumer service has been great so far too. Everything seems pretty accurate when comparing it to nearby stations. Not sure about the wind readings though, but honestly I don’t live in a good place to get unobstructed and accurate wind readings (it’s mounted off my deck about 13 ft above the ground…other houses and trees still block wind flow). I highly recommend! The lightning detector on it is a super cool feature that you would have to pay for an add on device with other stations. Amazon right now has the Tempest on sale for like 25% off. You can buy for like $265 instead of normal price of $349.
  26. WNC_Fort
    Was at a friend’s house in Avery Creek yesterday and holy moly, that was one heck of a lightning storm. Hadn’t heard thunder that loud in a long time.
  27. pawatch
    My USGS gauge is about 5-7 miles from my house. So the totals are almost never the same. Maybe get a Stratus manual rain gauge and compare that way. Definitely a nice day!
  28. Modfan2
    IDK, I think it’s a fantastic day to be outside.
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